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Prospectus Hit List for August 9



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 8 Hit List for August 12
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Because someday we'll all be dead.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day 7-Day
1

65

50

62.0

62.9

63.2

.550

.570

57.4%

22.8%

80.2%

0.1%

24.7%

Would love to see Yu Darvish face a lineup composed of Chris Davis, Mike Napoli, and Mark Reynolds, just to see what would happen.
2

64

50

60.1

63.2

61.5

.546

.526

95.3%

1.2%

96.5%

1.0%

7.5%

Oh, the Dodgers won again, what a shock. Let me guess, Ryu pitched well and Puig had a bunch of hits? I bet Vin Scully announced the whole thing too.
3

68

45

72.0

77.4

76.7

.651

.669

98.2%

1.3%

99.5%

0.3%

5.1%

Max Scherzer struck out only five in seven innings? What? (team's won 12 in a row, so bear with us, it's hard to find things to complain about)
4

63

51

60.2

57.8

58.4

.525

.545

2.5%

22.8%

25.3%

0.7%

3.8%

The rumors about the Orioles snagging Mark Reynolds make sense because Baltimore doesn't have a third baseman other than that young guy who is having an amazing year.
5

59

53

59.0

52.5

53.0

.499

.519

0.3%

4.9%

5.2%

1.5%

2.4%

Who is going to bring you that championship, Kansas City? Bruce Chen! That's who! Bruce Ch WAKEUP YOU'RE LATE FOR SCHOOL!!
6

63

51

64.7

65.7

66.3

.570

.550

10.4%

82.1%

92.5%

0.3%

1.2%

Aroldis Chapman hit 105 mph on the gun. I don't mean now, but months ago. It's just taken me that long to process it enough that I can formulate this comment.
7

70

47

69.2

68.1

67.6

.587

.607

63.2%

32.6%

95.8%

-0.7%

0.8%

Since the Red Sox traded shortstop/third baseman Jose Iglesias, incumbent shortstop Stephen Drew has hit .500/.600/.769.
8

70

45

71.1

71.2

68.9

.611

.592

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.4%

Getting into Twitter fights with other teams is the new dopey thing to do.
9

70

44

64.3

64.4

65.4

.579

.559

64.0%

35.5%

99.5%

-0.0%

0.3%

When the Marlins and Pirates get together you can bet on one thing: the Pirates will win because they're a better baseball team.
10

52

60

52.7

52.2

51.4

.465

.445

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.2%

0.0%

I'll bet you'ver never heard of Scott Rice, who leads baseball in appearances for a pitcher. Me neither and I do this for money!
11

53

61

54.4

52.4

54.3

.470

.490

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

The Seattle Mariners are are 53-61, and are in third place. The Blue Jays have the same record but are in last place. Competition!
12

49

62

48.6

49.0

49.4

.441

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If you're a Twins fan and you go to the list of players sorted by highest WARP then you're in the wrong place.
13

49

66

50.3

52.9

53.1

.446

.427

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Three more hits for the Brewers, who are just compiling (bad) stats right now.
14

43

70

45.7

41.6

42.0

.381

.363

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jose Fernandez threw 134 innings last season in High-A. Last night he threw five bringing his season total to 136 1/3. Lucky the Marlins aren't anywhere near a pennant race, huh?
15

37

76

39.7

34.2

36.4

.326

.344

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Lucas Harrell leads baseball in walks. Unfortunately for him he's a pitcher.
16

43

69

47.2

48.2

48.0

.416

.436

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Kenny Williams might trade Alex Rios, but you're going to have to pull a pretty sweet bouncy-ball from the super market machine to get him.
17

53

61

50.8

54.1

53.5

.464

.484

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

The Mariners have had losing records in four separate months and a winning record in one. Who is saying they're contenders again?
18

50

64

52.8

55.4

55.5

.469

.449

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

The Cubs are rebuilding and wouldn't dream of contending this season. The Phillies are still trying to get back into the race. The Phillies are two games ahead of the Cubs, and that right there is called a management gap.
19

51

62

54.0

57.6

56.4

.485

.505

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

The highest ERA in baseball this season is 108.00 by David Carpenter of the Angels. He recorded one out while giving up four runs in his only third of an inning this season.
20

52

62

48.4

48.5

49.9

.436

.416

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.3%

Twelve runs for the Phillies so no problem, go back to your lunch, everything is okay now.
21

52

62

50.3

49.9

49.7

.443

.423

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.4%

I'm all for honoring the military but couldn't it be done with uniforms that don't look like the player just rolled in a grass field full of cow patties?
22

51

63

50.4

53.9

54.6

.460

.440

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.4%

Every once in a while Tim Lincecum remembers how to pitch. It's quite joyful!
23

66

48

71.8

69.3

67.8

.603

.584

25.6%

72.1%

97.7%

-0.9%

-0.5%

Do you know who pitched for the Cardinals last night? No, this isn't a trivia question, I'm legitimately asking. I have no idea who any of them were.
24

52

64

54.4

55.6

53.0

.463

.444

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.8%

Quick Quiz! Who is sixth in baseball in hitting? [tick tock tick tock tick tock BUZZER!!] Michael Cuddyer! Sorry! Here's a copy of our home game and a case of Turtle Wax. Better luck next time.
25

66

47

63.2

69.3

69.1

.592

.611

34.1%

56.6%

90.7%

0.1%

-1.6%

Best night possible for Rays fans who picked up a half game on Boston and didn't have to go anywhere near the Trop.
26

54

60

52.5

51.7

52.1

.461

.441

0.0%

1.3%

1.3%

0.4%

-2.2%

The Nationals placed Dan Haren on waivers because A) they want to get rid of him, B) they want to gauge possible trade interest, or C) it is a precursor to six-guns at noon.
27

58

55

57.7

54.5

54.6

.497

.477

4.5%

7.1%

11.6%

-1.0%

-4.8%

The Diamondbacks have grounded into 103 double plays not because they can't avoid them but because they have a deep and abiding love for efficiency.
28

57

56

54.2

49.2

50.2

.466

.486

0.1%

1.8%

1.9%

0.4%

-5.4%

A day off means they don't have to start Lyle Overbay at first base!
29

64

49

62.5

62.4

60.9

.553

.572

42.6%

30.0%

72.6%

0.2%

-10.2%

San Jose is the pot, and the A's are a young child afraid of the adult bathrooms, but who needs to go anyway.
30

62

53

61.1

59.9

60.8

.530

.550

1.5%

27.0%

28.5%

-2.7%

-19.5%

Four days ago the Indians were three games back with four against the team ahead of them. Now they're seven back without that opportunity. Yuck.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
FrankL

Whoah... if the Marlins put their young guns on an innings cap they still could lose their pennant race ... to the bottom. You only get so many opportunities to fly a flag.

Aug 09, 2013 08:23 AM
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dodgerdan

I don't think Vinny was present last night in St. Louis to broadcast the Dodger-Card athletic endeavor. He no longer strays too far from West coast.

Aug 09, 2013 09:03 AM
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lemmy13

Kenny Williams?!

Aug 10, 2013 10:46 AM
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