Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for August 8



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 7 Hit List for August 9
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

This is what happens when you hit a man in the list.

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

54

60

52.5

51.7

52.0

.461

.441

0.0%

0.9%

0.9%

-1.3%

-2.5%

Some say the problem with the Nats is their inability to play small ball. How about starting with a team on-base percentage of .299? Fix that and then we’ll worry about effective bunting.
2

53

61

54.4

52.4

54.4

.470

.490

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

Toronto was over .500 from June 22 through June 24, and again on the 26. Those were the days, eh?
3

65

50

62.0

62.9

63.2

.550

.570

58.3%

21.8%

80.1%

6.7%

27.0%

I know it's not over yet, but we can just write "success" on Adrian Beltre's contract with the Rangers and put it aside, right?
4

66

47

63.2

69.3

69.1

.592

.611

31.2%

59.3%

90.6%

-2.3%

-2.2%

The Rays used six pitchers, only one of whom threw more than 1 2/3 innings. That is interesting, darn it!
5

66

47

71.7

69.3

67.8

.608

.589

32.1%

66.5%

98.6%

-0.5%

2.0%

The Cardinals did pretty well when you consider their starting pitcher made it two pitches into the game. They lost by nine, but still.
6

50

63

49.6

52.6

53.4

.455

.435

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.2%

-0.2%

Jeff Francoeur in center field? Oh, Brian Sabean, you mad, mad genius, you!
7

53

61

50.8

54.1

53.6

.464

.484

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

Step 1: Start Aaron Harang. Step 2: Step 3: Win!
8

52

62

50.3

49.9

49.6

.443

.423

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.4%

Every pitcher for the Padres gave up two runs until the fourth pitcher, Dale Thayer, had the nerve to not give up any. That meant the next guy, Sean O’Sullivan, had to overcompensate, and well, that’s how you lose a baseball game, friend.
9

69

44

63.6

63.4

64.6

.577

.557

58.1%

41.5%

99.6%

0.0%

0.3%

After all this time it’s hard to get used to the act of purposefully clicking on a Pirates box score.
10

51

62

46.7

47.3

48.7

.429

.409

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.5%

Ruben Amaro, Jr. just spent a whole bunch of millions on two more years of an aging, oft-injured, once-great player. Ever feel like you’ve been somewhere before?
11

64

49

62.5

62.4

60.9

.553

.572

41.6%

30.7%

72.4%

-2.6%

-11.6%

Three pieces of utterly unconnected information: 1. Coco Crisp has spent 408 of a possible 411 plate appearances in the leadoff spot this season. 2. Crisp’s OPS by month: .943, .709, .745 .469, .654. 3. The A’s are in first place.
12

51

60

52.1

51.7

50.9

.463

.443

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.3%

Matt Harvey just threw the first complete game of his major-league career. This means you can stop paying attention to the Mets for four more days.
13

57

56

54.2

49.2

50.2

.466

.486

0.1%

1.4%

1.5%

-0.4%

-7.7%

Remember that joke Curt Schilling made about the Yankees Aura and Mystique being prostitutes? I bet the Yankees wish they were prostitutes now so they could bring them in to play shortstop and catcher.
14

49

62

48.6

49.0

49.4

.441

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Twins put a guy with a .305 on-base percentage in the leadoff position. So of course he had three hits. Baseball!
15

49

65

50.2

53.1

53.4

.451

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In retrospect, the Brewers should be happy that Bud Selig didn't open up the Selig Guide to Suspensions which is actually just a carrying case for a 211-sided die.
16

43

69

45.3

41.6

41.9

.384

.365

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Marlins could've had the world for Giancarlo Stanton last offseason. Now they've got a player who is a year older, with knee problems, coming off the worst season of his career. That's turning water into muddy water.
17

63

50

59.2

62.1

60.3

.541

.521

94.5%

1.0%

95.5%

0.9%

10.1%

Remember when Don Mattingly was going to get fired? Three words: Manager of the Year.
18

58

53

58.0

51.5

52.0

.494

.514

0.1%

3.6%

3.7%

0.5%

0.9%

Teams the Royals now have a better record than: Minnesota, the White Sox, the Yankees, Toronto, Seattle, the Angels, and Houston.
19

37

76

39.7

34.2

36.4

.326

.344

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros gave up three in the ninth to open up a 6 ½ game lead over the Marlins for the first pick in the draft. Congratulations to the Astros!
20

67

45

70.9

76.3

75.5

.647

.665

97.6%

1.6%

99.2%

0.4%

3.3%

The Tigers have won 11 in a row so get your Spinal Tap jokes in today. Game time tomorrow is 7:05.
21

52

63

54.0

55.1

52.5

.464

.445

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.2%

-1.1%

Hey, did you guys know Troy Tulowitzki is back? Yeah, turns out he came off the DL sometime in early July. I feel like if he played for any other team I’d have known that.
22

62

52

61.4

60.1

60.8

.536

.556

2.3%

28.9%

31.2%

-7.4%

-15.6%

The Indians are 62-52, but take out the games they’ve played against Detroit and they’re 59-40.
23

63

51

64.7

65.7

66.4

.570

.550

9.8%

82.4%

92.2%

0.7%

0.7%

Homer Bailey got the win, three guys got holds, and Aroldis Chapman got the save. I’m not finishing this Hit List unless I get something.
24

50

63

53.5

55.6

55.7

.475

.455

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.4%

Two more hits for Junior Lake who sees your skepticism and raises you reality, son.
25

43

69

47.2

48.2

48.0

.416

.436

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In last night’s game, the White Sox used eight pitchers. Seven of them walked at least one batter.
26

70

46

69.1

68.0

67.5

.592

.611

66.1%

30.5%

96.6%

0.6%

3.4%

David Ortiz has nine hits in his last 10 at-bats. He would have had the 10th too but he wasn't really paying attention.
27

63

51

60.2

57.8

58.4

.525

.545

2.6%

22.0%

24.7%

4.6%

2.9%

Manny Machado doesn’t double any more. No subtlety to it. Now a single, that’s artistic, delicate, unique. He’ll take two!
28

70

45

71.1

71.2

68.8

.611

.592

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

-0.0%

0.6%

B.J. Upton had four hits last night. I think it was the most he had in a game this season but I couldn’t tell because looking through months of zeros in the hit column made my eyes bleed.
29

58

55

57.7

54.5

54.6

.497

.477

5.3%

7.3%

12.6%

0.9%

-8.2%

The Diamondbacks turned six double plays last night, which, when you consider they won and were at home, was 67 percent of the double plays that were possible.
30

51

62

54.0

57.6

56.4

.485

.505

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.2%

Josh Hamilton is batting .219 with a .273 on-base percentage. Maybe, just maybe, it’s time to move him to the back of the lineup?

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


7 comments have been left for this article.
R.A.Wagman

Manager of the Year is four words. Or is that part of the joke?

Aug 08, 2013 08:00 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Kory

Shhh! You're giving it away!

Aug 08, 2013 09:02 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
DetroitDale

RE: the Rays comment: is that a step on the way to the day when some team designates one pitcher for each inning? That would only require a 9 man staff as opposed to the 12 man staffs common now, and any pitcher can do one inning a day right? That's only 162 innings on the year.

Aug 08, 2013 08:05 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
FrankL

Using the Cards' 2 pitch strategy would hold down pitchers' innings, too, but at an average of 120 pitches thrown per game would require a 60 man staff. But a lot of org filler would get some ML time (a LaRussa matchup dream, but wow, games would last longer than a Yankees-Sox marathon).

Aug 08, 2013 08:20 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
FrankL

Alas the D'Backs only turned 67% of the possible double plays (6 of 9). But the bullpen did get a W and a S!

Aug 08, 2013 08:12 AM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Kory

You're right. I got so excited when I saw the six double plays I took leave of my basic math skills.

Aug 08, 2013 09:03 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
Llarry

I know the D100 (real) is hard enough to roll (or rather, to get to stop rolling), but I'd still be willing to fork over a few bucks for a D211. Couldn't be any less useful than the D34s I have.

Aug 08, 2013 10:59 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week... (08/08)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (08/07)
Next Column >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (08/09)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Skewed Left: Fisking a... (08/08)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Playoff Prospectus: Second-Inning Struggles
Baseball Therapy: The Problem With Lists
Hot Stove Scouting Report: Max Scherzer
Hot Stove Scouting Report: Nelson Cruz
Premium Article Pitching Backward: Sing, Sing, Sing, for the...
Premium Article Painting the Black: That Time We All Hated t...
Playoff Prospectus: The Giants Win The World...

MORE FROM AUGUST 8, 2013 10:08 AM
Premium Article Minor League Update: First Round Selections:...
Premium Article Painting the Black: Rating Rizzo
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Harvey's First Shutou...
Premium Article Skewed Left: Fisking a Preseason Pirates Art...
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week 19
Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: Meeting the Criteria
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: August 8, ...

MORE BY MATTHEW KORY
2013-08-16 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, Aug. 16
2013-08-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, August 15
2013-08-09 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, Aug. 9
2013-08-08 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, August 8
2013-08-02 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, Aug. 2
2013-08-01 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, August 1
2013-07-24 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, July 24
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2013-08-13 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, August 13
2013-08-12 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, August 12
2013-08-09 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, Aug. 9
2013-08-08 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, August 8
2013-08-07 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, August 7
2013-08-06 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, August 6
2013-08-05 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, August 5
More...