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Prospectus Hit List for August 5



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for August 2 Hit List for August 6
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's Monday, Monday gotta Hit List on Monday

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLF AHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

64

45

68.6

73.5

72.6

.639

.657

90.3%

7.2%

97.5%

0.3%

2.3%

The Tigers are 7-1 when Miguel Cabrera does not play. What's he good for, when you think about it?
2

66

45

62.9

68.6

68.2

.598

.617

39.3%

54.0%

93.3%

1.7%

0.3%

[tousles Wil Myers' hair] Now go hit a home run, you little scamp!
3

68

45

67.1

65.8

65.7

.590

.609

59.4%

36.4%

95.8%

1.2%

3.4%

Shane Victorino was hit twice in a game yesterday. If baseball is comparable to high school, the Diamondbacks pitchers have a crush on him.
4

65

45

70.8

68.3

66.7

.616

.596

43.7%

55.4%

99.1%

1.0%

0.6%

You can't hit 16-for-35 with runners in scoring position in a three-game series and not expect to tap into the dark arts.
5

67

45

68.9

69.1

66.7

.607

.587

99.9%

0.0%

99.9%

0.2%

2.8%

The Braves have a 12 1/2 game lead in the division. If Pythagoras had his way, the lead would be 16 1/2.
6

64

47

61.8

61.6

59.9

.557

.577

58.5%

18.7%

77.2%

-5.3%

-13.2%

They were shut out for the ninth time this year, but in all those games they never allowed more than five runs.
7

62

49

60.6

59.8

60.0

.546

.566

9.4%

41.5%

50.8%

5.0%

11.2%

The Indians have won nine of 10 games and have gained exactly ... a half-game in the standings.
8

62

50

58.9

60.3

60.5

.539

.559

41.2%

21.6%

62.9%

4.7%

20.6%

So it's known, Mitch Moreland is third on the Rangers with 17 home runs, or one more than Josh Hamilton.
9

67

44

62.3

62.2

63.6

.575

.555

48.3%

50.9%

99.2%

0.3%

3.0%

Just 15 more wins until a guaranteed winning season. They can have all the losing streaks they want.
10

61

51

63.3

64.6

65.3

.567

.548

8.0%

81.4%

89.4%

-1.5%

-2.0%

Other than allowing 31 runs in three games, the Reds pitching staff had filling meals and enjoyed lots of fresh air.
11

61

51

58.2

55.9

56.4

.517

.537

1.1%

13.3%

14.4%

-5.6%

-17.6%

Chris Davis is suddenly the front runner for another type of Triple Crown: home runs, RBIs, nostril diameter.
12

61

49

57.0

60.1

58.2

.537

.517

93.6%

1.2%

94.8%

2.3%

8.5%

The last time the Dodgers lost a game on the road was Fourth of July weekend. Think about how many hot dogs the country has eaten since then. That's a lot of dogs!
13

51

59

54.1

57.1

55.8

.495

.515

0.2%

0.1%

0.3%

-0.1%

-0.8%

They almost swept the Blue Jays in four games, but the bullpen blew the last game. Oh well. I'm sure they'll meet again in the League Championship Series!
14

56

52

55.5

49.3

50.1

.488

.508

0.3%

2.5%

2.8%

-0.1%

0.9%

Ervin Santana's last 12 starts: 11 quality starts and one game where he allowed eight runs.
15

57

53

53.7

47.9

49.0

.472

.492

0.3%

4.6%

4.9%

-1.9%

-6.3%

Looking forward to seeing how Alex Rodriguez can help the Yankees for the next two months!
16

52

59

49.8

53.2

52.9

.468

.488

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.6%

One of Justin Smoak's at bats yesterday: ball, ball, foul, foul, foul, foul, foul, foul, ball, foul, foul, foul, foul, foul, foul, base hit, long nap.
17

51

60

52.4

50.3

52.0

.463

.483

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

Allowing at least six runs in the last four games isn't "terrible," but my mother told me to always write nice things.
18

56

55

56.1

53.2

53.2

.492

.472

5.7%

5.4%

11.1%

-2.4%

-6.9%

Gerardo Parra has taken the Sun off his Christmas card list. For the best--the Sun burns any letters it receives.
19

48

60

48.1

48.1

48.5

.446

.466

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Rather than striking people out, Twins pitchers are now trying to coax batters to the dugout by baking them casseroles.
20

49

62

52.2

54.7

54.9

.475

.455

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.5%

They have DeJesus in center field and Lake in left field, and two months to figure out if one can walk over the other.
21

52

61

53.7

54.5

52.1

.470

.450

0.2%

0.1%

0.3%

-0.2%

-2.6%

One extra-base hit in a three-game series at Pittsburgh makes me think someone replaced their clubhouse vitamins with Sixlets.
22

54

57

51.6

50.9

50.8

.467

.447

0.1%

4.7%

4.8%

0.2%

-2.0%

Rafael Soriano has to untuck his jersey after a loss, even at some point.
23

49

61

48.6

51.6

52.5

.459

.439

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

-0.1%

0.0%

Five of their last nine games have been one-run losses. Perhaps more bunting is required.
24

49

60

50.5

50.3

49.5

.457

.437

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.4%

You seem to have a problem with the way Juan Lagares walks, which is rarely.
25

52

60

50.3

49.9

49.6

.451

.431

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.3%

0.4%

Yesterday Yonder Alonso went 0-for-4 and saw a total of five pitches. Neat day.
26

40

69

44.7

46.4

46.5

.408

.427

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Their one win in the past 14 games was a Jake Peavy start. I'm sure once it's his turn to pitch, they'll be back to winning form.
27

47

64

48.2

51.2

51.6

.446

.426

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Caleb Gindl's left field has been making Brewers fans forget who played left field a couple weeks ago. Brian something?
28

50

61

45.8

46.2

47.6

.427

.408

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.9%

Jonathan Papelbon didn't come to Philadelphia to lose. Can you imagine if he did?
29

43

67

44.7

40.8

41.0

.385

.366

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Nathan Eovaldi doesn't get any run support until he starts learning the outfielders' names.
30

36

74

38.5

33.3

35.5

.326

.344

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Brad Peacock shows promise as a starter, now that there is no balk rule for when he shows his colorful feathers.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
Impresario

"They have DeJesus in center field and Lake in left field, and two months to figure out if one can walk over the other."

*slow clap*

Aug 05, 2013 11:18 AM
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