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Prospectus Hit List for August 2



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 1 Hit List for August 5
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Hit Listin' Hit Listin' (Yeah!), Hit Listin' Hit Listin' (Yeah) Fun Fun Fun Fun Lookin' forward to the Hit List

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div% Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

45

60

46.1

46.3

47.0

.439

.459

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

When asked about playing out the string for a last place club, Justin Morneau laughed and said, "I play for the Twins. What'd you expect?" Okay, he didn't say that but he was probably thinking it.
2

42

65

42.4

38.6

38.7

.378

.359

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They should recalibrate the home run sculpture to go off for birthdays and bar mitzvahs. At least then it would get some use.
3

36

71

37.5

32.3

34.5

.328

.346

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

First baseman Wallace homered in a losing cause while second baseman Gromit just stood by looking sheepish.
4

40

66

43.9

45.5

45.1

.412

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

There is probably something positive to say, even in the face of a seven-game losing streak. Uhhh... nice logo?
5

46

62

47.0

50.2

50.6

.449

.429

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Ryan Braun should try the old Bobby Valentine trick. By which I mean get hired to manage the Red Sox and be really terrible at it and get fired.
6

50

58

51.4

49.4

51.2

.468

.487

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.2%

Well there's always the development of draft prospects to look forward to, wait, I'm being told no.
7

50

58

48.1

50.8

50.7

.462

.482

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-1.0%

Somewhere in some alternate universe, Tom Wilhelmsen throws strikes and goes out for a nice steak dinner.
8

49

59

51.7

53.6

53.7

.481

.462

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.3%

-0.1%

Junior Lake homered twice and also JUNIOR LAKE?!?
9

49

58

52.1

55.0

53.7

.490

.510

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.0%

-3.6%

Albert Pujols isn't ruling out coming back late in the season because as well a know gimpy ex-All Stars dealing with debilitating foot injuries are worth 10 wins.
10

48

59

47.1

50.5

51.2

.460

.440

0.4%

0.2%

0.6%

0.2%

-1.5%

How good is Buster Posey? If Buster Posey were a baseball player he'd be Buster Posey.
11

64

45

66.8

66.6

64.5

.601

.581

99.4%

0.2%

99.6%

0.2%

6.2%

The two homers Justin Upton hit last night were more than he hit in July, in June, and as many as he hit in May.
12

50

59

48.3

47.2

47.1

.442

.422

0.3%

0.2%

0.5%

-0.0%

0.2%

If you'd told a Padres fan before the season that they'd be ahead of San Francisco by this time in the season they'd have taken it. So success!
13

50

58

45.0

45.6

46.7

.434

.414

0.1%

0.3%

0.3%

-0.1%

-2.0%

The guy who didn't sign up for this spent last night John Hancocking all over the place.
14

51

59

52.7

53.7

51.2

.474

.454

0.7%

0.3%

1.0%

-0.3%

-1.4%

Todd Helton had two hits to bring his on-base percentage up to .328. So Todd Helton has an OBP of .328. That's weird.
15

48

58

49.3

49.2

48.4

.460

.440

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.1%

-0.8%

The worst part about Matt Harvey losing is that Mets fans now have to wait five more games to maybe win again.
16

58

49

54.5

58.2

56.4

.531

.511

87.5%

1.4%

89.0%

3.6%

15.8%

Ricky Nolasco gave up three homers and got the win because he's a winner.
17

54

51

53.7

47.4

48.3

.484

.504

0.5%

2.3%

2.8%

0.0%

1.6%

The Royals have won nine straight! It's crazy! But not as crazy as 15 percent off loveseats! -- probably a local Kansas City commercial
18

52

56

49.7

48.8

48.9

.462

.442

0.5%

3.0%

3.5%

0.1%

-2.3%

The Nationals were off last night which, considering their recent play, was the best possible scenario.
19

55

53

55.2

52.4

52.2

.497

.477

11.1%

5.3%

16.4%

-4.5%

-10.5%

By baseball rules someone had to stand close to the plate while Yu Darvish pitched and these guys just drew the short straw.
20

56

51

52.8

47.7

49.1

.480

.500

0.4%

6.8%

7.3%

-2.0%

-11.1%

Can the Yankees still trade for Michael Young? The good news and the bad news are the same: in a month it may not matter.
21

61

45

66.4

71.4

70.6

.635

.654

84.9%

9.5%

94.4%

-1.4%

2.2%

Can you imagine how good Miguel Cabrera would be if he could play defense? Wow!
22

63

45

61.0

60.5

58.7

.563

.583

66.8%

16.0%

82.8%

-1.2%

1.4%

The A's have a winning record against every division except the AL East.
23

60

49

56.9

55.3

55.8

.523

.543

2.0%

19.6%

21.6%

-0.2%

-13.7%

Bud Norris doesn’t pitch a baseball, he pulls the strike zone through his pitch. But that wasn’t very effective so he pitched normally and gave up two runs in six innings.
24

60

49

56.6

58.3

58.4

.535

.555

33.2%

22.3%

55.5%

2.3%

-6.7%

Yu Darvish struck out 14 in seven innings. That was just the game though. He also struck out two guys on the way back to his house, struck out his wife when he got home, struck out his cat (looking) before bedtime, and struck out your breakfast Danish while you're reading this. (You shouldn't eat so much fatty food.)
25

60

48

59.8

58.9

59.5

.551

.571

14.6%

33.5%

48.1%

1.3%

23.3%

Eight in a row for Cleveland usually means not winning but in this case it's not not winning. Hooray!
26

66

44

65.0

63.6

63.7

.587

.606

58.4%

36.7%

95.1%

1.9%

5.7%

A Red Sox fan watching the team celebrate last night's walk-off win: "Yeah! Alright! HEY WATCH OUT DON'T TOUCH CLAY!!"
27

65

43

60.2

59.9

61.5

.571

.551

46.9%

52.2%

99.2%

-0.1%

2.5%

The only team with a winning percentage over .600? Look over there, buddy. <--
28

64

44

61.4

66.7

66.5

.598

.618

39.2%

53.1%

92.3%

-0.5%

2.1%

Out to dinner last night, Joe Maddon's salad arrived and as he shifted his fork to the right side of the bowl he grinned.
29

63

44

67.7

65.2

63.6

.606

.587

38.5%

59.6%

98.1%

1.5%

-1.5%

Last night's win makes the Cardinals 3-7 against the Pirates this season.
30

60

49

64.0

64.9

65.1

.582

.563

14.5%

76.8%

91.3%

-0.2%

-4.8%

The Reds have the top two players by on-base percentage in the National League.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
crile2

As a Red Sox fan I can tell you first hand that that comment is dead on.

Aug 02, 2013 08:41 AM
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