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Prospectus Hit List for July 31



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 30 Hit List for August 1
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Something to read, 75 or 80 times in a row, until the trade deadline

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

48

57

50.6

53.5

52.0

.486

.506

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

-0.1%

-1.6%

Any more meltdowns and Ernesto Frieri will soon have the consistency of Nickelodeon© Gakô.
2

54

52

54.1

51.6

51.0

.497

.477

9.7%

6.0%

15.7%

-4.4%

-14.0%

When given the chance to use the DH, they give it to Eric Chavez and have him bat cleanup, which is kind of like seeing your dad wear a backwards cap.
3

62

45

63.9

63.9

61.9

.588

.568

98.3%

0.3%

98.6%

0.8%

6.1%

Gerald Laird has been trying to pass a kidney stone for the last few days, but so far no team is willing to part with their top prospect for it.
4

59

48

56.7

55.2

56.0

.530

.550

3.7%

24.6%

28.3%

-0.4%

-17.3%

And lo, the legend of Chris Davis returned to its proper course of hitting dingers, as he is batting fifth again.
5

64

44

63.9

62.5

62.8

.586

.605

44.8%

46.2%

91.1%

0.8%

-0.6%

From San Diego to Chicago and now Boston, Jake Peavy just keeps getting traded further eastward. By 2019 he'll be flipped to the division-contending Shanghai Marlins.
6

40

64

43.5

45.7

45.2

.419

.439

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Clearly the White Sox are buyers, since they acquired the only person in that three-team trade with World Series experience (Avisail Garcia.)
7

48

58

50.3

52.6

52.7

.480

.460

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

-0.2%

0.0%

Junior Lake is 2 for his last 19, which is still pretty good for a body of water, even though baseballs float.
8

59

49

63.1

63.7

63.9

.578

.558

11.6%

77.0%

88.6%

-1.7%

-3.6%

Maybe that home run to Chris Denorfia in the ninth is why Dusty Baker doesn't like using Aroldis Chapman in a late-inning tie game, MOM.
9

58

48

58.2

56.8

57.5

.544

.563

11.8%

32.0%

43.8%

1.5%

25.0%

Nick Swisher and Ryan Raburn both have 11 home runs, 33 RBI and zero stolen bases so I'm out of ideas on telling them apart.
10

51

57

53.6

54.4

51.9

.488

.468

1.0%

0.8%

1.9%

-0.1%

-1.2%

Another bad loss on the road, but let's be honest, when they're playing in Atlanta it's like playing in a mile-deep hole. You try focusing in something like that.
11

60

45

65.0

70.0

69.2

.629

.647

87.7%

7.1%

94.8%

-0.0%

1.1%

Perhaps Jhonny Peralta is hoping to get another convenient transposition of characters and end up serving just an 05-game suspension.
12

35

70

35.7

30.5

32.8

.319

.337

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jonathan Villar is the first person associated with the Astros to steal home since, I believe, Kenneth Lay. /topical
13

52

51

52.0

46.0

46.9

.478

.498

0.5%

1.7%

2.3%

0.6%

1.4%

Mike Moustakas' multi-homer milestone made many Missourians mighty merry.
14

57

48

53.6

57.0

55.4

.531

.511

88.7%

1.3%

90.0%

4.9%

19.1%

Small group discussion topic: what if Vin Scully took steroids and lied about it?
15

40

65

41.0

37.9

38.2

.374

.355

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Chad Qualls' accidental somersault and nonchalant recovery was quite the metaphor for the Marlins offseason.
16

46

61

47.1

50.0

50.4

.452

.432

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Permission to christen Khris Davis with the nickname "Krush."
17

45

58

45.8

45.6

46.4

.444

.464

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

They've remained starkly quiet through the trade deadline, save for Joe Mauer's audible sigh.
18

55

51

52.0

47.2

48.6

.478

.498

0.4%

6.9%

7.3%

-3.8%

-9.9%

Perhaps A-Rod is hoping that Joe Girardi pinch-hits somebody to serve his upcoming suspension.
19

48

56

48.8

48.0

47.5

.462

.442

0.1%

0.8%

0.9%

0.3%

-0.0%

Okay, kids. Any more extra-inning games against the Marlins and we're going to start handing out ties.
20

63

44

60.9

60.2

58.3

.566

.586

75.0%

12.3%

87.3%

-4.0%

5.9%

Alberto Callaspo is a good fit for Oakland for the sole reason that the Expos no longer exist. Because ... Alberto Callexpo.
21

50

56

44.9

45.4

46.5

.441

.421

0.3%

0.9%

1.2%

0.4%

-3.0%

A win, no errors and both Darin Ruf and Delmon Young played the outfield. Things are looking rosy!
22

64

42

60.6

60.2

61.5

.581

.561

52.2%

46.7%

98.9%

2.0%

1.6%

The Pirates are back! And they're downloading illegal music! Somebody stop them.
23

50

58

48.2

47.3

47.3

.446

.427

0.3%

0.1%

0.5%

-0.0%

0.1%

Any time Edinson Volquez doesn't allow a run in the first inning is a moral victory. But as statheads know, pitching moral victories are overrated.
24

50

56

47.3

49.9

49.6

.464

.484

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

-0.1%

-0.7%

Michael Morse got healthy for this?
25

46

59

45.2

48.7

49.6

.451

.432

0.3%

0.1%

0.4%

-0.2%

-2.5%

You may want to cancel the Barry Zito comeback tour. But you bought tickets? From scalper? Buddy that's not my problem.
26

62

43

65.5

63.1

61.3

.600

.580

36.2%

61.2%

97.4%

-0.7%

-1.1%

Last year they scored three runs in a 19-inning loss to Pittsburgh. Yesterday they scored one run in 20 total innings against Pittsburgh, and it counted as two losses.
27

64

43

61.6

66.8

66.8

.606

.625

51.0%

43.7%

94.7%

0.5%

8.5%

Roberto Hernandez threw a complete game in his first season with Tampa Bay. The other Roberto Hernandez never did that in three season with Tampa. Then again he was a closer, so.
28

58

49

54.8

56.2

56.2

.526

.546

24.9%

24.8%

49.7%

5.0%

-11.5%

Leonys Martin hit a three-run walkoff home run in the 10th inning of an 11-11 game and was mobbed by his teammates, making him the only person last night who was hugged and not traded.
29

49

57

50.7

49.0

50.9

.471

.491

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.2%

Mark Buehrle against the AL West this season: 30 innings, 0.30 ERA.
30

52

55

50.4

49.4

49.4

.470

.450

1.3%

4.4%

5.7%

-0.9%

-1.6%

Stephen Strasburg served up a grand slam last night. Until then, he hadn't even allowed a three-run homer.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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3 comments have been left for this article.
redsfan1470

The game wasn't tied when Chapman gave up the HR.

Jul 31, 2013 14:14 PM
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DetroitDale

Teh tgiers cmoment carcked em pu

Jul 31, 2013 16:50 PM
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BayCityM

Consistently crush it.

Jul 31, 2013 18:58 PM
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