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Prospectus Hit List for July 30



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 29 Hit List for July 31
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

What do you get if you mix some Hits and a List? It's pretty simple actually.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLF AHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

59

45

64.0

69.2

68.4

.626

.645

87.3%

7.5%

94.8%

-0.4%

3.6%

Looks like Detroit is going to try every reliever named Jose V. that exists, aren't they?
2

63

43

60.8

65.6

65.4

.601

.620

51.8%

42.4%

94.2%

1.1%

6.2%

Jerry Meals is back on their Christmas card list. (The Rays Christmas card features the entire team wearing Santa hats, with Fernando Rodney angrily trying to figure out how to make it crooked.)
3

63

44

62.8

61.5

61.7

.582

.601

44.1%

46.2%

90.3%

-2.1%

1.7%

There was a rain delay in the middle of the eighth inning, so as is tradition the fans sang "Sweet Tarpaulin."
4

62

41

65.1

63.2

61.3

.611

.591

48.5%

49.7%

98.1%

-0.4%

-0.3%

In 15 starts Jake Westbrook has struck out more than four batters in a game once, and it was entirely on accident.
5

63

43

60.9

60.2

58.3

.572

.591

81.0%

10.2%

91.3%

0.8%

8.2%

Sure, home runs are worth more in actual games, but Yoenis Cespedes probably liked the Home Run Derby better. He didn't have to jog after every terrific swing.
6

59

48

62.8

63.6

63.8

.582

.563

15.0%

75.3%

90.3%

-1.1%

-2.0%

"Mike Leake should have been an All-Star," I yell desperately into a large mall crowd while wearing a sandwich board that says "MIKE LEAKE SHOULD HAVE BEEN AN ALL-STAR."
7

61

45

62.5

62.6

60.7

.582

.563

97.2%

0.6%

97.8%

0.6%

4.6%

Scott Downs earned the win for his new team the day he was traded. Who wrote this script? Seriously, who wrote a script about a Braves game in July?
8

57

48

57.4

56.2

56.9

.542

.561

12.4%

29.8%

42.3%

2.7%

19.6%

Giambi's ninth career walk-off home run looked a lot like his first one, only this one was filmed in color.
9

62

42

58.8

58.0

59.2

.572

.552

36.6%

60.3%

96.9%

0.6%

1.3%

Things are going well when Russell Martin is intentionally walked and it's not even to bring up a pitcher.
10

58

48

56.1

54.6

55.4

.528

.548

3.5%

25.2%

28.7%

-3.3%

-17.6%

It took 45 games before Chris Davis batted third again, so he is on pace to hit in the 3-hole again by the end of September.
11

57

49

54.0

55.4

55.5

.523

.543

18.8%

26.0%

44.7%

2.5%

-18.3%

Geovany Soto's walkoff home run sent the fans home happy! Relatively speaking, at least. Lots of them have work today.
12

48

56

50.3

53.4

51.8

.489

.509

0.1%

0.4%

0.5%

-0.6%

-2.3%

J.B. Shuck almost hit his first career dinger back in June against Matt Garza, but replay overturned it. Last night he hit his first career home run off Matt Garza.
13

56

48

53.0

56.1

54.6

.528

.508

83.3%

1.8%

85.1%

-1.1%

14.1%

The following pitchers have at least three wins this month: Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Brandon League. The Mount Rushmore of good Dodgers pitching.
14

55

50

51.6

47.1

48.4

.481

.501

0.7%

10.4%

11.1%

-0.1%

-1.9%

A-Rod makes most baseball fans unhappy, but A-Rod also makes Yankees fans even unhappier. So congratulations, MLB. You made A-Rod a sympathetic figure. Not an easy task.
15

51

51

50.9

44.7

45.7

.471

.491

0.2%

1.4%

1.7%

-0.2%

1.1%

Guess who leads the team in Baseball-Reference WAR. Nope. Nope. Nope. Nope. He doesn't play for them anymore. Nope. Nope. He retired! Okay we're going to be here all day, it's Lorenzo Cain (3.0).
16

50

55

47.4

50.0

49.6

.469

.489

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

-0.4%

-0.2%

You can designate Jason Bay for assignment, but you can't keep him out of baseball. Not as long as the Yankees have a working telephone.
17

48

57

49.7

48.1

49.8

.466

.486

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.1%

Their trip to Oakland should make them feel at home, since Oakland's stadium is basically Toronto's except it's outdoors and the fans aren't even close to singing "O Canada" properly.
18

54

51

53.9

51.8

51.3

.503

.483

14.5%

5.6%

20.1%

2.1%

-6.1%

Paul Goldschmidt has more than 20 percent of the team's RBIs. Miguel Montero is third on the team with RBis ... with 34.
19

51

56

53.9

54.7

52.2

.495

.475

1.4%

0.6%

2.0%

-0.9%

-2.8%

What a waste of a perfectly existent Michael Cuddyer triple.
20

45

57

45.8

45.9

46.5

.449

.469

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Casey Fien leads the team in pitching appearances. In second place is "a long deep sigh."
21

48

56

49.5

51.7

52.0

.484

.464

0.0%

0.5%

0.5%

-0.1%

-0.3%

It would behoove the Cubs to ask for the trade deadline to be extended to September 15th to prolong teams and media to sing high praises about their top veterans.
22

52

54

50.3

49.2

49.0

.473

.453

2.2%

4.4%

6.6%

-0.2%

-1.6%

14 runs from their offense is a season high. This is where a football fan may make a Redskins joke, but I'm going to see if D.C. has a lacrosse team! ...they do not. Well, this is awkward.
23

40

63

43.3

45.3

44.7

.421

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Dayan Viciedo's last six games: .500/.522/.818. Team record the last six games: 1-5. Womp. Womp.
24

47

56

48.1

46.9

46.5

.458

.438

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.1%

-0.3%

Their five-game losing streak against the Marlins is over. No time like the present to start a new one.
25

46

58

45.2

48.7

49.7

.456

.436

0.5%

0.1%

0.6%

0.2%

-3.2%

Not to beat that Cubs series into the ground, but they scored three runs and loaded the bases five times.
26

44

61

45.9

48.9

49.4

.448

.428

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Brewers pitches have tossed 45 straight scoreless innings if you only include games against the Cubs and Marlins.
27

49

58

47.5

46.6

46.6

.443

.423

0.4%

0.1%

0.5%

0.3%

0.2%

We will never be able to tell which players have been dealt to other teams on account of the camouflage.
28

49

56

43.9

44.5

45.6

.436

.416

0.4%

0.4%

0.8%

-0.2%

-3.8%

The team leader in walks is Michael Young with 35. Haha! I am joking! Double-haha, I am not :-(
29

40

64

40.7

38.0

38.3

.378

.359

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Everybody in their lineup yesterday was 25 or younger except for Ed Lucas (a 31-year-old rookie) and Jeff Mathis (a 30-year-old Aries).
30

35

69

35.4

30.2

32.5

.320

.338

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

And with the acquisition of Danry Vasquez, Houston has officially collected every prospect. All that's left to bring in are their missing Pokémon cards.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
DetroitDale

Re: the tigers comment: Only the Jose V's from Houston.

Jul 30, 2013 19:38 PM
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