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Prospectus Hit List for July 25



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 24 Hit List for July 26
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

#jokes

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff% 1-Day7-Day
1

53

47

50.8

53.3

51.6

.522

.502

75.5%

1.7%

77.2%

6.3%

27.0%

The last time they lost, the Duchess of Cambridge was pregnant.
2

56

45

52.7

54.5

54.7

.539

.559

37.6%

27.3%

65.0%

3.8%

-8.2%

I wouldn't be surprised if Jon Daniels just started robodialing every other general manager asking for an outfielder.
3

53

48

54.2

52.8

53.2

.528

.548

8.5%

13.2%

21.7%

2.9%

-10.5%

You know, the Indians batting order is a lot like life. You start out Bourn and you end up Stubbs. (You work at a fireworks store in this example)
4

57

44

59.4

59.7

57.5

.578

.558

94.5%

0.4%

95.0%

2.5%

5.2%

Did you see Tim Hudson's injury last night? Hug your own ankle every day and tell it you love it.
5

60

42

58.3

62.5

62.3

.596

.615

40.8%

47.7%

88.5%

2.4%

14.4%

If you were to make a movie about this team, nobody would believe it. Seriously, catwalks in the field of play?
6

58

44

60.5

61.5

62.0

.593

.574

16.2%

78.2%

94.3%

2.1%

11.1%

The Reds have won six of seven against San Francisco this year and are probably glad it's not a best-of-13.
7

59

42

57.6

56.9

55.2

.566

.586

61.6%

21.7%

83.3%

2.0%

-0.7%

The A's *could* buy a veteran at the deadline, or they could build one from scratch out of sand and pebbles and insert him into the rotation.
8

61

37

63.7

62.5

60.5

.632

.613

54.6%

44.7%

99.3%

0.8%

1.6%

Carlos Beltran is a measly 2-for-15 since the All-Star Game, so this six-game winning streak is definitely his fault.
9

56

44

60.5

65.3

64.6

.616

.635

91.1%

3.2%

94.4%

0.7%

4.4%

In the three games Miguel Cabrera has missed to injury, they've scored at least six runs. If they want to win the World Series they better put him on the disabled list.
10

47

52

48.3

51.1

49.5

.495

.515

0.7%

2.0%

2.7%

0.7%

-1.2%

Joe Blanton being dropped from the rotation will make it difficult for him to lose 20 games, unless they are moving him to closer.
11

48

53

50.2

51.2

48.8

.491

.471

3.0%

0.4%

3.4%

0.3%

-6.0%

Their last nine games, their team ERA is 2.03. They're 5-4 in those games. Maybe if they had more batters start the All-Star Game.
12

60

39

55.7

55.6

57.2

.577

.557

29.2%

68.2%

97.4%

0.2%

4.8%

Francisco Liriano hasn't allowed a run in two of his last three starts. His other start: five earned runs. Francisco Liriano's back!
13

45

53

47.7

48.7

49.2

.486

.466

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.1%

-0.4%

They are no doubt happy with the prospects they got for Matt Garza, but honestly they were just done looking at that beard.
14

37

62

38.1

35.0

35.4

.367

.349

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Their lineup yesterday featured four rookies, two second-year players, Giancarlo, Polanco and Mathis. That should be their slogan!
15

34

66

34.2

29.7

32.0

.325

.343

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They haven't lost six games in a row since ... Monday. But that was two whole days ago!
16

43

55

44.2

44.1

44.5

.448

.468

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

After winning a game by scoring seven runs in the 10th inning, they lost a game 1-0. Tomorrow's lesson: everything in moderation.
17

42

58

43.4

46.5

47.3

.448

.428

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Why couldn't it have been Yuniesky Betancourt who lied about Biogenesis connections? Because Yuni always tells the truth, son.
18

39

59

41.5

43.0

42.1

.422

.442

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

GARAGE SALE, US CELLULAR FIELD SATURDAY 8:30 AM - 1:00 PM
19

47

51

47.4

41.9

43.0

.457

.477

0.4%

0.4%

0.8%

-0.1%

0.1%

That's what you call back-to-back series wins against the Tigers and the Orioles with a nice fat run differential of -6.
20

44

53

45.3

43.5

43.3

.454

.434

0.6%

0.3%

0.8%

-0.1%

-0.3%

If Marlon Byrd gets traded then every position player will have been born in the '80s or later. Then they can finally watch "Saved By The Bell" in the clubhouse.
21

45

57

44.6

44.7

44.6

.438

.419

0.2%

0.0%

0.2%

-0.2%

-0.2%

They're just a couple games behind the San Francisco Giants, which was presumably their goal in April, so things are going well!
22

45

55

46.8

44.5

46.9

.458

.478

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.3%

-1.7%

Prior to allowing five runs in the 10th inning yesterday, the Jays allowed six runs in extra innings all year.
23

48

53

45.1

47.8

47.7

.467

.487

0.1%

0.5%

0.6%

-0.4%

0.4%

In an effort to win their ninth straight game, all they got was two singles and a poke in the eye.
24

46

55

44.1

47.7

48.7

.462

.442

1.7%

0.4%

2.1%

-0.9%

-4.4%

Look, since 2010 they have only the World Series in even-numbered years and missed the playoffs in odd ones. It's a weird deal they have with the trickster baseball gods, but it's one they must live with.
25

49

52

44.2

44.8

45.2

.453

.434

2.3%

1.0%

3.3%

-0.9%

-3.0%

I could see this team making a move down the stretch, trading Delmon Young to themselves.
26

61

42

60.5

59.7

59.6

.584

.604

50.5%

39.5%

90.0%

-1.6%

-0.4%

It's awful nice of Craig Breslow to finish everyone's homework so the team can focus on baseball.
27

48

53

46.9

46.3

46.2

.464

.444

2.6%

1.6%

4.1%

-3.1%

-17.4%

Remember that this team used to be Expos. Congratulations, the last five years of this franchise has finally made sense.
28

53

48

49.8

45.4

46.2

.481

.501

1.5%

12.0%

13.5%

-3.7%

-9.1%

If the deal gets done, they're going to make Alfonso Soriano play third base, right? Right!?
29

57

45

55.0

53.1

53.6

.536

.556

7.2%

32.2%

39.4%

-6.2%

12.6%

Chris Davis hasn't homered in six games after the All-Star break. Is he in a slump? Cool, then you pitch to him.
30

52

49

51.7

48.9

48.7

.498

.478

19.6%

2.9%

22.4%

-7.2%

-18.0%

"I don't get it. I don't get it. I don't get it. I don't get it." Brandon McCarthy's teammates skimming through his Twitter feed

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


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