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Prospectus Hit List for July 24



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 23 Hit List for July 25
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Step by step, day by day, a fresh start over, a different hand to play.

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

60

37

62.5

61.2

59.3

.626

.607

51.9%

46.5%

98.5%

0.1%

0.8%

Shelby Miller is to pitching what cheddar is to cheese: damn delicious.
2

61

41

60.3

59.5

59.4

.589

.608

56.9%

34.7%

91.6%

3.1%

1.2%

Jon Lester threw 6 1/3 innings, and was neither great nor awful. Somewhere someone is freaking out about this.
3

55

44

59.6

64.7

64.0

.614

.633

91.3%

2.4%

93.7%

2.5%

3.7%

With Miguel Cabrera out of the lineup, Jim Leyland turned to Matt Tuiasosopo to hit third. He knows Prince Fielder is on his team, right?
4

57

44

59.5

60.9

61.4

.591

.572

17.1%

75.1%

92.2%

-0.1%

9.0%

Joey Votto homered, which will go down on the scoresheet as four walks.
5

56

44

58.2

58.5

56.4

.573

.553

91.7%

0.8%

92.5%

-0.7%

2.8%

Running down the positives for the Braves, let's see, Uggla stole a base... and, thanks for coming.
6

59

42

57.3

61.5

61.4

.592

.611

32.7%

53.5%

86.1%

-1.8%

12.0%

Kyle Farnsworth farnsworthed.
7

58

42

57.0

56.2

54.7

.565

.584

63.1%

18.3%

81.4%

-1.7%

-2.7%

Yoenis Cespedes: (successful!) $8.5 million pinch-hitter
8

59

39

55.0

55.1

56.6

.576

.556

30.9%

66.3%

97.3%

1.7%

4.7%

According to Pedro Alvarez, women dig the long ball, don't mind strikeouts, and are utterly unconcerned about on-base percentage.
9

57

44

54.6

52.7

53.3

.538

.558

8.6%

37.0%

45.6%

-0.6%

18.7%

Manny Machado homered, which is like turning two doubles into zero doubles. Does he not understand that he's disappointing the kids??
10

52

48

52.8

51.4

51.7

.520

.540

8.1%

10.7%

18.8%

-3.9%

-13.3%

After hitting two in his first six games, Yan Gomes hit his second homer since May 23rd. Baseball: easily predicted!
11

55

45

52.0

53.4

53.8

.535

.555

35.9%

25.3%

61.2%

-1.9%

-12.0%

It's oddly appropriate that Matt Garza would be traded to Texas, the place where they invented the spittoon.
12

52

48

51.3

48.1

47.9

.499

.479

25.4%

4.2%

29.6%

3.5%

-10.8%

Eric Chavez had two hits and three RBIs, meaning he is likely off the disabled list at the moment. Can't be sure though.
13

52

47

49.7

51.8

50.2

.514

.494

69.0%

1.9%

70.9%

-0.1%

20.7%

Matt Kemp thinks Ryan Braun should lose his MVP award. Not related in any way, but you'll never guess who finished second for the award.
14

47

53

49.6

50.7

48.4

.489

.469

2.9%

0.2%

3.1%

-1.7%

-6.3%

The Rockies managed just five hits, but, and here's the bad news, with the ballpark adjustment it was only 3.6.
15

53

47

49.5

45.5

46.3

.486

.506

1.8%

15.4%

17.2%

4.3%

-5.4%

Another big boring save for Mariano Rivera. One-two-three. Ho hum. The era of boring ninth innings is almost over.
16

46

52

47.7

50.4

48.9

.492

.512

0.5%

1.4%

2.0%

-0.8%

-1.9%

There are two ways to look at last night's loss to the Twins, but both involve losing to the Twins.
17

44

53

47.1

48.3

48.9

.485

.465

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.5%

-0.5%

Cubs fans are reportedly being turned away at the gates of Wrigley Field and told to go to Iowa or Tennessee. The Cubs: future is elsewhere!
18

46

51

46.8

41.3

42.3

.455

.474

0.5%

0.4%

0.9%

0.3%

0.2%

Bruce Chen has a 1.97 ERA! I repeat: Bruce Chen has a 1.97 ERA!
19

45

54

46.8

44.9

47.2

.465

.484

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.1%

-1.4%

If the Blue Jays canít be in first place themselves the least they can do is help other teams get there. Youíre welcome, Dodgers!
20

48

52

46.6

45.9

45.8

.466

.446

4.8%

2.4%

7.3%

-0.9%

-14.3%

The Nationals have lost five straight and are eight games behind Atlanta. Feel free to shut down Strasburg now, guys. We wonít mind this time.
21

48

52

45.6

48.3

48.3

.475

.495

0.5%

0.6%

1.0%

0.4%

0.8%

During the Mariners eight game win streak, they've gone from 14 games out to 10. Progress?
22

44

52

45.4

43.6

43.4

.459

.439

0.6%

0.3%

0.9%

0.1%

-0.2%

The Mets are two games behind the Nationals. So that's pretty weird.
23

49

51

44.6

45.1

45.3

.460

.440

2.9%

1.3%

4.2%

-0.4%

-2.1%

Michael Young knows that when a groundball comes near him he should dive for it, not near it. He knows that, but sometimes it doesn't seem like it.
24

45

56

44.3

44.6

44.4

.441

.422

0.3%

0.1%

0.4%

0.1%

-0.0%

Fifteen hits, six runs, two hits from Chase Headley, a homer from Nick Hundley, a starting pitcher who pitched well. And just for one evening, 2013 was perfect in San Diego. Er, Milwaukee.
25

46

54

44.1

47.3

48.2

.464

.444

2.5%

0.5%

2.9%

-0.8%

-3.6%

Barry Zito is like a baby pooping in its pants. You get tired of it pretty quickly, but maybe, just maybe, you'll miss it when it's gone [applause]
26

43

54

43.8

43.9

44.3

.451

.471

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

Joe Mauer is such a company man that his wife is having twins.
27

41

58

42.7

45.6

46.5

.444

.424

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Hey Ryan Braun: Iím sorry. Figured you could use an extra one.
28

39

58

41.4

42.6

41.6

.424

.444

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In attempt to add a fourth true outcome, Adam Dunn committed an error.
29

37

61

37.8

34.5

35.0

.368

.350

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Christian Yelich had three hits in his debut. The last player to do that (according to ESPN stats and info) was J.P. Arencibia, so rarified air and all that.
30

34

65

33.8

29.4

31.7

.325

.343

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Facing a team they are 0-10 against this season, down two in the ninth inning against a closer who hasn't blown a lead all year, of course the Astros won. Of course.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
trueblue33

I believe the last player to have 3 hits in his debut was Junior Lake, all the way back....on June 21.

14-27, 2 homers, 2 caught stealing, and 2 errors to start his career....now THAT'S excitement!

Jul 25, 2013 00:04 AM
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fgbaloh

We're movin on up, to a high rise apartment in the sky....

Pirates fan

Jul 25, 2013 07:17 AM
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