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Prospectus Hit List for July 22



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 15 Hit List for July 23
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

And we're back, ready for round two.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff% 1-Day7-Day
1

57

41

56.0

54.7

53.6

.544

.564

65.0%

17.4%

82.4%

4.1%

-1.6%

The last time Bartolo Colon had three shutouts in a season, one of them was with the Expos.
2

52

46

52.0

50.6

50.9

.510

.530

16.8%

13.1%

30.0%

3.4%

-2.1%

Since June 1, Jason Kipnis has hit [arbitrarily moves beads around on abacus] pretty well.
3

56

43

53.0

50.9

51.7

.502

.522

7.4%

33.9%

41.3%

3.2%

14.4%

Just giving up seven runs in a three-game series is pretty good. It was also against the Rangers, which means the Orioles' starting rotation discovered cheat codes.
4

50

47

47.6

50.2

48.9

.556

.536

60.8%

2.9%

63.7%

2.8%

13.5%

"Matt Kemp's back!" That's much better news than when he falls to the field and everybody screams, "Matt Kemp's back!"
5

60

40

59.2

58.7

58.4

.564

.584

59.1%

32.4%

91.5%

2.3%

1.0%

Ryan Dempster's nickname around Boston has to be "The Dempsterster."
6

58

41

56.4

60.1

60.0

.564

.584

31.6%

53.2%

84.9%

2.0%

10.7%

Of course they've won 17 of 19 games. Rays are physically unable to go backwards.
7

57

39

53.4

53.7

55.2

.539

.519

26.2%

67.6%

93.8%

1.9%

1.2%

Clearly they need a bat, but more fittingly someone to swing it during baseball games.
8

51

47

49.9

47.0

46.9

.504

.484

27.9%

4.1%

32.0%

1.2%

-8.4%

It's this new system they have: the closer on any given game is whichever arm delivery Kirk Gibson thinks finds the funniest.
9

59

37

61.6

60.2

58.3

.576

.556

57.0%

41.3%

98.3%

0.9%

0.6%

For as great as Matt Carpenter is playing, few others in the country named Matt are Carpenters.
10

43

51

44.2

42.6

42.3

.467

.447

0.8%

0.6%

1.4%

0.7%

0.3%

Business idea: paint Matt Harvey's piercing dreamy eyes in the outfield so he can be with us always.
11

53

44

57.7

62.7

62.2

.588

.607

82.6%

5.5%

88.1%

0.2%

-1.9%

No one's quite sure what's wrong with Justin Verlander, but he keeps muttering something about a "row's bud."
12

39

56

41.3

42.7

41.4

.444

.464

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

Stop hugging Alex Rios unless you really mean he's been traded to a contender. Even if you have deep affection for him, just shoot him a smile until this whole thing blows over.
13

43

53

46.3

48.0

48.3

.477

.457

0.0%

0.5%

0.5%

0.0%

-0.3%

Matt Garza checks the Hit List every day to see if he's finally been traded. Not yet, Matt. By the way, Matt, you should call your mother.
14

33

64

32.9

28.9

31.1

.357

.376

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Allowing four runs on one hit? See, they CAN invent new ways to lose!
15

43

56

42.7

42.7

42.9

.446

.426

0.2%

0.1%

0.3%

0.0%

-0.1%

The All-Star Break couldn't have come at a better time for them. But unfortunately for them it didn't last three months.
16

35

61

36.4

33.1

33.7

.390

.372

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Three games against the Brewers, zero runs scored. But on the positive side, it wasn't four games.
17

55

43

57.4

57.5

55.5

.542

.522

88.8%

2.1%

90.9%

-0.0%

1.1%

Mike Minor pitched the Braves' first complete game loss since Tim Hudson in 2010. Both games were interleague.
18

41

54

41.9

42.3

42.7

.430

.449

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

0.0%

Opposing scouts are starting to feel Glen Perkins' kidney areas and taking copious notes. The trade deadline just got super weird.
19

41

56

42.4

45.6

46.2

.462

.442

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.0%

Caleb Gindl waited until the 13th inning to hit his first career home run which won the game, giving us all three more hours of Brewers-Marlins than is federally allowed by law.
20

46

52

44.4

47.1

47.0

.474

.494

0.2%

0.3%

0.5%

-0.1%

0.3%

Where were you when the Mariners' 23-game streak with at least one home run ended? Remember that you are under oath.
21

48

51

50.1

50.7

48.6

.483

.463

6.6%

1.0%

7.6%

-0.3%

-1.7%

Apocalyptic reminder that the Rockies had three players start the All-Star game.
22

45

52

46.8

44.4

46.8

.491

.511

0.0%

0.8%

0.9%

-0.3%

-1.0%

On Friday they hit four home runs and lost. In the steroid era, this was commonplace.
23

45

50

46.5

41.1

42.1

.465

.485

0.5%

0.3%

0.8%

-0.4%

0.2%

Jeremy Guthrie gave up five runs in six innings and wins. James Shields allowed three runs in seven innings and loses. The moral of the story: wins/losses are a function of run support, which is a function of how much the grand wizard in the center field fountain likes you.
24

49

50

44.4

45.1

45.1

.466

.446

3.5%

2.3%

5.8%

-0.9%

-0.5%

Show some leadership, Michael Young, and actually execute the trade of yourself to a team that needs you.
25

55

43

56.3

57.4

57.8

.564

.544

16.8%

70.7%

87.6%

-2.0%

4.3%

Homer Bailey leads his team in strikeouts, has thrown a no-hitter and also has the Reds' rotation's highest ERA. Mind: asploded.
26

48

50

46.2

45.4

45.0

.509

.489

6.9%

5.6%

12.5%

-2.1%

-9.1%

Despite scoring just 24 runs in their last 10 games, [insert encouraging proverb here].
27

45

52

44.2

48.0

48.5

.492

.472

4.4%

1.1%

5.5%

-2.2%

-1.0%

They've won 5 of their last 7 games; before that they won 5 of 24 games.
28

46

50

47.5

50.0

48.4

.528

.548

1.4%

2.7%

4.1%

-2.2%

0.2%

Sure, homerless J.B. Shuck's OPS is higher than Josh Hamilton's. But it's still only April. Also someone tampered with my calendar.
29

54

44

50.8

51.7

52.0

.537

.557

33.4%

25.1%

58.5%

-6.0%

-14.7%

Since the Wild Card game last year, they're 2-5 against Baltimore. All of this is connected.
30

52

46

48.8

45.3

45.9

.523

.542

1.8%

15.2%

17.1%

-6.1%

-5.5%

Just a thought, but they could fill those empty luxury seats with injured Yankees players.