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Prospectus Hit List for July 12



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 11 Hit List for July 15
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

No weak ends here!

RkTmWLW1W2W3 HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

50

41

54.1

59.3

58.9

.588

.607

86.1%

3.8%

89.8%

-3.2%

0.1%

"Victor Martinez provides better defense than Prince Fielder at first base" is both a true statement and an invitation for you to try out to play first base for the Tigers.
2

55

35

58.2

57.0

55.3

.575

.555

52.3%

44.1%

96.3%

-0.2%

3.2%

Four hits and no runs against the Cubs is exactly the reason they built breweries in St. Louis.
3

57

37

56.3

55.4

55.1

.564

.584

65.7%

25.4%

91.1%

1.4%

-1.4%

After throwing 5 2/3 innings of scoreless relief, Steven Wright was made available to the media but reporters couldn't hear him because he was in parentheses.
4

51

41

52.8

54.5

54.5

.563

.544

13.6%

64.3%

77.9%

-2.6%

-13.8%

Tony Cingrani was used as a pinch-runner yesterday. He's a pitcher, but also has "ran" in his name, so I can see both sides.
5

53

40

52.3

55.7

56.1

.560

.579

23.6%

50.0%

73.6%

6.4%

30.5%

Matt Moore's fine game against the Twins is proof he deserved to be named an All-Star replacement. Related: Matt Moore wasn't on the All-Star team yet?
6

46

45

43.9

46.5

45.4

.553

.533

58.6%

2.5%

61.1%

4.2%

32.6%

He hasn't even been in the states for a full year and Yasiel Puig already lost an American election. Trial by fire, I guess.
7

53

39

55.2

55.0

53.0

.550

.530

86.5%

4.5%

91.0%

1.3%

1.4%

Congratulations, America. The All-Star Game has an additional player who wears glasses.
8

54

38

52.5

51.8

50.3

.544

.564

51.3%

28.6%

79.9%

-1.3%

5.8%

Josh Donaldson continues to stare at his phone, waiting for the call. It never rings. Days go by. Turns out that he was looking at his iPod touch. We've all been there.
9

53

39

48.9

49.3

49.1

.543

.563

46.0%

27.3%

73.3%

-6.2%

-5.2%

Adrian Beltre had three home runs in June and has already smashed six this month so that makes him on pace for ... I guess more than three.
10

54

36

50.5

49.9

51.4

.541

.521

34.1%

57.7%

91.9%

1.5%

-1.3%

Pedro Alvarez is now in the Home Run Derby as a replacement after getting some top-notch advice from teammate Brandon Inge: "Try to hit home runs in the Home Run Derby."
11

44

46

45.8

47.8

46.5

.535

.555

2.7%

7.2%

9.9%

-0.3%

-2.2%

Joe Blanton has allowed 22 home runs this year, none to Chris Davis or Miguel Cabrera and believe me, he's tried.
12

50

42

46.6

42.9

43.3

.526

.546

5.3%

26.6%

31.8%

-0.4%

-2.7%

Derek Jeter comes back for a game and gets hurt again? Might as well call him Captain Cup Of Coffee.
13

47

45

44.7

43.3

43.1

.516

.496

11.0%

15.8%

26.8%

-3.3%

6.8%

Wilson Ramos has 21 hits and 16 RBIs in 20 games, mostly batting eighth. Such is the mystery of the National League.
14

48

44

47.2

44.3

44.2

.505

.485

32.1%

4.6%

36.7%

0.9%

-7.9%

"Wade Miley" is also what a prospector might tell you if you need to know how far to go down a river before panning for gold.
15

48

44

47.8

46.3

46.9

.503

.523

12.9%

9.0%

21.9%

3.6%

-9.0%

Danny Salazar is the fourth Indians pitcher to strike out seven in his major-league debut, joining Luis Tiant, Herb Score and Floyd Weaver. So, a 1-in-3 chance this doesn't turn out depressing.
16

51

42

49.1

47.8

48.6

.499

.519

5.3%

19.0%

24.2%

1.9%

-13.9%

Chris Davis finally eclipsed his homer total from last year (33), but still is 50 homers short of that season Davis played in an independent Lilliputian league.
17

44

47

44.5

41.8

43.7

.493

.513

0.1%

2.3%

2.4%

-1.6%

-0.6%

We passed the Delabar Exam on our first try! We can now practice law and help All-Star snubs sue Major League Baseball for small sample size discrimination.
18

41

50

40.1

44.1

44.9

.486

.466

3.3%

0.6%

3.9%

0.4%

-8.9%

Gregor Blanco is 3-for-3 with a single, double and triple in his career against Luke Gregerson. Who's the Gregor father now?!
19

41

49

44.2

45.2

45.4

.480

.460

0.0%

0.9%

0.9%

0.3%

0.2%

Looks like Kevin Gregg figured out how to be a good closer: just start wearing goggles. Eric Gagne figured that out, as did Mariano Rivera (who only used them for crossword puzzles after the game.)
20

44

49

46.2

47.6

45.3

.480

.460

5.6%

0.6%

6.2%

-3.6%

-10.9%

You can count on one hand the number of runs Rex Brothers has allowed this year. Well, maybe not you, Fireworks Fred.
21

43

46

44.4

38.9

39.5

.471

.491

1.1%

0.8%

1.9%

-0.0%

-1.1%

They're in New York, and somehow George Brett is not teaching his hitters to run out of the dugout and yell at the umpires. That, or they're not listening to him.
22

40

48

41.2

40.0

39.7

.467

.447

0.2%

0.9%

1.1%

-0.1%

0.5%

Hopefully they used their off day to prepare for the All-Star Game and fix that glaring typo on their giant "City Field" sign.
23

46

47

41.4

42.4

42.7

.466

.447

2.3%

3.6%

6.0%

1.8%

1.8%

I am assuming Ben Revere chooses not to hit the ball over the outfield fence because then they wouldn't get the ball back and the game would be over.
24

40

52

38.7

42.5

42.8

.461

.481

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.1%

This team has hit a home run in each of the last 19 games, which is further proof that in the Pacific Northwest their number system starts at 20 and works its way down.
25

37

54

38.3

41.2

42.4

.453

.433

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

So much for Biogenesis thinking of opening up a Milwaukee branch.
26

41

52

40.9

40.1

39.9

.448

.428

0.4%

0.0%

0.4%

-0.6%

-3.7%

It's too bad Petco Park doesn't have more trees because then Kyle Blanks could rescue way more cats than he does now.
27

36

53

38.0

39.1

37.6

.443

.462

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

"Do you recall the name of that White Sox catcher that hit the crucial grand slam yesterday?" "Maybe phaguely?"
28

37

52

38.7

39.5

39.9

.427

.446

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

This city is one Joe Mauer To The Yankees trade rumor from falling into despair.
29

33

57

34.3

31.8

32.3

.394

.375

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Marlinado (2013, drama): Unusual weather patterns cause a group of Miami Marlins to fall from the sky and crash into ballparks over the continent, specifically to contending teams.
30

32

59

31.6

27.0

29.2

.361

.379

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They called up Jarred Cosart already, perhaps so he can throw to Jason Castro because their last names have the same letters in them.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
RaysProf

Yea! Why wasn't Matt Moore on the All Star team? Maybe because the managers read Baseball Prospectus which lists Moore as having about the 50th best season in the Majors. (PVORP, WARP.) Shoot, Mark Buehrle is having a better season.

Jul 12, 2013 16:15 PM
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teaaker

Just wanted to let you know that I love this column! Always good for a few laughs each day.
""Wade Miley" is also what a prospector might tell you if you need to know how far to go down a river before panning for gold." hahaha

Jul 13, 2013 11:32 AM
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