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Prospectus Hit List for July 9



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 8 Hit List for July 10
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Let 'er rip, fellas.

RkTm WLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

32

56

33.0

30.5

30.9

.382

.363

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Marlins used 20 different players in 14 innings to score one run. But, oh, what a heck of a run it was!
2

32

57

31.0

26.3

28.4

.356

.374

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros have a 4.83 team ERA, which, if you slashed a run off of, would tie the Cubs for 13th in baseball.
3

34

52

35.6

36.2

34.4

.437

.456

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

There is a picture of Luis Valbuena high-fiving Alfonso Soriano after the Cubs win in South Chicago last night. In the background there are a bunch of empty seats. This is called fitting.
4

36

52

37.3

40.0

41.1

.458

.439

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

With two outs in the ninth and a one-run lead, Carlos Gomez climbed the wall in center field and stole a two-run home run from Joey Votto, saving the game and the 36-52 Brewers' season wait what.
5

37

49

37.8

38.9

39.3

.431

.451

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.3%

It's nice how in the midst of a 2-11 stretch nobody is talking about how the Twins should dump Joe Mauer. Somewhere people realize you need good players to win baseball games.
6

38

48

39.2

38.3

38.0

.468

.448

0.4%

0.6%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

Matt Harvey gave up three runs in seven innings marking the actual moment in time when I became utterly disinterested in the 2013 Mets.
7

39

48

43.1

44.3

44.3

.483

.463

0.0%

0.9%

0.9%

0.1%

-0.0%

The Cubs are supposedly in talks with Matt Garza about a contract extension, which is not in any way a smoke screen to drum up interest in the pitcher before the trade deadline no not at all never.
8

40

50

39.6

39.3

39.1

.451

.432

1.2%

0.0%

1.2%

-0.4%

-5.9%

Mark Kotsay, 37, has produced -1.4 WARP since he turned 30. That must be one hell of a clubhouse speech he can give.
9

40

49

38.3

42.3

42.6

.471

.490

0.1%

0.5%

0.6%

0.3%

0.5%

Forty-one-year-old Raul Ibanez hit his 22nd homer, prompting Abraham Lincoln to rise from his grave, don his top hat one last time and, reaching for a copy of the Gettysburg Address, loudly proclaim, "If Raul can do it, so can I!"
10

40

48

39.4

42.6

43.6

.489

.469

6.3%

0.5%

6.7%

-1.2%

-9.8%

Tim Lincecum struck out 11 against only one walk in seven innings. No joke here! Oh, the Giants lost, but no joke here!
11

42

44

43.9

37.8

38.5

.472

.492

0.8%

1.5%

2.3%

0.4%

-1.1%

With the bases loaded and no outs, Greg Holland struck out three Yankees. Stupid rules, making him stop at three.
12

43

45

43.4

40.8

42.6

.494

.514

0.5%

3.4%

3.9%

0.9%

-3.4%

27-36 (.429), 11-0 (1.000), 5-9 (.357)
13

43

45

44.2

46.1

44.9

.532

.551

2.2%

10.3%

12.6%

0.5%

1.2%

Josh Hamilton has the seventh-highest slugging percentage on the Angels. He's behind Hank Conger and Peter Bourjos.
14

43

47

45.2

46.7

44.7

.485

.465

7.5%

0.9%

8.5%

0.6%

-11.7%

The Rockies were without Carlos Gonzalez, Troy Tulowitzki, and Dexter Fowler yet they won anyway. After the game they traded the three to the Yankees for “future considerations.”
15

43

45

41.1

43.2

42.4

.534

.514

39.3%

2.3%

41.6%

9.6%

14.0%

Yes, Zack Greinke threw seven shutout innings and went 3-for-3, but Yasiel Puig!
16

44

46

40.0

41.4

41.5

.467

.447

2.1%

2.5%

4.7%

0.7%

2.5%

Ben Revere doubled. It was his 45th extra-base hit. In his career. Consisting of 1,377 plate appearances.
17

46

43

43.2

41.3

41.2

.515

.495

14.8%

13.6%

28.4%

0.1%

4.4%

The Nationals used Chad Tracy as a pinch-hitter. Chad Tracy is hitting .136/.176/.259. Chad Tracy: because we all need to be reminded once in a while how difficult it is to hit.
18

46

43

45.9

44.4

45.1

.500

.520

8.1%

12.7%

20.8%

-3.7%

-19.7%

On the day Jeremy Bonderman got released, Scott Kazmir threw five innings, walked three, struck out five, and gave up two runs. He left the game holding his fist to the sky, partly in solidarity and partly because he'd pulled something in his forearm.
19

47

42

46.3

43.9

43.8

.510

.490

45.7%

4.0%

49.7%

-7.7%

13.6%

Eric Chavez hit cleanup? Eric Chavez? Eric Chavez who is slugging [looks it up]... .531? [slinks back to basement]
20

48

41

44.0

41.0

41.6

.521

.541

8.8%

22.9%

31.7%

-6.5%

4.9%

The Yankees went 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position and left 10 men on base. The Marines famously never leave a man behind. The Yankees aren't the Marines and on base clearly isn't behind.
21

49

39

53.4

59.1

58.8

.597

.616

91.1%

3.8%

94.9%

2.3%

13.5%

Miguel Cabrera went 0-for-3 because Victor Martinez went 2-for-4. That's MVP-level friendliness, that's what that is.
22

49

41

47.2

46.0

46.7

.497

.517

6.8%

18.8%

25.6%

-4.1%

-16.9%

Before last night’s game Chris Davis and Matt Wieters switched uniforms. "Davis" went 0-for-4 with four strikeouts while "Wieters" homered. Those wacky guys!
23

50

39

51.1

52.5

52.7

.565

.545

19.4%

64.0%

83.5%

-2.8%

-1.3%

Between Jay Bruce and Joey Votto the Reds have two guys with above average walk rates!
24

50

40

50.2

53.2

53.4

.553

.573

20.9%

38.1%

59.1%

6.7%

17.6%

The Rays are the fourth different second-place team in the American League East in four days. Enjoy it while it lasts, fellas. Maybe take it on a boat ride or let your dog use it as a toilet. Something memorable.
25

51

38

53.8

53.7

51.8

.554

.534

82.6%

7.4%

90.0%

1.8%

-2.8%

Tied 1-1 after 13 innings, the Braves scored six runs, which is kind of like clubbing everyone in the back of the head with a tire iron after 17 holes. Or maybe I just don’t like golf.
26

52

37

47.8

48.0

48.0

.551

.570

48.6%

31.8%

80.5%

2.4%

-4.3%

Elvis Andrus went 2-for-4, giving him a slugging percentage that can be seen without the use of magnification equipment.
27

53

34

56.5

55.4

53.9

.575

.556

48.8%

46.0%

94.8%

-0.6%

2.1%

The Cardinals have grounded into a league-leading 91 double plays. Good (not good) but it makes me long for what might have been. Albert Pujols, an internet writer turns his silly eyes to you (and your plantar fasciitis).
28

53

35

49.0

48.3

49.7

.537

.517

31.8%

57.2%

89.0%

-0.4%

-5.1%

The Pirates are 53-35 so for today we'll call them the Pittsburgh Piratessetarip Hgrubsttip.
29

53

37

51.9

51.2

49.7

.547

.567

49.0%

32.6%

81.5%

3.6%

8.1%

The A's scored two runs, enough to win, without getting a hit with a runner in scoring position. We'll call that a Productive Win.
30

54

37

53.8

52.9

52.4

.560

.580

63.0%

23.5%

86.5%

-2.8%

0.1%

Daniel Nava started in center field and the Red Sox bullpen gave up six runs in three innings to the Mariners, yet somehow the planet kept spinning at normal speed (except in Southie where it slowed just a tick).

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
Greg Ioannou

The numbers in the Jays' line don't seem to make sense, but what would I know?

Jul 09, 2013 07:35 AM
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0

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jmanig78

Their won-loss record before, during and after their eleven win streak.

Jul 09, 2013 09:19 AM
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+3

down_image
 
Greg Ioannou

Thanks!

Jul 09, 2013 11:36 AM
up_image

0

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