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Prospectus Hit List for July 3



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 2 Hit List for July 8
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Happy Hitdependence Day!

RkTm WLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

51

34

50.9

49.7

49.8

.564

.583

64.7%

22.8%

87.5%

1.1%

5.0%

John Lackey got 22 swings and misses against the Padres last night, the most of his career. Maybe Red Sox fans will stop hating him now?
2

51

31

46.2

45.1

46.3

.540

.520

39.5%

54.6%

94.1%

-0.1%

7.3%

The Pirates lost, finally, to a team led by Ryan Howard and Delmon Young. Proof that everyone loses. You just have to play enough.
3

49

35

47.9

48.2

46.8

.547

.566

42.3%

33.2%

75.5%

2.1%

5.2%

Yoenis Cespedes: officially oofah.
4

49

33

52.5

51.4

50.1

.570

.550

32.4%

59.5%

91.9%

-0.8%

-4.0%

Albert Pujols went 0-for wait wait, sorry. I always forget about that whole 'leaving' thing. Oh yeah, the Cardinals lost. Whoops.
5

49

34

50.3

50.5

48.8

.558

.538

90.6%

3.2%

93.7%

0.9%

4.1%

B.J. Upton apparently can’t hit so the least he could do is get hurt so the Braves could play someone else. Mission accomplished!
6

48

35

44.4

44.9

45.2

.551

.570

54.7%

25.5%

80.1%

-4.6%

1.1%

Justin Grimm: one strikeout, two walks, three homers allowed, four innings pitched, five earned runs, six runs, and seven hits. If only he’d had eight balks. *sigh*
7

48

36

48.1

50.3

50.3

.569

.549

28.1%

61.6%

89.7%

4.9%

3.7%

Congratulations to Ryan Hanigan on his no-hitter! No greater accomplishment in baseball probably. Well caught, our friend. Well caught.
8

47

37

44.5

43.7

44.4

.504

.524

11.7%

25.8%

37.6%

-4.9%

6.0%

Manny Machado had one hit. It was not a double. The Orioles lost. Coincidence? Yes, probably!
9

45

38

44.4

42.8

43.2

.511

.531

25.3%

15.7%

41.0%

0.5%

15.7%

Jason Giambi was the Indians DH last night. He has a .758 OPS. He is 42 years old. He had two hits. The whole thing is weird, that’s what it is.
10

45

39

46.0

49.0

49.8

.549

.568

14.4%

30.7%

45.2%

3.7%

4.9%

Price came back and [The Price Is Right reference]. Ha! Totally.
11

44

38

47.9

53.9

53.7

.587

.606

73.5%

9.4%

82.9%

1.5%

-10.5%

Torii Hunter had four singles = four bases. Miguel Cabrera had one hit, a homer = four bases. Power sure is something, isn’t it?
12

44

39

40.8

38.0

38.7

.519

.539

7.9%

20.7%

28.6%

1.8%

-30.5%

Phil Hughes pitched well against the Twins increasing his trade value OW HEY STOP IT OW OW OW!
13

42

41

41.3

39.3

39.4

.499

.479

30.2%

2.3%

32.5%

-3.6%

-20.9%

Patrick Corbin was 9-0. He's still 9-0 as long as you subtract last night's loss.
14

42

41

39.4

38.3

38.7

.502

.482

7.9%

11.5%

19.4%

-4.6%

-1.3%

Somehow Stephen Strasburg hasn't yet figured out how to get the opposing team out AND make his team hit. He'll figure it out though. Give him some time...
15

41

43

43.9

46.2

44.2

.497

.477

20.5%

0.8%

21.2%

1.1%

3.7%

Sometimes you get the Puig and sometimes the Puig gets you except you never get the Puig never ever ever.
16

41

42

41.9

38.7

40.5

.493

.513

1.2%

4.6%

5.8%

-1.6%

-1.8%

Colby Rasmus is hitting .244/.316/.465. It may not be a breakout but it isn’t a breakdown either. Or for that matter a breakup. (He loves you, he really does.)
17

40

44

38.4

38.0

37.3

.465

.446

5.3%

0.4%

5.6%

-1.5%

-4.4%

The Padres have one of the least valuable bullpens in the game, something that seems like it would be difficult to accomplish even if you were trying to do it.
18

40

44

37.1

38.5

38.3

.464

.444

1.1%

2.1%

3.2%

1.1%

-0.2%

I keep looking for a stat that the Phillies are bad in, but they’re in the middle in every one. Wait, here’s one! Wins!
19

40

43

42.5

44.1

42.5

.535

.555

3.0%

10.5%

13.5%

2.1%

6.8%

Pujols, Trout, and Hamilton combined to go 1-for-11 and the Angels still scored five runs. That's a positive sign. Right? I think?
20

39

44

38.1

40.2

41.2

.492

.472

12.5%

1.1%

13.6%

-3.0%

-7.2%

Asked about Homer Bailey no-hitting his team, manager Bruce Bochy said, “Yeah, he Puig’d us pretty good. All credit to him for that. We’ll lick our wounds tonight and then get back and try to Puig them tomorrow.”
21

39

43

36.6

38.3

37.8

.524

.504

31.6%

1.7%

33.2%

5.6%

19.6%

Yasiel Puig Yasiel Puig Yasiel Puig Clayton Kershaw Yasiel Puig Clayton Puigshaw Puig Puig PUUUUUIG!
22

38

42

40.9

34.6

35.4

.468

.488

1.0%

0.9%

1.9%

-1.6%

-0.6%

The Royals got a grand slam from Alex Gordon and lost anyway because they're the Royals.
23

36

44

36.0

36.9

37.3

.437

.457

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.2%

-1.0%

The Twins would be better off checking the schedule and then going on a team vacation to Yellowstone when the Yankees come to town.
24

36

47

34.9

38.0

38.3

.462

.482

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.2%

Kendrys Morales + Raul Ibanez + Joe Saunders = long term victory strategy. (Hey, it worked for one night.)
25

35

46

39.3

40.5

40.4

.477

.457

0.0%

0.6%

0.6%

-0.3%

-0.0%

On a pop up down the left field line three Cubs converged but only two collided. Progress!
26

35

45

35.7

35.5

35.4

.469

.449

0.3%

0.7%

1.1%

0.2%

0.2%

Not only is Marlon Byrd still playing but MARLON BYRD IS STILL PLAYING??
27

33

47

34.6

35.1

33.4

.445

.465

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.2%

Adam Dunn homered. Adam Dunn did not strike out or walk. The White Sox won anyway. Makes you question your whole belief system, huh?
28

33

49

34.9

37.0

38.1

.456

.436

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.7%

For one day the Brewers had a competent pitching staff. Thanks, Nats offense!
29

30

52

30.9

27.6

27.6

.384

.365

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Juan Pierre, leadoff hitter: .237/.283/.292
30

30

54

28.5

24.3

26.3

.353

.372

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Watching the Astros play is a constant series of "Hey! I know that guy! He used to be... ooooohh... ugh."

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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