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Prospectus Hit List for July 2



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 1 Hit List for July 3
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Hit List Hit List Hit List Hit List Hit LIst Hit List Hit List Hit List Hit LIst

RkTmW LW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

51

30

45.9

44.6

45.7

.541

.521

42.7%

51.4%

94.2%

-0.1%

10.7%

The Pirates still have the best record in baseball so there's still time to stock the basement with canned goods, toilet paper, and flashlight batteries.
2

49

32

52.4

50.9

49.5

.573

.554

36.2%

56.4%

92.6%

-0.3%

-2.5%

At just 33, the Cardinals have committed the fewest errors in the National League. Other errors not committed: re-signing Albert Pujols.
3

48

34

44.7

45.1

45.4

.554

.574

60.4%

24.3%

84.7%

-0.5%

-0.1%

Chris Davis was drafted by the Yankees in 2004. He didnít sign. It might have been easier to stomach if he had. That way he wouldnít have signed with Texas and then been dealt to a playoff rival for a relief pitcher.
4

48

34

48.9

49.6

48.0

.555

.535

87.3%

5.0%

92.4%

-1.2%

3.9%

It says here the Braves should start to rest their starters for the postseason. Of course I am reading from, ďThe 2013 Jump To Conclusions Manual.Ē
5

50

34

50.1

48.9

49.0

.562

.582

64.7%

21.7%

86.4%

-0.5%

8.2%

What good is having the best record in the American League? Other than 5 percent off the Bed and Bath part of Bed, Bath, and Beyond, not much.
6

48

35

47.4

47.7

46.2

.547

.567

37.3%

36.1%

73.4%

-1.0%

6.8%

Yoenis Cespedes has two steals and has been caught five times. His picture is up in every convenience store in the Oakland area. Dude canít buy a lollipop if he wanted (to pay for) one.
7

47

36

44.3

43.4

44.1

.507

.527

12.8%

29.6%

42.5%

-1.1%

11.6%

Chris Davis has an OPS of 1.135. The last player in baseball with an OPS over 1.100 was not Chris Davis.
8

47

36

47.2

48.9

49.0

.564

.544

21.0%

63.8%

84.8%

1.7%

-2.7%

Joey Votto hasnít struck out four times in a game since August 2009. Last night he had a chance, three in six innings, but then the rain came. The baseball gods couldnít stomach the thought, I suppose.
9

44

38

43.8

42.2

42.5

.509

.529

26.4%

14.1%

40.4%

1.0%

13.2%

The Indians are in first place. Why? Because they hate me.
10

43

38

47.3

53.0

52.9

.585

.605

71.5%

10.0%

81.4%

-2.3%

-13.9%

Many say the Tigers' biggest need is relief pitching, but they're second to last in baseball in Defensive Efficiency. Though that is admittedly more difficult to fix in a trade.
11

44

39

44.6

47.6

48.6

.544

.564

13.2%

28.3%

41.4%

4.5%

3.1%

It didnít take the Rays long to put Wil Myers into the third spot in the lineup. This makes sending him back down in a month considerably more difficult.
12

43

39

39.9

37.4

38.0

.518

.538

7.7%

19.1%

26.8%

1.5%

-29.1%

At this point you could dress a bunch of clowns up in Yankee jerseys and they'd beat the Twins, which, now that I look at the Yankees roster...
13

42

40

41.7

39.3

39.5

.502

.482

32.8%

2.7%

35.5%

-3.8%

-16.8%

Heath Bell has gone three appearances without blowing a game. This is what those in the industry call 'being due.'
14

42

40

39.4

38.0

38.4

.504

.484

11.2%

13.5%

24.7%

2.7%

5.2%

Bryce Harper came back from the DL and homered in his first plate appearance. Double duh.
15

38

41

40.5

34.2

35.0

.469

.489

1.9%

1.6%

3.5%

0.3%

-0.7%

No Jeff Francoeur? But I just learned how to spell "Francoeur!"
16

41

41

41.5

38.5

40.2

.496

.516

1.5%

5.8%

7.4%

0.4%

-2.8%

If only there was a position that allowed a player to not play defense but also not hit. Unfortunately there isnít so the Jays were forced to use J.P. Arencibia and his a .219 batting average and .247 on-base percentage at DH last night.
17

41

42

44.2

46.6

44.6

.503

.483

18.1%

2.0%

20.2%

-0.5%

1.2%

Michael Cuddyer has a higher average, a higher on-base percentage, and a higher slugging percentage than Mike Trout.
18

39

43

38.0

40.6

41.5

.496

.476

15.8%

1.1%

16.9%

-1.0%

-7.2%

The Reds kicked rookie Mike Kickham in the ham which is a horrible phrase heís certainly never heard in his life ever before.
19

40

43

38.2

37.9

37.1

.468

.448

7.0%

0.3%

7.3%

-1.2%

-5.0%

Three of the first five hitters in the Padres lineup were hitting .271, and one of the other two was hitting .273. So that's nice.
20

36

43

35.9

36.5

36.9

.438

.458

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

-0.4%

-0.9%

Last night Joe Mauer pinch-hit and struck out. Surprising but maybe not, as before that plate appearance he was a career .184/.289/.289 as a pinch-hitter.
21

39

43

41.6

43.6

41.9

.533

.553

2.2%

9.2%

11.4%

-1.9%

5.6%

Josh Hamilton is 13th among outfielders in the All Star voting. Itís almost like it doesnít matter at all.
22

38

43

35.2

36.7

36.8

.518

.498

26.2%

1.4%

27.6%

4.4%

15.1%

The Dodgers were off yesterday so Yasiel Puig played stickball against some neighborhood kids. He went 0-for-6 with four strikeouts.
23

39

44

36.4

38.0

37.7

.464

.444

1.1%

1.0%

2.1%

-0.7%

-0.9%

If Vernon Wells can get traded (twice!), can't Ryan Howard? Who does Tony Reagins work for nowadays? Please don't say the Phillies.
24

34

45

34.3

34.6

34.5

.465

.445

0.4%

0.5%

0.9%

0.2%

-0.5%

Andrew Brown and Josh Satin helped the Mets overcome Arizona, which is pretty cool considering theyíre both fans that won the Metsí You Can Play For The Mets contest. Iím assuming.
25

35

45

38.9

40.1

39.9

.478

.458

0.0%

0.9%

0.9%

-0.0%

0.3%

If you sort all players by OPS the first Cub doesnít appear until 50, and the second until 110.
26

35

47

33.6

36.8

37.3

.457

.477

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.8%

The Mariners appear to have misunderstood bobblehead night as theyíre inserting eight bobbleheads into their starting lineup. The ninth guy is Felix Hernandez though so theyíll probably win anyway.
27

32

47

33.7

34.3

32.5

.443

.463

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.4%

The White Sox lead baseball with seven sacrifice bunts, the fewest in baseball. Doing some things right is nice but you still need to be good to win baseball games.
28

32

49

34.0

36.4

37.5

.452

.433

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.7%

Yovani Gallardo didnít do much to help his trade value last night (three innings, eight runs). If he were a stock heíd be Pets.com.
29

30

51

31.2

27.5

27.3

.386

.367

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Ten strikeouts, one walk, and two hits in eight innings for Jose Fernandez. Think that's good? Just imagine how good the start would have been in Double-A!
30

30

53

28.8

24.7

26.5

.357

.375

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Losing 10-0, with a 17-2 hit deficit? Now thatís more like the Astros we were all expecting. Cue the GIF where the entire team simultaneously trips over the mound!

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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