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Prospectus Hit List for June 18



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 17 Hit List for June 19
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Will you gladly pay us Tuesday for a Hit List today?

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

45

25

46.1

44.0

42.8

.586

.567

55.5%

40.9%

96.5%

1.6%

1.3%

Shelby Miller left the game after the fifth because of cramps. But it was the Cardinals so they just plugged in three guys you've never heard of and won the game anyway.
2

39

29

43.3

48.1

47.2

.612

.630

92.5%

2.9%

95.4%

0.1%

1.4%

The Tigers are the only team in their division with a winning record. So they got that going for them, which is nice.
3

42

29

42.9

41.7

41.0

.560

.580

47.0%

29.8%

76.9%

-0.5%

-6.6%

Red Sox players have started answering questions from the media by asking them, "What would Bobby Valentine do?" except no they haven't.
4

43

28

42.7

42.7

41.9

.577

.557

35.9%

56.3%

92.2%

2.6%

8.5%

Aroldis Chapman: one inning pitched, two strikeouts. Tony Cingrani: 2/3 of an inning, two strikeouts. Better up your game, Chapman. Cingrani's gun'n for ya.
5

42

28

42.0

42.4

40.8

.554

.534

88.5%

4.6%

93.1%

1.7%

-0.0%

B.J. Upton has gone hitless in 36 of his 61 games. His parents still root for them equally though.
6

42

30

41.2

41.5

40.3

.548

.567

48.5%

25.9%

74.4%

-3.8%

8.9%

Maybe they'll make a movie about a solid baseball team built upon a strong core from last season through smart moves by the front office that were not tied to ideology but intelligent nope never mind terrible idea sorry.
7

37

34

39.7

42.3

41.0

.513

.493

17.2%

7.0%

24.2%

-3.4%

1.1%

The Rockies were the second team yesterday to lose while giving up just three hits. There's probably a trophy or something for that. (There isn't a trophy.)
8

39

31

37.1

38.8

38.7

.550

.570

47.2%

23.1%

70.3%

6.2%

-14.9%

The Rangers hit three homers and won by a run because Ron Washington held a team meeting before the game. Lucky he did that!
9

41

29

36.8

35.2

36.1

.519

.499

8.5%

53.9%

62.5%

-1.1%

7.9%

If Francisco Liriano has discovered the fountain of youth that means the fountain of youth is made up of Pittsburgh tap water. I don't think we're emotionally prepared to know this yet.
10

40

31

36.7

37.5

37.8

.502

.522

9.5%

25.6%

35.1%

-5.0%

11.6%

The Orioles OPS from first base is not only the highest in baseball, it's 200 points higher than the second-place Reds.
11

37

33

36.5

35.6

35.9

.518

.498

37.1%

8.6%

45.7%

0.1%

-13.2%

The Diamondbacks gave up three hits and lost. That takes some skill. Like being really rude to a police officer and getting out of the ticket anyway, but maybe in reverse.
12

34

34

36.3

29.7

30.7

.475

.495

2.1%

6.8%

8.9%

1.4%

4.8%

Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas have six total home runs between them. That that would lead the team is either a sad comment on the team or on Hosmer and Moustakas, I'm not sure which.
13

36

33

36.0

38.0

39.1

.534

.554

11.3%

23.6%

34.9%

-0.3%

-5.7%

The Rays offense is fifth in the American League in runs scored. Ha ha that's not a joke.
14

34

35

35.4

34.4

35.5

.499

.519

5.0%

14.2%

19.3%

-2.5%

6.8%

The Indians are one of 25 teams that haven't given up a hit to Yasiel Puig yet. (Or 26 if you count the Dodgers.)
15

38

31

35.0

32.7

32.9

.537

.557

31.0%

32.7%

63.7%

1.2%

-13.6%

Attendance is reportedly down at new NEW Yankee Stadium. It's almost as if fans aren't interested in seeing Lyle Overbay, Vernon Wells, or a piece of paper saying Kevin Youkilis is back on the Disabled List.
16

31

39

34.4

36.5

35.4

.527

.547

4.0%

8.3%

12.3%

1.7%

4.5%

The Angels had 21 hits last night. Heck, even Josh Hamilton had two.
17

36

34

33.5

33.4

33.5

.479

.459

11.0%

3.0%

14.1%

3.5%

9.8%

New shortstop Pedro Ciriaco went 3-for-6 with three strikeouts. Every time he made contact with the ball he got a hit. 1.000 BABIPs combined with 50 percent strikeout rates are sustainable, right?
18

35

34

33.4

35.7

37.2

.513

.493

25.9%

6.8%

32.7%

-3.4%

-7.9%

Cleanup hitter Hunter Pence is hitting .000/.667/.000 on 3-and-0 counts.
19

33

36

33.2

31.1

32.6

.484

.504

1.1%

4.7%

5.8%

0.8%

4.3%

Josh Johnson had 10 strikeouts in 7 1/3 innings against only two walks helping the Blue Jays to a win. It's so easy when things go exactly to plan.
20

28

40

32.3

34.1

34.5

.476

.456

0.0%

1.0%

1.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

Leadoff hitter Luis Valbuena got on base in three separate innings. Only one of those innings featured another Cubs player getting on base as well.
21

34

35

30.9

30.2

30.5

.488

.468

9.2%

11.1%

20.4%

-4.4%

-4.3%

The Nationals lost when Fernando Abad gave up the winning run in the bottom of the ninth inning. Fernando Abad. Abad. Who didn't see that coming?
22

34

37

30.1

30.8

30.2

.459

.439

2.1%

3.2%

5.3%

1.2%

-1.3%

Jonathan Papelbon blew his first save of the season and nobody said anything about his job security. This proves once again that any pitcher can blow a save, but it's the real closers who can blow one and still keep the job.
23

28

40

30.0

31.3

32.3

.464

.445

0.0%

0.7%

0.7%

0.1%

-0.0%

The Brewers are so exciting I'm actually falling asleep writing this comment. Sure it's 2am but if this were the Yankees, or Dodgers, no way.
24

30

36

29.9

29.4

30.6

.432

.452

0.2%

0.8%

1.0%

0.1%

0.1%

What must it feel like to play out the string in mid-June? On the bright side, if any organization knows how to handle it, it's the Twins.
25

29

38

29.5

29.4

27.7

.446

.466

0.2%

0.7%

0.9%

0.3%

-1.3%

The good news: the White Sox denied the Astros a sweep. The bad news is that that's the good news.
26

31

40

28.9

31.9

32.3

.458

.478

0.3%

0.9%

1.2%

0.0%

-0.2%

The next promising rookie for the Mariners to ruin is catcher Mike Zunino. He went 0-for-4 so everything is progressing as expected there.
27

29

39

28.4

29.7

30.2

.503

.483

8.8%

2.4%

11.1%

1.4%

-0.9%

Last place? Tough break, Dodgers. Well I bet adding Robinson Cano for $275 million would put you in first. (Shhh!!! I wanna see this!)
28

25

40

26.5

26.2

25.7

.444

.425

0.2%

0.3%

0.5%

0.0%

-0.7%

Sure the Mets won but where were the three errors on one play? BOOO!!
29

26

45

25.5

22.6

24.5

.366

.385

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The league average on-base percentage is .317. Brandon Barnes, the Astros leadoff hitter, has an on-base percentage of .329. THE ASTROS ARE ABOVE AVERAGE!
30

22

47

23.6

20.4

20.1

.357

.339

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

Giancarlo Stanton hit two homers and the Marlins won. That's pretty much the blueprint going forward.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
jsdspud

No way the fountain of youth is made up of Pittsburgh tap water. I think that Pittsburgh is the oldest city outside of Florida.

Jun 18, 2013 09:21 AM
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ahemmer

It's the oldest city because its citizens live forever.

Jun 18, 2013 10:59 AM
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+3

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BP staff member Matt Kory

Now I'm kicking myself for not writing that. Well done.

Jun 18, 2013 11:28 AM
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0

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andrewdeeble

Interesting add re: Ciriaco...Logan Forsythe went 3 for 6 with 3 Ks for the Padres last night as well. That, and game-winning RBI from PH Andrew Cashner, are definitely sustainable...

Jun 18, 2013 13:50 PM
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+1

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