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Prospectus Hit List for June 17



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 14 Hit List for June 18
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Yasiel Puig loses again.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day 7-Day
1

40

30

36.6

37.3

37.6

.505

.525

13.3%

26.8%

40.1%

5.4%

19.2%

Your self-defeating stat of the day: Manny Machado leads the majors in doubles and leads the Orioles in sacrifice bunts.
2

42

29

40.9

41.7

40.3

.551

.571

56.4%

21.8%

78.2%

6.6%

12.3%

Reportedly the A's clubhouse was leaking raw sewage. It's a shame the A's are good now because there’s more than a few good jokes going to waste here.
3

41

28

36.7

35.2

35.9

.523

.503

11.5%

52.1%

63.6%

5.5%

8.7%

Gerrit Cole threw 5 2/3 innings. He got the win, but only struck out one, something Jason Grilli managed to accomplish twice a few innings later. Maybe Cole just needs his own sandwich. I suggest something with coleslaw.
4

42

28

41.9

41.8

41.1

.575

.555

31.1%

58.5%

89.6%

3.4%

7.3%

Johnny Cueto started: six innings, three strikeouts. Alfredo Simon relieved: three innings, six strikeouts. Ain’t symmetry fun?
5

34

34

35.0

33.8

34.9

.500

.520

6.1%

15.7%

21.8%

0.6%

6.9%

"Stephen Strasburg was very good but Corey Kluber was better," is a sentence that has never been written before in the history of the written word. Probably not a wise idea to bet on hearing it ever again either.
6

35

34

32.8

32.2

32.3

.475

.455

7.7%

2.8%

10.5%

1.2%

6.6%

The Padres six game win streak has pushed them to .500 and there is literally nothing else interesting about it.
7

33

34

35.7

29.3

30.2

.475

.495

1.9%

5.6%

7.5%

1.8%

4.1%

The baseball world is abuzz with talk of Wade Davis' return to Tampa if the baseball world is Wade Davis' family and a few drunks at the Tampa "Hooters."
8

37

33

39.3

41.5

40.3

.514

.494

21.3%

6.3%

27.5%

6.5%

3.2%

Sure the Rockies won again, but the real story was their inability to add to their league-leading balk total. You think 45,000 showed up for "runs" and "winning?" Heck no! Balks, baby, BALKS!
9

32

36

32.5

30.8

32.2

.483

.503

1.0%

4.0%

5.0%

1.1%

3.1%

Chien-Ming Wang is your crazy uncle who shows up at family functions every other year touting his newest get-rich-quick scheme. “Oh, yeah, I got it all under control now. Yeah, I pitch for the Blue Jays. Yup, it's going to work out. Totally, yeah.”
10

30

39

33.1

35.0

34.0

.521

.541

3.1%

7.5%

10.6%

-2.0%

2.1%

Albert Pujols struck out on three pitches with the bases loaded, down one run, in the bottom of the ninth. [long pause] Did you know cats can be trained to use the toilet? It's true!
11

34

34

30.5

30.1

30.3

.491

.471

11.1%

13.2%

24.3%

-4.8%

0.4%

The good news is the game was in Cleveland and Ryan Zimmerman hasn't yet devised a way to make throwing errors from the DH position. The bad news was because Zimmerman was DHing, Chad Tracy and his .141 average had to play third base. He went 0-for-2 as the Nationals were shut out.
12

31

39

29.2

32.5

32.8

.464

.484

0.3%

1.0%

1.2%

-1.2%

0.2%

The Mariners have a losing record against right-handed pitchers, left handed pitchers, the American League Central, the AL West, the National League, in one-run games, and in extra inning games. But they’re over .500 against the AL East.
13

30

36

29.9

29.4

30.6

.432

.452

0.2%

0.7%

0.9%

-0.3%

0.2%

The Twins have more doubles than the Rangers, more triples than the Pirates, and more homers than almost nobody because the Twins are terrible at hitting home runs.
14

21

47

23.1

20.2

19.8

.355

.337

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

By winning last night’s game against St. Louis, the Marlins won their first series of the year against a team not named the Mets.
15

26

44

25.2

22.1

24.1

.366

.385

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros might want to think about moving Carlos Pena. Not to another team so much as to any place outside Minute Maid Park.
16

28

40

30.0

31.3

32.3

.465

.445

0.0%

0.6%

0.7%

-0.2%

-0.0%

Carlos Gomez hit another home run last night as he continues his assault on the Mets and Twins player evaluations departments.
17

38

29

42.4

47.2

46.3

.609

.628

91.6%

3.5%

95.2%

2.3%

-0.1%

Miguel Cabrera is hitting .250 in his last 10 games, almost but not quite low enough to revoke his 2012 MVP award. Get it in gear, Miguel! Nothing is forever, not even awards with your name on them.
18

44

25

45.2

43.4

42.2

.586

.566

57.3%

37.5%

94.8%

-1.2%

-0.5%

Apparently not clear on the fact that he's a mediocre prospect pitching for the Cardinals, Tyler Lyons gave up six runs in 5 1/3 innings. I'll go ahead and make sure he gets another copy of that memo.
19

28

39

32.2

33.7

34.0

.477

.457

0.0%

0.9%

1.0%

-0.2%

-0.8%

After seven innings, four hits, no runs, two walks and five strikeouts, the Matt Garza Trade Value Meter is: UP.
20

25

39

26.1

25.6

25.0

.444

.424

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

0.1%

-0.9%

A walk-off three-run homer or three throwing errors on the same play? You don't have to decide because Mets!
21

28

38

28.8

29.0

27.4

.445

.465

0.1%

0.5%

0.6%

-0.4%

-0.9%

Losing to the Astros becomes less of an embarrassment when your team is pretty bad too.
22

33

37

29.5

30.0

29.5

.455

.436

1.6%

2.3%

4.0%

-2.5%

-2.2%

Cole Hamels lost again, bringing his record to 2-10. Twenty losses is within reach because if you're going to lose, lose big, baby!
23

41

28

41.4

42.1

40.5

.554

.534

87.1%

4.9%

92.0%

3.3%

-2.6%

This season, B.J. Upton has a .575 OPS. But, in the last month he’s got a .799 OPS, since June 1 he’s got a .963 OPS, In the last two weeks it's a .921 OPS, and in the last week it’s at 1.086. Hope is proportional to the size of the sample.
24

29

39

28.4

29.7

30.2

.502

.482

7.2%

2.5%

9.7%

-0.8%

-3.6%

A month ago he was in Double-A, but now Yasiel Puig is hitting clean-up for the Dodgers and going 3-for-4. Oh sure, the Dodgers lost anyway, but still, wow.
25

42

29

42.9

41.7

40.9

.560

.579

45.4%

32.0%

77.4%

-4.5%

-4.5%

Mike Carp is hitting like David Ortiz so it's only fitting he'd hurt his Achilles tendon, too. Looking forward to Carp slugging .600, beginning around next year's All-Star break.
26

35

33

33.2

36.0

37.6

.517

.497

28.9%

6.8%

35.7%

-4.3%

-5.1%

The course of action would much easier if Tim Lincecum weren't so profoundly mediocre.
27

36

33

36.0

38.0

39.1

.534

.554

11.1%

23.9%

35.0%

-6.1%

-8.9%

Proof batting average isn't everything, Exhibit 4,876: Both Matt Joyce and Ben Zobrist are hitting .270, but Joyce's OPS is 130 points higher. Zobrist does earn some of that back with a higher Beard Percentage though.
28

37

32

36.1

34.9

35.4

.519

.499

35.0%

11.1%

46.1%

-5.8%

-10.5%

The Diamondbacks lead the National League in grounding into double plays. So, turns out it is okay to go grab that mid-inning beer.
29

38

31

35.0

32.7

33.0

.537

.557

29.2%

33.2%

62.4%

2.3%

-14.7%

C.C. Sabathia hit 95 mph and averaged almost 93 mph yesterday in shutting down the Angels for eight innings. But wait, the velocity thing is only a problem when the Yankees lose, right? Okay so never mind.
30

38

31

36.5

37.7

37.7

.547

.567

40.3%

23.9%

64.1%

-5.5%

-19.0%

Elvis Andrus provides value in many different ways which is good because he’s hitting a hideous .245/.299/.292 this season.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
Agent007

How can the Tigers stay atop the hit list week after week with a not-so-impressive record?

Jun 17, 2013 09:04 AM
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