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Prospectus Hit List for June 14



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for June 13 Hit List for June 17
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Featuring 29 comments this site can be proud of.

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

19

46

21.3

18.3

17.8

.347

.329

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Idea: a reboot of "Big" where everything is exactly the same except for Zoltar is the home run sculpture.
2

23

44

23.5

20.8

22.8

.361

.379

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Their longest winning streak is a single six-game stretch. Their longest losing streak is six; they've had four of those.
3

24

37

25.2

24.5

23.9

.445

.426

0.3%

0.3%

0.7%

-0.4%

-1.1%

Where would this team be without Marlon Byrd? Probably still in Queens.
4

28

37

27.3

29.2

29.5

.506

.486

8.1%

3.6%

11.7%

-0.7%

-7.9%

Yasiel Puig and Brandon League have been mentioned in the same breath, according to several prominent rhyming dictionaries.
5

28

35

27.7

27.5

26.1

.448

.467

0.5%

0.7%

1.2%

-0.5%

-0.1%

When Alex Rios has your team's highest on-base percentage, it's time to petition baseball to move the bases closer.
6

29

38

28.1

31.9

32.0

.466

.486

0.2%

0.8%

1.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

For what it's worth, they're the first team to employ five different players at catcher. And here's what it's worth: a collective .204/.275/.323.
7

27

38

28.4

29.6

30.5

.463

.443

0.0%

0.6%

0.6%

0.1%

0.4%

Daily reminder that the Brewers are platooning two people at first base (Yuniesky Betancourt and Juan Francisco) who never played first base in the majors until this year.
8

32

35

28.7

29.6

28.6

.460

.440

2.8%

3.1%

5.9%

1.7%

-6.6%

Another successful interleague series with Delmon Young at DH. (Successful meaning everybody had fun and nobody got suspended.)
9

29

34

28.8

28.2

29.2

.433

.453

0.4%

0.6%

0.9%

-0.1%

-0.2%

How much overhead could the team save if they just charge Minnesotans 10 bucks a day to watch Joe Mauer take batting practice?
10

29

36

29.2

28.0

29.6

.472

.492

0.4%

1.8%

2.1%

1.1%

0.9%

Esmil Rogers has won two games this year; both on the road, and none in the Rogers Centre.
11

33

32

29.3

28.8

29.0

.492

.472

13.8%

15.1%

28.8%

5.1%

2.2%

They're back over .500 for the first time in 10 games, so everything is fixed! [everyone in Congress gets re-elected]
12

26

38

30.1

31.8

32.1

.472

.452

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.3%

-2.2%

Nate Schierholtz had two triples and two walks. Starlin Castro had two stolen bases and two errors. And it's wasn't even Two For Tuesday.
13

32

34

30.7

30.2

30.3

.469

.449

3.6%

1.8%

5.4%

-0.1%

1.7%

Everth, Yonder, Gyorko, Yasmani, and now someone named Jaff. This baseball team is clearly a front for a World of Warcraft guild.
14

28

38

30.9

32.4

31.5

.514

.534

1.7%

5.6%

7.4%

0.6%

-3.0%

Chris Iannetta has 32 hits and 37 walks. Bats: what are they good for?
15

34

31

31.5

34.0

35.4

.516

.496

26.5%

9.1%

35.6%

5.6%

7.2%

Matt Cain's career ERA on June 13 is 0.40. June 13 is also National Juggling Day, and juggling is easy with just one baseball. So that explains it.
16

32

33

33.3

32.2

33.5

.498

.518

7.7%

11.0%

18.6%

0.8%

-5.5%

In their last 19 games they've scored more than five runs once and that game featured a 7-run inning.
17

31

33

33.6

27.5

28.1

.470

.490

1.3%

3.5%

4.8%

1.5%

3.1%

Their collective ERA this month is 1.49. They can't even buy a bottle of water with that in some gas stations.
18

37

29

34.2

32.4

32.8

.545

.565

32.3%

35.1%

67.4%

-2.4%

-4.7%

Derek Jeter has been cleared for baseball activities, so he made a poster of his favorite baseball player using magic markers and elbow macaroni.
19

39

27

34.7

32.6

33.6

.518

.498

7.5%

49.8%

57.3%

-7.1%

9.9%

Zero runs in a game is bad, but 20 in a three-game series is pretty nifty.
20

38

29

34.7

35.2

35.2

.501

.521

7.8%

22.8%

30.6%

6.1%

6.5%

You know, I wonder if Chris Davis' walk-off soft single to left field is going to be on his BLOOPER REEL.
21

35

31

35.0

36.8

38.0

.539

.558

12.2%

25.5%

37.6%

-6.8%

-2.2%

Jeremy Hellickson has given up eight runs in two different starts this year, and is 1-1 in such games.
22

37

29

35.3

33.9

34.5

.525

.505

46.8%

11.8%

58.7%

-0.9%

-5.6%

Their coaching staff has a combined 216.2 WARP. Without looking it up, this has to be a record, at least until someone hires Barry Bonds to be an assistant intentional walks quality control coordinator.
23

38

28

37.0

37.6

37.5

.559

.579

48.7%

27.0%

75.8%

-1.7%

-9.3%

In Yu Darvish's last four starts, he's gone seven-plus innings but took no decisions. Wins? Yu Dar-wish!
24

35

32

37.2

39.0

38.1

.510

.490

14.9%

6.5%

21.5%

-0.4%

-0.7%

Other than losing Tulowitzki, CarGo and Dexter Fowler to injury, what's important is that you have your health and may need to play center field for a couple games.
25

41

27

39.0

39.4

38.1

.551

.571

49.3%

29.2%

78.5%

3.9%

10.1%

They're 6-2 in extra inning games and 2-0 in games that last at least 18 innings. So they're entirely beatable in the first 17 innings, as we all suspected.
26

39

27

40.1

41.0

39.3

.559

.539

83.1%

7.0%

90.1%

-0.3%

-0.6%

Dan Uggla is turning into a poor man's Adam Dunn. Wait ... [checks contract] ... Dan Uggla is now Adam Dunn.
27

36

28

40.4

45.2

44.4

.608

.627

90.2%

3.2%

93.4%

-0.6%

2.6%

Jose Valverde couldn't be less popular in the city of Detroit if he was spotted driving a foreign car.
28

40

27

40.4

40.4

39.7

.577

.557

27.5%

59.7%

87.2%

-2.6%

0.1%

Against his first major league batter, Curtis Partch allowed a grand slam. Two appearances later he allowed two baserunners in four innings. He improved.
29

41

27

41.7

40.8

39.9

.567

.586

47.4%

33.1%

80.5%

-1.9%

1.8%

Of their last 19 plate appearances (starting in the eighth inning), the only batter who reached base was on catcher's interference.
30

43

23

43.9

42.2

41.4

.593

.573

64.9%

31.1%

96.0%

0.4%

3.2%

Adam Wainwright beat everyone to 10 wins, which explains why your wagon has not yet been repaired.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
Brian Oakchunas

If I understand correctly, Adjusted Hit List Factor is a combination of actual record, W1, W2, and W3, then adjusted for league. How is it possible that the A's and Rangers are in the same league and the A's are better in *all four* categories and are still lower on the Hit List.

Jun 14, 2013 10:13 AM
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jmanig78

As explained in a previous Hit List the first half of the season also has a "Preseason Prediction" factor to offset the small sample size. Based on their rosters, the A's weren't expected to perform as well as the Rangers when the season started.

Jun 14, 2013 11:06 AM
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Tommy Fastball

The formatting makes it hard to tie the numbers to the team and comments. Could we get a black line between teams or maybe one team numbers and comments all grey and then one team all white?

Jun 15, 2013 21:27 PM
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