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Prospectus Hit List for June 13



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 12 Hit List for June 14
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

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RkTmWLW1W2W3 HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

19

46

21.3

18.3

17.8

.347

.329

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In 1899 the Cleveland Spiders finished 20-134. This season every team in baseball has more than 20 wins except the Marlins, who still have 19. Just one more win and the 2013 Marlins will be officially as good as the worst team in baseball history.
2

23

44

23.5

20.8

22.8

.361

.379

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros scored six runs in the top of the ninth inning to turn a 1-0 deficit into a 6-1 win. Six runs is a lot. How'd they do it? Single, Single, bunt, walk, double, walk, single, strikeout, single, walk, walk, strikeout. It was the Jose Altuve of rallies.
3

29

33

28.4

28.7

29.6

.439

.458

0.3%

0.7%

1.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Mike Pelfrey struck out seven and was immediately told to "tone it down, you whippersnapper!"
4

24

36

24.8

24.1

23.5

.446

.426

0.7%

0.5%

1.2%

0.4%

-0.7%

Depending on Marlon Byrd seems like something you do if you're buying strategic plans in bulk at Costco.
5

28

35

27.7

27.5

26.1

.448

.468

0.7%

1.0%

1.7%

0.4%

-0.8%

Quiz time! How many in the White Sox starting lineup have an on-base percentage above .300? A) 4 B) 5 C) 6 D) It doesn't matter, all of these choices are way too few.
6

31

35

28.1

28.1

27.2

.455

.435

1.9%

2.3%

4.2%

-1.2%

-5.5%

Ryan Howard's OPS ranks 227th in baseball. He's coming for you, Alejandro De Aza!
7

30

33

32.1

26.2

26.5

.463

.483

1.1%

2.2%

3.3%

0.0%

1.0%

The Royals lineup by slugging percentage: .441, .341, 424, .401, .415, .417, .286, .264, .313.
8

27

38

28.4

29.6

30.6

.463

.443

0.0%

0.6%

0.6%

-0.1%

0.3%

Carlos Gomez went 4-for-5 with a double and scored three runs. Or, as Yasiel Puig calls it, Wednesday.
9

29

38

28.1

31.9

32.1

.466

.486

0.3%

0.8%

1.1%

-0.5%

-1.1%

Mariners baseball: That's not baseball fever, that's an actual fever you should go to the doctor.
10

32

34

30.7

30.2

30.2

.469

.449

4.0%

1.3%

5.3%

0.6%

1.8%

Yasiel Puig still does not play for the Padres (editor: this should meet the Puig requirement for today's Hit List. Don't forget to delete these parentheses!).
11

28

36

28.5

27.5

29.1

.470

.490

0.2%

0.9%

1.0%

-0.4%

-0.2%

If a tree falls in a forest and no one is around to hear it, does it make a team less likely to make the playoffs? They'd better hope not because there are lots of Blue Jay-hating trees that would lay down for that.
12

25

38

29.5

31.1

31.5

.470

.451

0.0%

0.8%

0.8%

0.3%

-1.7%

There was only one guy in the Cubs lineup hitting over .300. So they pinch-hit for him. The pinch-hitter got out. Cubs cubbing.
13

32

32

28.7

28.2

28.4

.490

.470

12.0%

11.8%

23.8%

3.9%

-2.5%

The Nationals are back at .500. Phew. [crosses it off list] Now, about that whole NSA wire-tapping thing...
14

32

33

33.3

32.2

33.6

.498

.518

7.2%

10.7%

17.9%

2.5%

-6.9%

With four walks, four strikeouts, and a homer in five innings, Ubaldo Jimenez can even be unimpressive when he's being impressive.
15

37

29

34.1

34.2

34.4

.498

.518

5.3%

19.2%

24.5%

-2.1%

2.4%

Three of the four Orioles pitchers used in last night's game walked more hitters than they struck out. The Baseball Gods tend to notice stuff like that.
16

28

37

27.3

29.2

29.5

.506

.486

8.8%

3.7%

12.4%

-2.6%

-4.1%

Zack Greinke missed a month after being injured in a fight. As soon as he came back he helped ignite another fight and now Yasiel Puig is missing time with a shoulder injury. This is what's known as making your own luck.
17

33

31

29.9

32.3

33.7

.508

.488

22.8%

6.7%

29.5%

-4.1%

0.3%

The number 2 through 7 hitters in the Giants batting order went a combined 13-for-26 and the Giants lost anyway. [shakes fist] Zeeeee-towwwwwwwww!!
18

35

31

36.8

38.6

37.6

.512

.492

14.8%

7.6%

22.5%

-6.1%

-2.0%

Todd Helton is hitting .246/.309/.410 and once you adjust for home park... yeesh! yeah, probably shouldn't do that.
19

28

38

30.9

32.4

31.4

.514

.534

1.6%

5.2%

6.8%

1.1%

-4.2%

The Angels don't have the major-league leader in grounding into double plays (Matt Holliday; 14). They don't have the player in second place either (Michael Young; 13). They do have Albert Pujols and Howie Kendrick who both have 12.
20

37

29

35.3

33.9

34.4

.525

.505

49.6%

10.0%

59.6%

6.8%

-9.0%

The Diamondbacks had 20 hits last night. Seventeen were singles. All were gritty.
21

39

26

35.4

33.4

34.3

.527

.507

11.8%

52.7%

64.5%

3.7%

17.2%

Starling Marte went 4-for-5, giving him an excellent opportunity to be thrown out stealing a league-leading 19th time. Sadly he ran twice and was safe both times.
22

35

30

35.4

37.0

38.4

.545

.565

12.9%

31.4%

44.3%

-2.6%

-1.0%

Evan Longoria has homered in three consecutive games. Rumor is he might try to go pro.
23

37

28

33.8

31.8

32.2

.545

.565

32.1%

37.7%

69.8%

-1.9%

2.4%

Hey, remember that time when we all thought Vernon Wells had resurrected his career? Ha ha! Simpler times, my friends, simpler times.
24

40

27

38.4

38.9

37.6

.550

.570

45.2%

29.4%

74.6%

6.1%

7.9%

Coco Crisp is hitting .289/.378/.500. I thought you'd want to know that.
25

39

27

40.1

41.0

39.3

.559

.539

85.4%

4.9%

90.3%

-2.5%

-1.5%

Slowwwwwwwwwly, but surely, it looks like B.J. Upton is continuing to be awful
26

38

27

36.7

37.0

37.1

.561

.580

52.9%

24.6%

77.5%

-5.0%

-10.3%

Jurickson Profar is hitting .292/.342/.417. Not great, but not bad when you consider the guy was born during the Clinton administration.
27

41

26

41.3

40.8

39.9

.571

.591

49.5%

33.0%

82.5%

2.8%

6.6%

The Red Sox used five pitchers in last night's 2-1 win in Tampa and each of them got either the win, a hold, or a save. That's probably relatively unusual!
28

40

26

40.1

40.2

39.4

.580

.560

30.7%

59.1%

89.8%

1.8%

3.4%

Joey Votto came to the plate four times and did not reach base once. So that was weird.
29

42

23

43.2

41.5

40.8

.592

.572

57.5%

38.1%

95.6%

-0.9%

3.8%

Shelby Miller struck out 10 without walking a hitter. If he hadn't given up any runs too the Cardinals might have won.
30

36

28

40.4

45.2

44.5

.608

.627

90.7%

3.3%

94.1%

-0.4%

4.4%

Prince Fielder and Miguel Cabrera got on base five times in 10 plate appearances. The rest of the Tigers got on six times in 26 plate appearances. While you're off making robot umpires see if you can clone those two as well?

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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