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Prospectus Hit List for June 11



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for June 10 Hit List for June 12
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

In which you sense Matt very nearly made a joke about "the fog of WAR," or perhaps "the WAR of fog"

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day 7-Day
1

30

33

31.7

30.7

32.1

.492

.512

5.3%

7.1%

12.5%

-2.5%

-18.8%

They won't lose forever. They will eventually win someday. Perhaps Friday? Sorry, Friday's no good.
2

27

36

26.3

28.3

28.6

.503

.483

8.5%

3.5%

12.0%

-1.4%

-7.9%

Perhaps Brandon League would be more effective if he spelled his last name "Luig." Just a hunch.
3

38

26

37.9

37.7

37.1

.570

.550

27.7%

55.9%

83.7%

1.4%

-7.1%

Brandon Phillips' grand slam was hit in the thickest fog in baseball history since they kept track of that, which was yesterday, when I invented FOGf/x. (Patent pending.)
4

27

37

29.6

31.2

30.3

.512

.532

1.5%

6.4%

7.8%

-0.7%

-5.1%

Perhaps it's time for another one of those Josh Hamilton four-home run games. Actually, no, that's when he started slumping. Better make it three.
5

34

29

34.0

35.1

36.4

.541

.561

10.4%

30.2%

40.6%

-3.3%

-4.9%

Sure, they lost in 14 innings on ESPN, but it ate up a bunch of TV time allotted for Tim Tebow discussion, so who REALLY won?
6

31

31

27.8

27.2

27.4

.490

.470

9.7%

14.9%

24.6%

0.7%

-4.4%

Word is Bryce Harper is rehabbing his injured knee by gently banging it into tiny walls.
7

38

25

36.3

36.5

36.5

.567

.587

67.8%

17.4%

85.2%

2.1%

-3.1%

Setup man Tanner Scheppers' ERA is down to 0.84 with a 0.88 WHIP, but is not close to the bullpen record set by Tannest Scheppers.
8

31

33

27.4

27.8

26.9

.459

.439

2.6%

4.1%

6.8%

0.6%

-2.3%

Domonic Brown didn't homer yesterday. Yes, it was an off day, but that wouldn't stop a true professional hitter.
9

37

26

33.2

31.4

32.3

.519

.499

9.9%

44.7%

54.6%

-0.3%

-1.8%

Jeff Locke has been popping what he thought was regression-blocking pills, but they turned out to be Rice Krispies.
10

38

27

36.9

37.1

35.9

.545

.565

30.3%

35.1%

65.4%

-0.5%

-0.8%

Over/under on number of starting pitchers they get back for trading Josh Donaldson at the end of the year: 5.5.
11

36

28

33.4

33.4

33.4

.500

.520

3.7%

19.8%

23.5%

2.6%

-0.8%

Not unlike the legendary village of Brigadoon, Freddy Garcia shows up every 100 years to randomly help a starting rotation in need.
12

25

36

29.7

31.6

31.6

.481

.461

0.1%

1.2%

1.3%

-0.5%

-0.7%

Imagine a parallel universe Ferris Bueller's Day Off where the Cubs game they attended was foggy.
13

23

35

24.1

23.6

22.8

.447

.428

0.4%

0.8%

1.2%

-0.1%

-0.4%

Perhaps they should consider a more depressing city to demote players to Triple-A than, I don't know, Las Vegas.
14

28

34

27.4

27.1

25.7

.449

.469

1.2%

1.0%

2.2%

0.7%

-0.4%

They experienced a fog delay, but the most amusing part was the grounds crew trying to throw the tarp in the air!
15

27

33

27.3

27.1

28.2

.433

.453

0.3%

0.6%

0.9%

0.2%

-0.3%

I like to pretend Joe Mauer works at the A&W on off days and now so do you.
16

27

36

27.8

26.9

28.7

.468

.488

0.2%

1.3%

1.5%

-0.4%

-0.1%

R.A. Dickey's knuckleball in the fog looks like a ghost, so the scouting report centers around never crossing streams.
17

22

43

22.5

20.2

22.2

.360

.379

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Several "it's still early" trends have broken, but they're still striking out at a higher rate than any other teams (9.4/game), and everybody loves consistency.
18

18

45

21.2

18.1

17.5

.349

.331

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

This is the first season of his career Juan Pierre hit a home run before hitting a triple.
19

28

37

27.2

30.7

31.1

.465

.485

0.4%

1.1%

1.5%

0.5%

0.1%

Remember when a week into the season we gave Mike Morse the MVP trophy? We need to stop doing that, the commissioner's going to be mad.
20

26

37

26.6

28.0

29.1

.459

.439

0.0%

0.7%

0.7%

0.1%

0.3%

Despite an NL-best .758 OPS against left-handed pitching, they are just 6-20 when a lefty starts against them.
21

36

28

34.3

32.8

33.5

.526

.506

45.9%

13.4%

59.3%

2.8%

0.7%

Tony Sipp won his third game. If he gets to five wins he has to legally change his name to Tony Gulpp.
22

30

34

29.4

29.0

29.0

.465

.445

2.5%

1.7%

4.2%

0.3%

1.2%

Logan Forsythe's real first name is John, so like the actor, you know the name but are unsure of where you know him from.
23

41

22

41.9

40.0

39.3

.592

.572

62.3%

32.8%

95.1%

-0.2%

1.3%

They have a major-league fewest 26 stolen base attempts, which is no worry because they care more about stealing your soul.
24

29

32

31.1

25.7

25.7

.464

.484

1.6%

2.5%

4.1%

0.7%

1.8%

Billy Butler sells barbecue sauce with his name on it and it's not even called Butlercue sauce so what's the point?
25

39

25

39.4

40.1

38.5

.564

.544

87.3%

5.9%

93.2%

-1.4%

6.0%

Down five runs in the ninth inning, they scored four runs on homers and then [SCENE MISSING]
26

35

27

39.3

43.7

43.0

.609

.628

91.5%

2.5%

94.0%

-1.2%

6.2%

Doug Fister's last four outings: 30 innings, nine runs, one homer, 26 strikeouts, three walks, three losses, no wins.
27

33

29

29.9

32.3

33.6

.517

.497

29.0%

10.6%

39.6%

-1.2%

7.1%

Brandon Crawford already has hit a career-best five home runs this season, so it's all bunt singles from here.
28

34

30

35.6

37.5

36.7

.513

.493

14.1%

9.6%

23.8%

-0.6%

8.0%

Sure, you could bring up Roy Oswalt. But what of the Tulsa Drillers' dreams for a Double-A championship?
29

40

25

40.7

40.6

39.8

.577

.596

46.1%

37.4%

83.5%

1.7%

8.8%

That's the last time they give John Lackey a six-run lead in the first inning. From now on, liver and onions.
30

37

26

33.4

31.6

32.0

.553

.572

39.5%

37.8%

77.3%

0.2%

17.2%

Their only home run in the last two years in Seattle was courtesy of Derek Jeter. Whatever happened to that guy?

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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