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Prospectus Hit List for June 7



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 6 Hit List for June 10
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's Hit List, Hit List, Gotta Get Down On Hit List, Everybody's Looking Forward To The Hit List

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day 7-Day
1

37

25

35.7

36.6

35.2

.551

.570

32.3%

36.1%

68.3%

1.6%

20.6%

The only thing more impressive than Coco Crisp’s slash line of .290/.388/.491 is his awesome 'fro.
2

37

24

38.1

38.3

37.8

.577

.597

43.3%

35.4%

78.7%

2.8%

10.3%

By bWARP the second most valuable player on the Red Sox is Daniel Nava. That sounds like an insult but actually it isn't.
3

37

23

36.7

37.1

35.6

.561

.541

84.1%

6.8%

90.9%

-0.9%

9.8%

Reliever Cory Gearrin’s night included three hits, four runs, one walk, and frantic checking of e-bay in attempt to replace Tim Hudson’s antique porcelain cat collection which may or may not have met the wall at high velocity somewhere around the end of the eighth inning.
4

32

29

34.2

36.3

35.5

.514

.494

13.6%

8.6%

22.2%

-2.3%

7.6%

Michael Cuddyer has a 1.161 OPS at home and an .876 OPS on the road. What’s the shelf life on humidors anyway?
5

34

26

32.9

32.4

32.9

.537

.517

50.3%

13.0%

63.3%

-5.3%

6.9%

Eight Diamondbacks have attempted to steal a base this season. Six of them have been caught more often than they’ve been successful.
6

35

25

31.8

29.9

30.5

.549

.568

37.7%

34.4%

72.1%

4.7%

6.2%

Derek Jeter is fifth among American League shortstops in the All-Star voting.
7

31

30

27.0

27.5

26.5

.469

.449

4.8%

7.7%

12.5%

2.8%

4.6%

Domonic Brown has 18 home runs in 228 plate appearances this season. In his previous 492 plate appearances covering the last three seasons, he had hit 12.
8

36

24

36.8

36.5

35.6

.581

.561

38.2%

48.9%

87.1%

0.7%

2.9%

Things that sound surprising at first but then if you think about them aren’t really: Aroldis Chapman has more strikeouts in 26 innings than Bronson Arroyo has in 80 innings.
9

34

26

31.9

32.1

32.1

.505

.525

5.7%

18.3%

24.1%

1.9%

2.8%

How good has Chris Davis been? By VORP, he’s just a bit less valuable than Manny Machado, Nate McLouth, and J.J. Hardy combined, the second, third, and fourth most valuable hitters in the second highest-scoring offense in baseball.
10

32

26

36.7

40.7

40.2

.610

.628

86.1%

4.7%

90.8%

1.1%

2.1%

An incomplete list of items Miguel Cabrera could hit were they pitched to him: a golf ball, a BB, a bee, little ketchup packets, ants, boomerangs, a Volkswagen, a shuttlecock, a heard of goats, and Donald Trump.
11

39

21

39.2

37.7

36.7

.586

.567

54.6%

38.2%

92.8%

1.1%

1.9%

What kind of night was it for the Cardinals? Seven players had two hits including starting pitcher Shelby Miller who went 2-for-4 with a home run.
12

26

31

26.5

25.9

26.9

.436

.456

0.6%

0.6%

1.2%

0.1%

0.5%

Presented without further comment: last night 39-year-old Jamey Carroll led off for the Twins. His on-base percentage is .278. He played third base. His slugging percentage is .245.
13

28

32

27.2

27.0

26.9

.463

.443

2.6%

1.3%

3.9%

0.4%

0.5%

The Padres scored the winning run last night when the umpires called a runner out at third base and another runner safe at first. Replays clearly showed the runner at third was safe and the runner at first was out. The run scored anyway. Padres win!
14

24

33

28.5

29.7

29.5

.486

.466

0.1%

2.5%

2.6%

0.2%

0.2%

The Cubs have five starters who have started eight or more games. The pitcher with the highest ERA is the highest paid and the pitcher with the lowest ERA is the lowest paid. Baseball.
15

16

44

19.7

16.8

16.6

.343

.326

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games which, when considering their winning percentage is now .267, means they’re on the upswing!
16

22

39

21.7

19.4

21.8

.365

.384

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Chris Carter has played in 58 games this season. He has struck out in 50 of them.
17

22

37

23.1

24.0

25.4

.440

.421

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

-0.0%

-0.2%

Last night, Yuniesky Betancourt was used as a pinch-hitter, presumably to limit the number of outs he could make. In his one plate appearance he grounded into a double play.
18

25

34

25.8

25.0

26.6

.466

.486

0.2%

1.0%

1.2%

0.0%

-0.8%

Eleven different Blue Jays have started games this season, seven of whom have ERAs over 5.00. Not much Jose Reyes can do about that.
19

26

35

25.2

28.5

29.0

.460

.480

0.1%

0.9%

1.0%

-1.2%

-0.9%

The Mariners are a pitching-first team. That’s troubling because they’re twentieth in team ERA and have given up the tenth most runs in baseball.
20

25

32

27.9

23.0

23.4

.454

.474

0.8%

1.0%

1.8%

-0.5%

-1.4%

And now for another episode of Selective Endpoint Theater! In the last 23 games, the Royals have four home runs. That is not good!
21

32

27

31.6

32.0

33.1

.536

.556

13.1%

26.8%

39.8%

-5.5%

-2.1%

Two more hits for James Loney yesterday, who, it appears, will continue making everyone look silly for at least a little while longer.
22

23

33

23.7

23.3

22.7

.449

.429

0.7%

1.0%

1.7%

-0.1%

-2.5%

Trivia time! Which team leads baseball in average attendance? Answer: It's the Dodgers! (If I put it in their comment you'd have guessed it)
23

36

23

34.4

33.9

34.0

.569

.588

65.6%

19.5%

85.1%

-2.7%

-2.9%

In just 70 plate appearances this season, Jeff Baker is 0.1 WARP away from equaling his total value over the last nine seasons.
24

26

33

25.3

26.7

26.7

.510

.490

13.2%

6.5%

19.7%

3.1%

-3.0%

The only division they have a winning record against is the NL Central, which makes you wonder if maybe there’s a chance the Astros end up back there next season.
25

25

33

24.5

23.7

22.5

.441

.461

0.7%

0.7%

1.3%

-1.1%

-4.2%

Can you name the only American League team with an on-base percentage under .300? (Hint: <--)
26

31

28

27.7

29.5

30.9

.506

.486

20.3%

9.0%

29.3%

0.0%

-5.1%

"Hello? Yes, this is the Giants marketing department. We were wondering if you could help us with the request we faxed earlier. [long pause] No, we didn't know pandas were endangered. [long pause] Yes, I see how giving them out at a game could be problematic. [long pause] We're very sorry. [long pause] Very VERY sorry.."
27

29

30

25.4

25.3

25.6

.488

.468

10.4%

16.0%

26.4%

0.1%

-7.0%

The major-league leader in True Average (TAv) this season is Zack Duke! Because I forgot to set a minimum plate appearance requirement!
28

26

34

28.3

30.0

28.6

.516

.536

2.0%

8.3%

10.4%

-0.6%

-14.0%

The fifth most intentionally walked player in baseball is Albert Pujols, which, considering he’s hitting .243/.311/.420 is kind of Pujols' best possible outcome.
29

30

29

30.7

30.2

30.9

.505

.525

11.9%

12.3%

24.2%

-0.6%

-16.2%

Remember at the beginning of the season when I said the Indians would be awful? Good, because I never said that.
30

35

25

31.4

29.9

30.7

.515

.495

7.2%

40.2%

47.4%

0.1%

-16.6%

The Pirates have been hit by 35 pitches this season, the most in baseball, because what a bunch of jerks.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
Schere

Orioles comment leaves out Adam Jones somehow; I guess those guys are 3rd-5th among Orioles in VORP, not 2nd-4th. But, cool factoid anyway.

Jun 07, 2013 10:31 AM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
Schere

Orioles comment leaves out Adam Jones somehow; I guess those guys are 3rd-5th among Orioles in VORP, not 2nd-4th. But, cool factoid anyway.

Jun 07, 2013 10:32 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
Schere

Orioles comment leaves out Adam Jones somehow; I guess those guys are 3rd-5th among Orioles in VORP, not 2nd-4th. But, cool factoid anyway.

Jun 07, 2013 10:32 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
Schere

oops

Jun 07, 2013 10:32 AM
up_image

+2

down_image
 
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