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Prospectus Hit List for May 28



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 24 Hit List for May 29
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The Daily Hit List: Not a bucketful of moose droppings.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC% Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

13

38

15.5

13.1

12.8

.335

.317

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Yesterday marked only the fifth day that the Astros and Marlins have won on the same day. Wait, the Marlins lost. Never mind.
2

15

36

16.1

14.7

16.7

.345

.364

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros have grounded into 56 double plays, the most in baseball, because they are efficient. Also bad, but we’re focusing on the efficient thing here, people.
3

20

28

21.0

19.4

20.9

.412

.431

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.2%

For Twins pitchers, giving up homers is like a child's blankie. It might not serve a ton of purpose, but it makes them feel safe and comfortable in this crazy, crazy world.
4

19

30

20.1

20.9

22.5

.448

.429

0.1%

0.8%

0.9%

-0.6%

-2.0%

Some information you might want to become aware of as you diffuse in carbon monoxide and diffuse out oxygen: Carlos Gomez has a .611 slugging percentage.
5

19

29

19.7

20.0

19.8

.446

.426

1.2%

0.9%

2.1%

0.5%

-2.2%

The Mets beat the Yankees, which, according to MLB’s by-laws, is not allowed. The game will be replayed until the Yankees win.
6

22

28

22.1

21.8

21.9

.454

.434

1.3%

0.9%

2.2%

-1.1%

-3.6%

Kyle Blanks struck out three times in three plate appearances. This is sadly appropriate.
7

20

30

24.4

26.4

26.5

.487

.467

0.2%

2.2%

2.4%

0.5%

-3.4%

Quick Quiz! Who has the best record in baseball? Answer: The Cardinals! (I couldn’t put this in the Cardinals comment without giving the answer away)
8

22

29

21.4

24.6

25.4

.466

.486

0.7%

2.4%

3.1%

0.8%

-2.6%

The Mariners pitched Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma and lost both games. Then they sent Aaron Harang out there and won 9-0. Baseball.
9

22

29

22.0

20.9

22.3

.466

.486

0.5%

2.8%

3.3%

1.0%

0.1%

Blue Jays pitchers have picked eight opposing runners off, which is nothing compared to the number of boogers they’ve picked.
10

21

27

23.8

20.7

20.7

.462

.482

0.8%

2.8%

3.6%

-0.2%

-7.8%

The Royals scored in every inning the Cardinals scored except for two of them and also they didn’t score as many runs in those innings and the Royals aren’t very good.
11

24

27

20.6

20.7

20.5

.447

.428

4.2%

3.1%

7.3%

-0.2%

-0.4%

Jonathan Papelbon returned to Boston to, as his role with the Phillies dictates, not pitch ever.
12

24

25

22.4

23.0

22.2

.469

.489

2.5%

5.6%

8.2%

-2.9%

-0.0%

Adam Dunn is hitting .156 so now’s probably the time to trade for him in your fantasy league. (You’re welcome, everyone with Adam Dunn! Shh! )
13

28

23

27.7

27.8

27.5

.508

.528

3.9%

13.6%

17.5%

2.5%

6.4%

If you want to nitpick, Manny Machado has just 11 walks in 235 plate appearances, but why would you want to nitpick a 20-year-old with a .335/.366/.522 slash line? Stop it!
14

27

24

28.7

29.6

29.2

.512

.492

10.2%

8.3%

18.5%

-1.5%

0.1%

The Rockies had a bad night. Not only did they lose to the Astros but, well, actually that was mostly it.
15

23

28

24.8

25.9

25.2

.518

.538

6.7%

16.2%

22.9%

-4.3%

10.0%

Winning eight in a row is good, I guess, but it’s not as good as winning nine in a row, which last night’s loss prevented them from doing. Man, the Angels suck!
16

21

28

20.1

23.1

22.9

.508

.488

15.1%

7.9%

23.0%

1.7%

-5.9%

If you account for gritification, Adrian Gonzalez’s 4-for-4 performance last night was only worth 3.9995 hits.
17

26

24

26.4

27.1

28.0

.534

.554

11.5%

23.0%

34.5%

2.3%

-2.4%

The Rays lead baseball in stolen bases with 43. This concludes Rays Happy Time!
18

27

23

27.5

27.8

27.8

.525

.545

13.0%

23.5%

36.5%

-3.4%

-21.5%

The Indians' record in sequential segments: 8-13, 16-4, 1-6
19

28

23

25.6

26.2

27.2

.518

.498

27.0%

10.6%

37.6%

-6.8%

-7.7%

The Giants are the only team yet to win an interleague game. Of course this means they’re winning the Series again.
20

26

25

22.6

22.7

22.7

.497

.477

25.4%

15.2%

40.6%

-3.3%

-5.5%

Ryan Zimmerman has nine errors. Six years, $100 million starts next year, folks.
21

29

23

28.4

28.7

27.9

.531

.551

17.4%

26.7%

44.1%

5.6%

15.2%

The A’s lead baseball in walks. Someone should write a book about that.
22

31

20

28.5

28.9

28.6

.537

.517

10.8%

40.5%

51.3%

-1.6%

9.7%

Two things, Pirates fans: 1) Brandon Inge struck out three times in four plate appearances, and 2) Brandon Inge plays for you guys so that’s bad! Sorry!
23

30

22

29.0

29.1

29.2

.544

.525

46.3%

13.4%

59.7%

7.8%

-1.8%

Arizona used four pinch-hitters in their doubleheader. Those pinch-hitters went 3-for-3 with a walk.
24

32

20

30.7

31.2

30.5

.564

.584

32.9%

37.5%

70.4%

3.5%

5.6%

Not only did Alfredo Aceves pitch well when called up for a spot start, but also preliminary reports suggest he didn’t eat any human babies.
25

30

20

27.6

25.4

25.7

.555

.575

51.2%

26.7%

77.9%

-2.1%

-7.6%

In his last 10 games, Vernon Wells is hitting .128. Ah! Breath in that fresh, true air!
26

30

20

29.9

29.1

28.1

.551

.531

69.2%

10.9%

80.0%

-1.4%

1.6%

If this were college football, the Braves would drop way down in the rankings after facing a lousy team’s lousy starter from another conference and getting pounded. Get ready for the Chili’s Babyback-babyback-babyback-babyback Bowl, Atlanta!
27

32

20

31.6

31.0

30.8

.577

.597

75.2%

10.5%

85.7%

-3.9%

-5.1%

Yu Darvish struck out 14 and walked none. Of course he lost because you can’t pitch that well and win when fate is a bucketful of moose turds.
28

33

17

32.5

29.8

29.4

.577

.558

43.0%

43.8%

86.8%

3.0%

13.5%

The Cardinals had 12 hits but gave up 13. How’d they win by three runs? Seven walks, and four of those hits were for extra bases. Their opponent had one extra-base hit and no walks.
29

32

19

32.4

31.5

30.2

.588

.568

46.0%

41.4%

87.4%

3.0%

7.7%

Joey Votto did NOT walk. He homered and won the game for Cincinnati but whatever because he did NOT WALK.
30

29

20

31.1

33.9

33.0

.612

.631

83.6%

8.6%

92.2%

1.1%

9.7%

Justin Verlander’s ERA slots him just below Chris Tillman and just above Jason Marquis, which is right about his true talent level. Thanks, ERA!

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
lmarighi

This looks the same as Friday's. . .

May 28, 2013 13:05 PM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

In what way? The order?

May 28, 2013 13:17 PM
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DetroitDale

The pirates comment made me smile, not just because of was funny but because I'm so happy Brandon Inge isn't swinging and missing for the Tigers anymore.

May 28, 2013 16:20 PM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Either way, glad you enjoyed it.

May 28, 2013 21:59 PM
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