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Prospectus Hit List for May 24



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 23 Hit List for May 28
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

LOL

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

20

27

21.6

22.8

22.3

.507

.527

5.3%

14.5%

19.8%

3.0%

6.4%

The Killer T's all hit dingers yesterday: Trout, Trumbo, Tiannetta and Tpujols.
2

26

21

26.4

26.0

26.4

.540

.520

34.8%

15.5%

50.3%

0.2%

1.5%

Sorry, Chase Field, but it's not a real swimming pool unless there's a chance for leaves to fall into it.
3

28

18

28.0

27.9

27.1

.561

.541

70.6%

11.8%

82.4%

0.7%

18.8%

Evan Gattis has more home runs through his first 37 games than Hank Aaron did. If he can keep this up...
4

25

22

24.9

25.0

24.8

.499

.519

3.5%

10.4%

13.9%

-1.5%

-8.6%

Kevin Gausman's major-league debut went well. He lost the game, as do many Orioles starting pitchers, so he'll fit right in.
5

28

20

27.0

27.9

27.1

.552

.572

25.8%

33.9%

59.7%

-4.4%

1.5%

Every time Andrew Miller pitches well in relief, the Red Sox made a verbal promise that he's allowed to use the showers.
6

21

24

20.8

21.3

21.0

.470

.490

1.7%

5.8%

7.6%

-0.9%

-1.1%

Alex Rios leads the team in walks with 18. He had 26 last year.
7

18

28

22.2

23.7

23.8

.482

.462

0.2%

2.3%

2.5%

-0.8%

-4.8%

Edwin Jackson is on pace to play for all 30 MLB teams by 2035, assuming there's no expansion. If there is, they'll win a World Series before the Cubs do.
8

29

18

29.7

29.0

27.7

.585

.565

46.8%

36.5%

83.3%

-1.5%

3.0%

With an on-base of .636 in the last week, it's possible Joey Votto simply created underground tunnels to first base.
9

27

19

26.8

26.8

26.5

.542

.562

23.8%

32.1%

55.9%

6.3%

10.6%

Nick Swisher went on the paternity list and they brought up Cord Phelps in his absence. Now that he's returned, they'll likely cut the Cord.
10

26

21

26.8

27.6

27.5

.519

.499

17.4%

8.6%

26.1%

2.4%

11.5%

When he retires, will Colorado retire Todd Helton's number, his goatee, or both?
11

26

19

28.0

30.8

30.1

.607

.625

72.3%

16.3%

88.6%

0.7%

2.6%

Jose Valverde's dancing theatrics are back in style, so hold off on throwing those earth shoes out.
12

14

33

15.0

13.3

15.1

.346

.364

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If runs are fun (and they are!), then Houston has allowed the most fun in baseball.
13

21

23

23.6

20.2

20.1

.481

.501

2.1%

6.8%

9.0%

-0.9%

-12.6%

They say if you're going to give up home runs, make sure they're solo homers. But not three of them, Ervin Santana.
14

19

26

18.8

21.2

21.0

.508

.488

16.3%

9.4%

25.7%

-1.0%

-12.7%

A crowd gathers at Dodger Stadium's employee entrance. Don Mattingly approaches, swipes his keycard, and it works. The crowd sighs and disperses.
15

13

34

14.3

12.0

11.8

.338

.321

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jon Rauch was designated for assignment. The assignment: "Could you reach that thing on the top shelf for us?"
16

18

27

18.8

20.0

21.3

.455

.435

0.3%

1.7%

2.0%

0.1%

-1.7%

Let's not forget that half their wins have still come in one winning streak.
17

18

26

19.8

18.2

19.3

.414

.434

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

0.1%

-1.7%

Losing games on freak deflections and ground balls just out of reach? Someone's stealing their shtick!
18

28

18

25.6

23.1

23.0

.553

.573

56.0%

23.2%

79.2%

0.3%

-1.6%

A generation of Bronx children are pretending to play shortstop like Jayson Nix. A very confused generation.
19

17

27

18.3

17.9

17.7

.444

.424

1.2%

1.2%

2.4%

-0.2%

-2.9%

Ike Davis just knows how to get on base. Mostly when fielding. He just puts his foot on that bag to hold the runner like a pro.
20

25

23

24.9

25.5

25.0

.518

.538

11.1%

20.1%

31.2%

-1.5%

11.5%

Their batting lineup changes almost daily, but just barely, which makes them a teenager's Facebook picture.
21

23

24

19.9

20.5

20.3

.460

.440

4.4%

4.5%

8.9%

-1.2%

0.1%

Cole Hamels leads the team in home runs allowed, walks allowed and strikeouts. So much for "visualize every batter like he's Adam Dunn."
22

29

18

26.2

26.1

26.0

.535

.515

13.3%

36.6%

49.9%

2.6%

9.2%

Yesterday against the Cubs, Andrew McCutchen had three base hits and two stolen bases for the third time in his career. The last time was May 14, 2010 against ... also the Cubs.
23

21

25

20.8

20.8

21.0

.462

.442

2.2%

1.6%

3.8%

-0.4%

-0.4%

Off days: the original, and still the best, form of camouflage.
24

20

27

19.0

22.1

22.5

.459

.479

0.7%

2.0%

2.7%

-1.0%

-9.1%

They send down Jesus Montero to bring up Jesus Sacre. They're looking for religion in all the wrong places.
25

26

21

23.9

24.6

25.6

.523

.503

29.3%

12.4%

41.6%

-1.0%

-10.4%

Will Brandon Belt still get playing time at first when they call up highly-touted prospect Sammy Suspenders?
26

30

16

29.5

27.3

27.1

.573

.553

39.4%

40.9%

80.3%

0.1%

7.1%

Their pitching staff is first in the National League in wins, complete games, shutouts, ERA, fewest home runs, walk rate, and most birds on the uniform.
27

24

22

24.1

25.0

26.0

.535

.555

13.9%

23.5%

37.4%

-1.9%

3.4%

James Loney is also a contender to win the Triple Crown: batting average, then maybe two visits to the dentist?
28

30

17

28.8

28.5

28.0

.582

.601

82.9%

7.4%

90.3%

0.7%

-1.1%

My advice to Jon Daniels is to meet the Craigslist buyer of Derek Lowe in a public location, like an auto parts store or a baseball park.
29

20

27

19.8

18.4

19.6

.459

.479

0.8%

3.7%

4.4%

0.9%

-0.3%

Sure, Edwin Encarnacion has hit grand slams in the past four to be exact but never with a ball in the count until yesterday.
30

24

23

20.4

20.1

20.4

.492

.472

23.8%

17.0%

40.8%

-0.0%

-18.4%

As a team they're hitting .193/.265/.294 against all lefties, which is one way to lure Jamie Moyer out of retirement.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
steve.k

I'm guessing you had the "cut the cord" comment written the moment you saw that name on the transaction list.

May 24, 2013 09:41 AM
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+1

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BP staff member Matt Sussman

I almost never, NEVER write jokes way in advance. I get accused of it all the time. But you are absolutely correct this one time.

May 24, 2013 10:55 AM
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rsjanabasis

"A crowd gathers at Dodger Stadium's employee entrance. Don Mattingly approaches, swipes his keycard, and it works. The crowd sighs and disperses."

Ouch.

May 24, 2013 17:56 PM
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