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Prospectus Hit List for May 21



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 20 Hit List for May 22
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

You may look at today's Hit List, but please don't touch it. (It's infectious.)

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

13

32

14.1

12.2

12.0

.345

.327

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Chad Qualls is now finishing games for them, apparently, in case you need another reason to attend a Marlins game.
2

13

32

14.3

12.3

14.1

.342

.360

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Not only did they win, but we're one step closer to knowing how to pronounce Dallas Keuchel.
3

18

25

17.3

19.9

19.9

.505

.485

16.6%

12.3%

28.9%

2.7%

-6.7%

Don Mattingly could save his job if he just lets Clayton Kershaw pitch a complete game win every time.
4

18

26

17.7

16.4

17.8

.450

.469

0.6%

2.6%

3.2%

0.4%

0.4%

Given a four-run lead in the ninth, Casey Janssen allowed two runs and walked the potentially game-tying baserunner. He is terrible at blowing games.
5

17

25

18.0

17.4

17.0

.450

.430

2.3%

2.0%

4.3%

-1.3%

-1.3%

LaTroy Hawkins was ejected yesterday, presumably for not properly informing us he was still in the majors.
6

21

24

18.2

18.3

18.4

.448

.428

4.1%

3.7%

7.8%

-1.8%

-2.2%

Cole Hamels has lost more games to the Marlins than any other team, which is why he never wants to go to Sea World.
7

17

26

18.2

19.2

20.5

.457

.437

0.5%

2.5%

3.0%

-0.4%

-5.5%

John Axford pitched a clean seventh inning, and hasn't allowed a run in 6 1/3 career seventh innings. Everybody needs a good setup-to-the-setup man.
8

17

27

18.2

19.8

19.3

.486

.506

3.7%

9.1%

12.8%

0.5%

-3.3%

As we all predicted, the best outfielder they acquired this offseason was J.B. Shuck.
9

18

23

19.0

17.3

18.2

.422

.442

0.1%

0.3%

0.5%

-0.1%

-1.9%

For those who read the Hit List in the morning with their children, please ask them to leave the room for this next one: their combined first inning ERA is 9.22. You can explain it to them when they're older.
10

23

22

19.5

19.1

19.4

.491

.471

29.6%

16.5%

46.1%

-3.7%

-15.2%

While not effective in his start tonight, Zach Duke may be the first duke in the history of humankind to be named Zach.
11

20

23

20.0

20.4

20.0

.470

.490

2.8%

5.3%

8.2%

1.3%

3.3%

Adam Dunn now has 11 home runs and 13 non-home run hits, or "weird batty balls," as he likes to call them, probably.
12

20

25

20.0

22.6

23.0

.476

.496

1.8%

3.8%

5.6%

-0.3%

-3.6%

It takes a specific talent to score in the eighth, ninth and 10th innings and still lose.
13

21

23

20.9

20.7

20.9

.472

.452

2.7%

3.1%

5.8%

0.3%

1.9%

Jason Marquis is the National League's fourth person to reach six wins. It's not an entirely impressive honor, but then again neither was being a marquis back in the day.
14

18

25

21.2

22.7

22.8

.491

.471

1.0%

4.8%

5.9%

-0.4%

-2.4%

If Wrigley Field ever start putting advertisements on the outfield ivy, it will be to promote Alfonso Soriano trade rumors.
15

20

21

21.9

19.1

19.2

.484

.504

3.4%

8.0%

11.4%

-1.9%

-9.2%

Whoa, George Kottaras appeared in back-to-back games. Wonder if he gets hazard pay for that.
16

25

20

22.8

23.5

24.6

.524

.504

30.2%

15.0%

45.3%

4.6%

-14.0%

Ryan Vogelsong broke his hand swinging at a pitch, and no YOU'RE wincing.
17

23

21

23.1

24.1

25.2

.536

.556

11.4%

25.5%

36.9%

-5.4%

1.1%

Evan Longoria has reached base in 43 of the Rays' 44 games this year, which makes you wonder if some games he just runs to first base from the dugout and nobody notices.
18

23

21

23.6

23.0

23.0

.496

.516

1.7%

9.4%

11.1%

-1.9%

-17.3%

We've secretly replaced Jim Johnson with Jim J. Bullock. Let's see if anyone notices.
19

24

22

24.0

24.0

23.4

.515

.535

10.5%

18.3%

28.8%

5.6%

3.2%

Yoenis Cespedes, who had 2 walks in 68 plate appearances this month, walked three times last night.
20

26

18

24.2

24.0

23.8

.528

.508

12.2%

29.3%

41.6%

-0.7%

8.8%

Jeff Locke is leading the rotation, but here's hoping they can lure Jimmy Key out of retirement.
21

28

16

25.0

23.1

22.9

.564

.584

62.1%

23.4%

85.5%

3.4%

2.0%

Travis Hafner stole a base yesterday, his second of the season, 11th of his career and third against the Orioles.
22

26

17

25.3

25.6

25.1

.548

.567

29.8%

28.3%

58.0%

3.2%

15.6%

They keep winning despite all odds, just like in that one movie. What was it called? Ah yes. "Cannonball Run II."
23

24

21

25.4

26.2

26.2

.514

.494

8.5%

9.9%

18.5%

-5.0%

2.3%

They're starting to cool down just as the weather is warming up! In a related story, I don't understand climatology.
24

23

19

25.7

28.4

27.5

.599

.618

63.9%

18.6%

82.5%

-0.8%

-6.3%

Omar Infante is the game's best 9-hitter. If that were an award, it'd be a gift certificate for a free gas station soda.
25

26

19

25.9

25.5

25.5

.548

.528

41.9%

19.6%

61.6%

5.9%

19.4%

Patrick Corbin became the third Diamondback to pitch a complete game in Colorado, joining that famous D'back pitching duo ... Armando Reynoso and Omar Daal.
26

27

18

26.2

27.1

26.3

.561

.581

24.2%

40.6%

64.7%

-2.2%

12.3%

Take away that weird 0-for-17 slump, and David Ortiz is hitting over .400. Now take away a bunch of other poor at bats, and he's hitting almost .700. Hey, math is fun!
27

26

18

26.3

26.4

25.7

.556

.536

64.0%

14.5%

78.4%

1.5%

8.3%

They're going to feel the loss of bullpen arm Eric O'Flaherty, who underwent Tommy John surgery and will miss the rest of the o'season.
28

28

16

27.4

25.4

25.2

.561

.541

38.2%

35.0%

73.3%

-3.5%

1.6%

They've lost five straight games at Petco Park. It could either be a fear of animals or agoraphobia.
29

29

16

27.6

28.0

27.4

.587

.606

84.0%

6.8%

90.8%

-1.8%

3.7%

Does anyone else look like they play baseball with more disdain than Adrian Beltre? Other than the famed imaginary 1910s ballplayer Snarly McCotton.
30

27

18

27.9

27.5

26.2

.579

.560

48.0%

31.7%

79.7%

1.7%

5.0%

Jay Bruce has a hit or an RBI in every game this month.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
Llarry Amrose

Not to make light of Ryan Voglesong's pain and suffering, but somewhere, Mark Redman felt a disturbance in the Force...

May 21, 2013 12:04 PM
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