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Prospectus Hit List for May 15



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 14 Hit List for May 16
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Within: An exclusive peak at the Yankees' future

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

22

15

24.7

27.0

25.9

.625

.644

81.8%

9.7%

91.5%

2.7%

-1.6%

The Tigers are your Major League leader in runs scored. Just be glad they didnít grab Vernon Wells.
2

25

14

23.6

24.8

23.6

.586

.606

81.7%

6.3%

88.0%

0.9%

6.2%

The Rangers scored two in the tenth inning and Joe Nathan got the save by pitching badly for an inning, but not quite badly enough to give up the lead. Saves!
3

25

14

22.4

20.8

20.7

.567

.587

61.5%

22.5%

84.0%

0.5%

14.4%

Hit List has learned that at midnight the day after the trade deadline the Yankees' pact with the Devil will expire and the team will turn into a flock of crows and fly away. Youíll know which one is Youkilis because he'll be the one walking.
4

22

17

21.4

22.8

22.1

.547

.567

17.2%

32.4%

49.6%

-2.9%

-20.7%

Three of Boston's first four hitters scored last night. Of their next 31, none scored. None turned out to not be enough.
5

20

18

20.3

20.5

21.4

.537

.557

13.5%

28.0%

41.6%

5.8%

19.5%

Two more hits for James Loney, or put another way, two more hits closer to not understanding this game ever.
6

25

13

24.6

23.0

23.1

.575

.555

44.8%

30.3%

75.2%

3.5%

16.5%

Cardinals starter John Gast beat Mets starter Dillion Gee in a match-up that sounds straight out of a children's book called Gast and Gee. ďGast checks with his catcher before pitching. [smiling pitcher getting the sign] Gee throws whatever he wants. [frowning pitcher hitting catcher in face after crossing him up]
7

21

17

21.0

22.0

21.7

.532

.552

12.3%

26.0%

38.3%

-4.2%

3.4%

Five innings, four runs, three strikeouts, two walks, two homers allowed. Scott Kazmir is back, everyone!
8

23

16

23.3

22.8

22.2

.570

.550

41.0%

35.1%

76.0%

1.3%

2.5%

Itís time for Americaís favorite quiz show, No Supporting Information Necessary! Okay, hereís todayís question. The Reds played Miami. Who won? Thatís right! See you next week!
9

23

16

22.6

21.9

21.7

.520

.540

7.0%

19.3%

26.3%

-2.1%

0.4%

Jim Johnson is the Matt's Mazda of closers. He's always effective except for when his tire pops and his radio won't turn off and the dealership leaves you on hold for half an hour while the kids try to set fire to the cat and where was I? Oh. Right. The Orioles lost.
10

22

17

22.7

22.3

22.0

.544

.524

48.6%

17.7%

66.3%

-3.8%

-1.7%

If you don't count his two walks, which I sense they might not, Justin Upton had a horrible night at the plate against his former employers.
11

20

21

20.9

20.5

20.0

.503

.523

9.4%

14.4%

23.8%

-1.8%

-11.5%

Yoenis Cespedes is 0-for-3 in stolen base attempts this season. The guy hits homers and barbeques pigs on the field, what more do you want?
12

23

16

21.1

20.9

21.3

.534

.515

36.9%

15.1%

51.9%

-7.3%

7.5%

Marco Scutaro was the Giants' DH and hit second. He had three hits so you can now not collect the money you didnít bet on that silly thing happening.
13

19

17

19.4

17.1

17.5

.493

.513

4.2%

13.1%

17.3%

-3.3%

-10.2%

The Royals have the fewest homers in the American League, half as many as league-leading Texas.
14

22

18

21.8

20.9

21.5

.529

.509

26.5%

20.3%

46.7%

4.6%

-3.4%

Patrick Corbin is 6-0, proving once again that wins matter to those to whom wins matter.
15

15

24

15.7

17.3

16.9

.484

.504

5.8%

13.7%

19.6%

3.5%

-0.2%

The Angels have grounded into 43 double plays, though that's only the official number. If you ask Angels fans it's more like 10,000.
16

21

18

21.9

23.4

22.9

.518

.498

11.2%

8.3%

19.5%

3.3%

-9.1%

Carlos Gonzalez went 5-for-5 but that isnít so special. Basketball players do it all the time and lots of them have never even played baseball before.
17

22

17

20.8

20.2

20.6

.517

.497

11.7%

23.3%

35.0%

2.2%

2.4%

Negative: Pedro Alvarez went 0-for-5 with three strikeouts. Positive: It wasnít four!
18

18

21

17.0

19.2

19.2

.474

.494

3.1%

5.5%

8.6%

-0.7%

1.8%

Felix Hernandez left the game early after he was clipped in the back by Lyle Overbay. Remember, Seattleites, a green Space Needle means Healthy Felix, a white one means Felix Needs More Tests, and a red one means Surgery Required. The government recommends you have canned goods at the ready.
19

21

18

18.3

18.5

18.8

.513

.493

43.6%

16.5%

60.1%

-1.2%

6.7%

Most 20-year-olds hit a metaphorical wall. Yet another reason Bryce Harper is special.
20

16

22

15.3

18.2

18.0

.510

.490

23.2%

14.4%

37.6%

2.0%

0.4%

If Clayton Kershaw were a wine he'd be a Domaine Leroy Chambertin Grand Cru from Cote de Nuits, France. Or a bottle of Four Buck Chuck, I don't really know wines.
21

16

21

16.5

16.3

16.1

.455

.475

1.2%

4.6%

5.9%

1.0%

-0.0%

I get so excited checking the box score to see if Adam Dunn struck out, homered, and walked, you have no idea.
22

18

18

18.6

17.1

18.0

.451

.471

0.5%

1.4%

1.9%

-0.5%

0.1%

Why are the Twins just a .500 team? Only four sacrifice bunts on the season is probably not the reason.
23

16

23

18.4

20.2

20.3

.484

.464

1.1%

4.3%

5.4%

-2.8%

-1.0%

The Cubs may not be much of a baseball team but as fodder for fake law firm names, theyíre the best. My current favorite: Samardzija, Fujikawa, and Camp. Attorneys at Law!
24

16

24

15.7

14.2

15.6

.444

.464

0.7%

3.0%

3.7%

1.0%

-1.7%

Melky Cabrera had four hits, Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion had two, and R.A. Dickey had 10 strikeouts. Toronto won and for one night the earth stood still.
25

16

21

16.4

17.5

18.5

.471

.451

1.4%

4.9%

6.3%

-2.1%

-5.1%

In his spare time, Yuniesky Betancourt has discovered the cure for a rare genetic disease. Patients who undergo treatment experience a full recovery. The only side effect is a predilection for grabbing inanimate objects and swinging wildly whenever the patient so much as sees a baseball.
26

19

21

17.6

17.7

17.5

.463

.444

5.2%

5.1%

10.3%

0.4%

-4.7%

Freddy Galvis had a hit, Domonic Brown homered, John Mayberry went 3-for-4, and Jonathan Papelbon dressed in a wig, called himself Jonathan Pettibone, and pitched 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball. A good day! Tune in tomorrow when everything falls apart.
27

17

21

16.7

15.9

16.3

.451

.431

2.3%

2.5%

4.8%

0.9%

-1.1%

Carlos Quentin is back from suspension and homered. Soon Zack Greinke will return as well and Carlos Quentin can try to punch him again because that worked out so well before.
28

14

22

15.5

14.5

14.2

.446

.426

2.5%

2.3%

4.8%

-0.8%

-10.0%

The Mets had eight different batters strike out once and three different batters walk once. Only one batter had the gall, the chutzpah to hog a strikeout and a walk: David Wright. Clearly not a team player.
29

10

30

11.8

10.2

11.8

.330

.348

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Astros hitters: 11 strikeouts, no walks. Astros starter: three walks, one strikeout. Now guess who won!
30

11

28

12.4

11.0

10.8

.347

.329

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.1%

Seven members of the Marlins lineup are batting .240 or under.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


9 comments have been left for this article.
psugator01

Patrick Corbin has been great, so saying that his 6-0 record is the only reason people are paying attention to him is just wrong.

May 15, 2013 07:29 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Thanks for reading but I don't think that is what I was saying. The comment was about pitcher wins, not Corbin.

May 15, 2013 09:03 AM
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RONCA2955

Matt, you should add a disclaimer to the top of your Hit List. Something to the effect that people without a sense of humor should not read the article.

May 15, 2013 10:22 AM
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Scott

Matt, I think you have entirely too much fun writing these little tidbits. But thanks for manning up and doing it anyway.

May 15, 2013 10:02 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Ha! I'll try to make it more joyless. Tune in tomorrow morning to see how I did.

May 15, 2013 14:00 PM
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rsjanabasis

Tigers are 16-15 against teams not named Astros. Run differential is pretty mediocre, too.

Can we have a hit list composed solely of MLB matchups? :P

May 15, 2013 23:31 PM
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zimbalist

can you explain what the abbreviation headings on each column mean? AZ

May 16, 2013 07:15 AM
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zimbalist

never mind I see the answer is there when I move my cursor over it. thx

May 16, 2013 07:18 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Sure!

May 16, 2013 14:46 PM
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