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Prospectus Hit List for May 9



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 8 Hit List for May 10
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Will the Astros be no. 1 on our Hit List? Click to see!

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

19

12

20.6

22.2

21.5

.624

.642

79.1%

11.8%

90.9%

-2.2%

5.3%

Anibal Sanchez has a 1.97 ERA in 45 2/3 innings but is 3-3 because he lacks intestinal fortitude.
2

19

14

19.3

21.7

21.3

.540

.520

12.9%

12.1%

24.9%

-3.6%

7.7%

Remember when Reid Brignac came up with the Rays and he couldn't hit? Then he played for a while and couldn't hit? Now he's in Colorado and guess what? He can't hit!
3

21

13

20.7

21.4

20.5

.584

.603

75.6%

8.6%

84.2%

2.4%

7.1%

Lance Berkman is a career .296/.409/.543 hitter. But as a pinch hitter he owns a career slash line of .145/.284/.274, and that is not including yesterday's 0-1.
4

20

13

20.7

20.8

20.8

.570

.550

48.9%

22.5%

71.4%

3.4%

4.2%

Dan Uggla hit his sixth and seventh homers last night making it officially the sixth day this year the Braves are happy they have Dan Uggla.
5

21

13

19.7

19.9

19.6

.562

.581

33.3%

32.5%

65.9%

-4.4%

-7.3%

In a game where the Red Sox had 12 hits and scored eight runs, David Ortiz's 27 game hitting streak came to an end. Baseball.
6

19

16

19.8

19.8

19.1

.555

.535

44.7%

24.9%

69.5%

-4.0%

2.8%

Jay Bruce saw an early draft of today's Hit List in which I was preparing to call him Dan Uggla without the homers. So he homered in the ninth. Whatever it takes, I'm there.
7

17

14

18.2

19.2

18.5

.545

.565

12.7%

25.7%

38.5%

3.6%

12.7%

The Indians have formally requested to have Angel Hernandez umpire all their games, "until he stops screwing up the calls in our favor."
8

21

13

20.0

18.7

18.4

.522

.542

9.1%

20.3%

29.4%

3.6%

15.4%

Four wins in a row, two Boston losses, and again, the Orioles are in first place. No, no, step back through that looking glass, please, we're not done yet.
9

19

15

19.8

18.6

19.0

.544

.524

31.8%

22.7%

54.5%

4.4%

7.1%

That's two days in a row that Paul Goldschmidt has homered in the ninth inning. Can we please stop it now with all the Goldschmidt is un-clutch talk?
10

18

17

19.0

18.5

17.7

.515

.535

14.7%

17.0%

31.7%

-3.6%

-4.9%

How many homers do you have to hit down a run in the ninth inning to win? Answering that question with a question, who is the crew chief?
11

21

12

21.1

17.8

17.5

.549

.529

37.2%

25.3%

62.5%

3.9%

15.4%

The Cardinals 14 road wins are the most in baseball, proving yet again that Cardinals fans are the worst in baseball.
12

13

21

15.2

17.2

17.2

.472

.452

1.8%

3.9%

5.7%

-0.7%

-5.0%

Reliever James Russell managed to blow a save in the seventh inning of last night’s game. “Always been a guy who gets his work done ahead of schedule,” explained Russell.
13

20

14

17.3

17.0

17.1

.519

.499

32.6%

16.7%

49.3%

4.9%

1.6%

Hunter Pence swings like a soft pretzel made out of Lincoln logs.
14

15

18

16.9

16.4

17.3

.513

.533

9.2%

15.9%

25.1%

3.0%

-4.3%

After putting up OPS's in the 700s for the better part of the last decade, James Loney has a .958 OPS. The only thing stranger is that he didn't sign with the Yankees.
15

16

19

14.4

16.2

16.2

.462

.482

4.3%

4.2%

8.4%

1.6%

-0.3%

In 2007, Felix Hernandez averaged 98 mph on his fastball. Yesterday against Pittsburgh he averaged 91. At this rate by the time his contract expires in 2019 he'll be throwing 86 mph.
16

19

13

17.0

16.2

16.1

.548

.567

47.2%

24.8%

72.0%

2.5%

-4.6%

Vernon Wells needs to stop it. Seriously. We're all starting to get concerned.
17

18

15

16.6

15.9

16.3

.502

.482

13.5%

17.5%

30.9%

-1.7%

-1.8%

The Yankees are paying over half of A.J. Burnett's $16.5 million salary this season, so you'd think he'd call every once in a while or send a card, but nooooo.
18

18

15

15.3

15.5

15.8

.513

.493

39.5%

18.2%

57.7%

4.3%

8.1%

Bryce Harper has 10 homers and is slugging .652. Bryce Harper is 20-years-old.
19

17

13

16.6

15.5

15.9

.510

.530

6.3%

17.8%

24.1%

-3.4%

-2.1%

Bruce Chen: two innings, no runs (none earned), no hits, no walks, no strikeouts, and no home runs. Then he went back to the clubhouse where he did not have a sandwich and did not use the restroom.
20

15

17

14.7

15.3

15.8

.473

.454

2.9%

6.2%

9.1%

-2.3%

-9.4%

The Brewers have been caught stealing 12 times, the most in baseball, but they’ve also stolen 27 bases, the most in baseball. Because if you can’t win baseball games, you can at least run around a lot. Brewers baseball!
21

15

15

15.5

15.1

16.0

.458

.478

0.4%

1.4%

1.8%

0.0%

0.4%

The Twins used Ryan Doumit as their DH. So he went 4-for-5 with a home run.
22

13

20

12.3

14.8

15.0

.491

.471

19.4%

13.3%

32.6%

-4.5%

-28.1%

Brandon League has begun his three-year, $22.5 million contract with a 5.40 ERA and seven strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings. Sure, that's not very good, but imagine if he made $9 million a year!
23

16

18

15.2

14.6

15.1

.458

.438

3.3%

3.5%

6.9%

1.0%

3.0%

At what point do opposing managers get in trouble with the league for only bringing one or two regulars with them to Marlins games?
24

16

19

14.5

14.4

14.5

.458

.438

6.0%

7.0%

13.0%

-2.0%

-3.6%

I've figured out a way to differentiate between Phillies' pitchers Jonathan Papelbon and Jonathan Pettibone. Papelbon is paid a lot of money to never pitch and Pettibone is paid almost nothing to pitch all the time.
25

13

17

14.7

14.2

13.9

.478

.458

5.6%

6.3%

11.8%

-3.0%

-1.8%

The Mets have the fewest hits of any team in baseball. So, no, you weren't imagining it. They really never do get a hit.
26

11

22

13.0

13.9

13.8

.469

.489

5.5%

11.4%

16.9%

-2.9%

-14.9%

The Angels have now faced the Astros five times. They are 2-3 and have been out-scored by four runs.
27

14

18

14.5

13.7

13.8

.453

.473

1.5%

4.9%

6.4%

0.5%

-2.0%

In attempt to remedy Alex Rios' odd-year-bad, even-year-good performances, the White Sox implemented the Ancient Babylonian calendar around team offices. Happy Arah Simanu, everyone!
28

13

22

12.4

12.2

13.3

.437

.457

1.2%

3.5%

4.7%

-0.7%

-0.6%

Rickey Romero pitched one third of an inning last night. He was the starter.
29

10

25

11.6

10.8

10.9

.362

.344

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.2%

On Sunday the Marlins scored 14 runs. In the 27 innings since, they've scored one.
30

10

24

10.3

9.4

10.6

.342

.360

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Chris Carter has struck out 51 times in 131 plate appearances. That's a 270 strikeout pace.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
jrbdmb

Perhaps the Cardinals should take the Lance Berkman Challenge and play the rest of their "home" games at Wrigley. They'd then be on pace for a 107-55 record with their 129 remaining games away from Busch.

May 09, 2013 08:12 AM
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