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Prospectus Hit List for May 2



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 1 Hit List for May 3
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Red Sox at the top! Marlins at the bottom :(

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day 7-Day
1

10

17

10.8

11.5

11.6

.479

.499

12.8%

18.9%

31.8%

1.9%

-13.9%

How good is Mike Trout? Heís so good he makes people think a .270/.338/.478 slash line in a pitchers park sucks.
2

11

15

13.2

12.9

12.3

.483

.463

7.7%

6.0%

13.7%

1.5%

-10.4%

I donít know whatís weirder, that John Buck is batting cleanup for the Mets or that putting him there makes sense.
3

12

15

13.4

14.3

15.3

.522

.542

9.3%

20.0%

29.3%

-3.6%

-9.4%

James Loney is hitting .373/.432/.537. Let that wash over you. Now go take a shower.
4

10

18

9.7

8.6

9.5

.427

.446

1.1%

4.2%

5.3%

-2.2%

-8.1%

Mark Buehrle has given up seven homers in his last three starts. Itís almost as if heís hoping one of the balls will hit the scoreboard and knock the letters in his last name into a more comprehensible order.
5

15

14

17.0

16.8

15.5

.555

.535

46.2%

20.6%

66.8%

-1.0%

-6.2%

The Reds lead baseball in being hit by pitches, although thatís almost all on the back, arms, legs, back again, buttocks, elbow, shins, and foot of Shin-Soo Choo.
6

16

13

16.4

15.8

15.3

.529

.549

17.7%

19.0%

36.7%

-2.4%

-5.1%

Last night Josh Reddick walked three times. It was the first time in 324 career games heíd done so.
7

13

14

10.7

13.1

13.2

.515

.495

41.0%

19.7%

60.7%

-5.0%

-4.6%

Beware Dodgers fans, last night Nick Punto led off. That was the start of the downfall for Boston last season. Dark times, they could lie ahead. Josh Beckettís pitching wonít help avoid this.
8

15

13

15.4

14.7

15.4

.534

.514

23.5%

23.9%

47.4%

-3.7%

-4.4%

The Diamondbacks lead the National League in sacrifices. The FBI is investigating.
9

17

10

16.9

17.0

16.6

.568

.549

49.1%

18.1%

67.2%

-3.7%

-2.2%

If you took B.J. Uptonís OPS and added it to Dan Ugglaís OPS you wouldnít get Justin Uptonís OPS.
10

17

10

16.8

17.2

16.4

.587

.606

65.5%

11.5%

77.1%

-4.3%

-1.5%

Ian Kinsler has 11 extra base hits, 10 walks and nine strikeouts.
11

8

20

8.7

7.6

7.9

.357

.339

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.2%

-0.3%

I just got a call from Jeffrey Loria demanding you read this comment first.
12

11

15

11.4

11.2

11.1

.452

.472

3.4%

5.0%

8.4%

2.1%

-0.3%

MLB.com summed up last nightís game by saying, ďWhite Sox buy homers during May Day Sale.Ē Can I do better than that? Maybe. Will I? Absolutely not.
13

12

12

11.7

11.6

12.0

.446

.466

0.4%

1.1%

1.4%

0.5%

-0.2%

Itís May 1st, do you know where your Minnesota Twins arenít? Last place! (Donít hold your breath)
14

8

20

9.6

9.0

10.0

.356

.375

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Last night the Astros used pitchers named Clemens, Wright, and Bedard. Thatís Paul, not Roger, and Wesley, not Adam Wain, and, well, actually it was Erik Bedard.
15

12

16

10.9

11.1

11.3

.452

.433

9.1%

7.5%

16.6%

-3.5%

0.5%

In 95 plate appearances Michael Young has grit doubles, hustle triples, and determination homers. If you want to learn what that means, buy the Rosetta Stoneís new Baseball-to-English language learning software.
16

16

12

14.8

14.7

14.9

.530

.510

27.5%

20.2%

47.7%

4.2%

0.9%

The Giants have the oldest lineup in baseball history if you mistake the plate appearances column for the age column.
17

16

12

16.1

15.3

15.4

.512

.532

2.9%

11.1%

14.0%

-2.7%

1.4%

With three strikeouts and one walk in four plate appearances, Chris Davis is doing his part to lower the number of true outcomes to a more manageable number.
18

15

11

15.4

17.0

16.6

.594

.613

74.9%

10.7%

85.6%

-4.4%

1.5%

Miguel Cabrera tis no man, tis a remorseless hitting machine.
19

10

17

10.7

10.2

11.1

.431

.412

1.4%

2.5%

3.9%

-0.3%

1.7%

Some announcers love to cite how a team did with runners in scoring position. But because San Diego only ever got a runner into scoring position twice, their poor, poor announcers had to discuss something more meaningful. Like socks.
20

16

11

16.4

13.1

13.0

.524

.504

26.1%

21.0%

47.1%

2.7%

2.6%

Who is Matt Carpenter and who told him middle infielders from the 13th round are allowed to have .820 OPSs?
21

17

11

16.9

18.4

17.9

.534

.514

6.6%

10.6%

17.2%

3.1%

3.9%

While a poll of many ancient historical figures gives the Rockies an 80 percent chance to make the postseason, the same poll indicated that 86 percent of the ancient historical figures were deceased at the time of answering the question.
22

13

17

11.8

14.1

14.4

.463

.483

4.0%

4.8%

8.8%

1.9%

4.0%

Seattle has won four of five. Donít look now, but here come the Mariners! No, seriously, here comes their bus! Get out of the way!
23

14

12

13.3

13.4

13.5

.496

.476

7.8%

10.7%

18.6%

-2.1%

4.2%

In this day of enlightened medical knowledge, I say John Axford should be tested for a serious allergy to saves. Also, his manager could have a phobia of looking up pitching statistics on people named Axford.
24

14

14

12.0

12.1

12.1

.493

.473

34.0%

15.6%

49.6%

3.5%

4.2%

Bryce Harper hurt his shoulder, which only matters if you care about the future of the Nationals franchise or indeed baseball itself. But if not, carry on with those Froot Loops, buddy.
25

11

16

11.8

13.5

13.4

.472

.452

4.2%

6.5%

10.7%

2.6%

4.6%

The Cubs are 11th in team ERA, something that has apparently prompted the city of Chicago to throw a parade which is a really sad state ofÖ wait, what? May Day? Oh. Never mind.
26

12

13

14.2

15.1

14.6

.529

.549

11.3%

14.5%

25.7%

3.1%

5.5%

Brett Myers has struck out 12 batters and given up 10 homers. They donít normally do K/HR ratios and Brett Myers is happy about that.
27

16

12

14.2

13.5

13.8

.504

.484

15.7%

17.0%

32.7%

1.9%

5.6%

The Pirates are your major-league leaders in saves and holds and wins. Oh, no wait. Scratch that last one.
28

15

10

14.1

12.4

12.8

.509

.529

10.1%

16.1%

26.2%

3.1%

6.5%

Nobody homers like the Royals, or maybe better phrased, nobody on the Royals likes to homer.
29

17

10

14.7

14.1

13.8

.558

.577

47.9%

28.7%

76.6%

1.1%

8.6%

The Yankees were outscored by the Astros in their three-game series, 17-13.
30

19

8

18.3

18.6

18.4

.607

.626

38.8%

34.4%

73.2%

6.0%

11.1%

If you add David Ortizís slash line (.487/.512/.897) to Mike Carpís (.480/.519/1.080) you break baseball.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
DetroitDale

Ok there's some sort of error that caused the full Texas joke to get cut off. It should read

"Ian Kinsler has 11 extra base hits, 10 walks, 9 strikeouts... and a partridge in a pear tree"

May 02, 2013 13:48 PM
up_image

+3

down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Kory

Good one! I'm running my jokes by you (at 1am) from now on. What's your phone number?

May 02, 2013 14:32 PM
up_image

+1

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