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Prospectus Hit List for May 1



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 30 Hit List for May 2
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Within: good stuff, all the way around.

RkTmWLW1W2W3 HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

15

10

15.3

16.9

16.5

.604

.623

81.4%

8.3%

89.7%

1.3%

7.6%

Justin Verlander yet again leads the league in tightness of pants per nine innings.
2

18

8

16.9

17.1

17.0

.595

.614

34.3%

32.9%

67.3%

-3.8%

7.8%

Sorry to hear David Ortiz and his wife are divorcing, but thanks to his .500 batting average, he keeps half of it and still has respectable numbers.
3

17

9

16.6

16.7

15.8

.593

.612

69.1%

12.3%

81.4%

3.6%

7.7%

The first home run Yu Darvish allowed this season was to Dewayne Wise.
4

17

9

16.6

16.6

16.2

.575

.556

55.6%

15.5%

71.1%

4.8%

-1.0%

Tim Hudson's third career home run puts him in a several-person-way tie on the career list, joining Chris Getz.
5

15

13

16.7

16.5

15.2

.560

.540

46.4%

21.7%

68.1%

-5.4%

-2.8%

Zack Cozart is passing his audition to be the 8-hitter with flying colors, but there are better times and places for that than batting second.
6

16

10

14.1

13.2

13.1

.554

.573

49.1%

26.4%

75.5%

1.7%

3.9%

I'm picturing who the first baseman the Yankees would be using if Lyle Overbay didn't exist, and he too is hitting around .250 with four home runs.
7

15

12

15.3

14.4

15.0

.540

.520

24.8%

26.4%

51.2%

-4.3%

2.1%

You legitimately float the idea of making Heath Bell the closer. The rest of the group leans in. They remind you, yet again, that this is a book club.
8

16

12

15.9

15.3

14.8

.532

.552

17.8%

21.2%

39.1%

2.2%

-5.4%

My new working theory is that Yoenis Cespedes is Sonic the Hedgehog.
9

16

11

16.0

17.4

16.9

.527

.507

5.2%

8.9%

14.2%

-2.3%

2.8%

Walt Weiss deserves some Manager of the Year consideration, assuming he's the one who personally nursed Troy Tulowitzki back to health.
10

13

13

10.6

13.3

13.3

.526

.506

45.7%

20.1%

65.8%

5.2%

-2.5%

Psy attended yesterday's game, meaning between him and Vin Scully, Dodger Stadium boasted the entire gamut of staying power.
11

12

14

13.0

13.8

14.8

.525

.545

10.9%

22.0%

32.8%

-4.9%

0.1%

Three words, Rays: bobblehead catwalk giveaway.
12

15

12

13.9

14.0

14.2

.525

.505

22.5%

21.0%

43.5%

3.5%

-5.4%

Pablo Sandoval made Arizona fans sadder than the time the windshield cover factory caught fire.
13

16

11

16.1

15.4

15.7

.524

.544

3.9%

12.8%

16.7%

2.0%

2.0%

Nate McLouth can't possibly keep up these good numbers forever; but then again, in the strictest sense nobody does.
14

15

11

15.7

12.4

12.4

.520

.500

25.4%

18.7%

44.1%

5.5%

1.8%

It doesn't seem fair that the Cardinals have a secret underground lab where they genetically clone reliable bullpen arms from, let's say, Dave Veres.
15

11

13

13.1

14.0

13.5

.518

.538

8.5%

14.5%

22.9%

2.1%

0.4%

Their offense made Roy Halladay look like a Royals pitcher, and I'm not entirely sure who this insults more.
16

14

10

13.6

12.0

12.3

.507

.527

7.6%

15.5%

23.0%

2.8%

1.3%

Every position player had a base hit for the Royals last night. Even Jeff Francoeur. Especially Jeff Francoeur.
17

15

12

13.5

12.9

13.4

.500

.480

15.6%

15.1%

30.6%

-2.5%

5.3%

It takes talent to hit four home runs and lose a game, specifically pitching talent, and the absence of it.
18

14

11

13.0

12.9

13.0

.500

.480

9.9%

10.8%

20.7%

3.5%

3.7%

Bernie Brewer going down the slide every time they homer is an eerily similar tale to that of Sisyphus.
19

13

14

11.3

11.4

11.4

.488

.468

28.3%

17.5%

45.8%

-5.1%

-3.1%

This is one of the worst stretches of baseball the Nationals/Expos franchise has ever played for as long as anyone with a Bryce Harper shirtsey can probably remember.
20

10

15

12.6

12.1

11.7

.479

.459

6.0%

6.1%

12.1%

-1.0%

-7.7%

If this losing streak gets any worse, Mets fans may start to become cynical and filled with despair.
21

9

17

10.2

11.0

11.1

.475

.495

10.7%

19.3%

29.9%

-4.1%

-19.3%

Perhaps the best way to utilize their bullpen is to put Mark Trumbo on the mound and have him hit homers. It may not be legal but it'll keep the opposition on their toes.
22

12

15

11.1

11.3

11.5

.462

.442

10.0%

10.2%

20.2%

-1.2%

3.0%

Has anyone else noticed Delmon Young's ridiculously high slugging percentage? He should be an All-Star for sure.
23

10

16

10.8

12.5

12.5

.462

.442

2.7%

5.4%

8.1%

-1.9%

1.1%

Anthony Rizzo had three doubles, joining Aramis Ramirez and Ryan Theriot as the only Cubs to do that in a game since 2009. And all of those games were losses.
24

12

17

10.7

12.9

13.2

.452

.472

2.4%

4.5%

6.9%

-1.6%

0.6%

With the signing of Corey Patterson, it's very likely the Mariners made the splashiest free agent signing of April 30.
25

10

15

10.5

10.6

10.4

.445

.465

2.3%

4.0%

6.4%

-1.6%

-1.9%

Casper Wells made his first appearance with the White Sox yesterday, making him ready for the waiver wire again.
26

10

17

10.1

9.1

9.7

.438

.457

1.7%

5.7%

7.5%

0.7%

-4.1%

Looking at the estimated distance of Edwin Encarnacion's two homers yesterday, I have to believe they went farther than that! Oh, never mind, these are in meters.
27

10

16

10.6

10.2

11.0

.438

.418

1.7%

2.5%

4.2%

1.1%

2.5%

Argue correlation vs. causation all you want, but Carlos Quentin hasn't been hit by a pitch since he broke Zack Greinke.
28

11

12

10.7

10.6

11.0

.435

.455

0.3%

0.6%

0.9%

-0.5%

-0.5%

Simply based on his pitching line, you can tell which days Vance Worley sneaks out there with Google Glass.
29

8

19

9.2

8.8

9.7

.358

.377

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Even if they don't win this series in Yankee Stadium, they finally can finally measure the distance to the right field porch in Altuves.
30

8

19

8.2

7.3

7.5

.357

.339

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

0.1%

0.2%

They've won back to back games on the final plate appearance, neither by virtue of a hit.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
R.A.Wagman

Love the Athletics' comment. I think I would buy that.

May 01, 2013 07:17 AM
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+1

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CrashJones

Funny. I was wondering what they have in common... besides being cool obviously.

May 01, 2013 08:04 AM
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0

down_image
 
darthack2661

I wonder what my daily commute would be in Altuves?

May 01, 2013 16:01 PM
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0

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