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Prospectus Hit List for April 29



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 26 Hit List for April 30
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Just another manic Hit List.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day 7-Day
1

13

12

12.6

12.8

12.9

.517

.497

17.3%

18.4%

35.8%

-3.8%

-14.4%

During their five-game losing streak they have been outscored by a combined seven runs, but they gave up six runs to San Diego in one inning.
2

9

15

9.7

9.9

9.9

.477

.497

15.9%

21.1%

37.0%

-3.3%

-12.4%

One year ago yesterday, Mike Trout was called up to the major leagues. But you're right, the season's probably over for them.
3

14

12

14.4

14.4

13.8

.527

.547

16.5%

15.8%

32.3%

1.9%

-11.8%

The postgame pie in the face is EXACTLY why Eric Sogard wears glasses.
4

9

17

9.3

8.7

9.2

.432

.451

1.3%

5.3%

6.6%

-1.8%

-8.5%

A 1-5 road trip to the United States is one reason to never go back to the United States. Another valid reason: you call this gravy?!
5

10

13

11.8

11.4

11.5

.490

.470

8.3%

7.8%

16.0%

-1.2%

-7.1%

With eight home runs in his first month, John Buck has the most dingers by a Mets catcher in one season since 2010.
6

15

9

14.7

14.4

14.2

.560

.540

44.3%

18.1%

62.4%

-1.8%

-4.5%

Four straight losses and they still have the best National League record. Still, they could use another one of them fancy 12-1 streaks.
7

9

13

10.0

10.7

10.4

.478

.498

8.4%

9.4%

17.8%

-0.6%

-4.1%

Days when Mike Aviles drives in five runs are days invented by one of the various trickster gods.
8

13

12

11.2

11.7

11.4

.507

.487

36.6%

16.1%

52.7%

-4.3%

-4.0%

Adam LaRoche is clavicle-deep in an 0-for-25 stretch with no walks or hit by pitches, although that last part is ostensibly a good thing.
9

15

10

14.4

15.8

15.0

.521

.501

4.3%

7.5%

11.9%

-1.0%

-3.5%

A million monkeys with a million typewriters couldn't type a narrative where Jon Garland was in a first-place team's rotation. But one of them did stumble upon "Yorvit Torrealba."
10

14

12

15.6

15.7

14.7

.566

.546

46.3%

22.4%

68.7%

2.7%

-3.2%

No truth to the rumor they are changing the name of the city to Cincinngrani. Just think of all the maps that would require changing.
11

10

14

10.5

10.3

9.9

.449

.469

3.3%

5.1%

8.3%

-1.3%

-0.6%

Just checking in to see if Jeff Keppinger has walked yet. He has not, and his average (.202) is still higher than his on-base (.198).
12

7

18

7.8

7.2

8.0

.343

.361

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.1%

Strikeouts are the new black.
13

6

19

7.1

6.1

6.5

.342

.324

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.1%

Giancarlo Stanton watches his home run fly over the scoreboard. "You're free now, baseball," he says, shedding a single tear.
14

11

10

10.4

10.7

10.9

.455

.475

0.4%

1.2%

1.6%

0.4%

-0.0%

Kevin Correia is eating several innings in Target Field, several of which are deep fried and on a stick, which can't be good for his health.
15

13

9

12.9

11.5

11.8

.517

.537

9.8%

13.8%

23.6%

-0.9%

0.9%

Yesterday night was their first Sunday loss this year which includes two doubleheaders.
16

9

15

10.2

11.7

11.6

.462

.443

2.9%

4.8%

7.8%

-2.4%

1.2%

Carlos Villanueva's mustache deserves its own set of separate baseball statistics.
17

11

16

9.8

11.7

11.7

.446

.465

2.8%

4.4%

7.1%

1.8%

1.4%

If he keeps pitching this well, fans will start referring to him by his actual name, Hisashi Iwakuma, and not "Pitchiro Suzuki."
18

12

11

11.0

10.3

10.5

.473

.453

7.1%

7.7%

14.8%

-1.2%

1.6%

Yes, that was Yuniesky Betancourt batting cleanup for them. And why wouldn't he?
19

9

15

9.1

8.9

9.8

.428

.409

1.3%

3.0%

4.3%

0.6%

1.7%

They may have swept the Giants, but the Padres won the first two games and the finale was won by a mysterious set of trees.
20

12

14

11.9

12.1

12.4

.483

.463

10.8%

9.5%

20.3%

2.9%

2.3%

You just know somewhere someone is arguing for Ryan Howard to be a full-time pinch hitter based on his career .421/.476/1.026 line. It might be me.
21

12

12

10.3

13.1

13.1

.536

.516

47.5%

20.3%

67.8%

4.8%

3.3%

Three of the four team shutouts were Clayton Kershaw starts. This is just me noticing patterns all over the place.
22

16

9

15.8

16.1

15.2

.590

.609

64.8%

13.2%

78.0%

-3.3%

3.9%

Six runs in a series in Target Field is one way, albeit an inadvisable one, of making Joe Nathan feel at home.
23

12

13

13.2

14.0

14.8

.538

.558

11.2%

25.2%

36.3%

3.6%

5.2%

Jeremy Hellickson's ejection gave me an idea: rather than lose your manager, why not have your four other starting pitchers argue calls for you?
24

15

10

15.0

14.6

15.3

.531

.551

3.6%

12.8%

16.4%

-2.6%

5.4%

It would level the playing field a little bit of Chris Davis had to hit the rest of his home runs one-handed.
25

15

9

13.6

12.9

12.9

.566

.585

48.6%

29.3%

77.9%

2.5%

5.6%

Could their disabled list beat the Marlins? I mean today even injured.
26

13

10

13.7

14.9

14.6

.591

.610

78.1%

7.9%

86.0%

0.9%

6.1%

I like to imagine every Tigers starter gets a free pizza from Mike Ilitch for every strikeout, which means Anibal Sanchez will soon have a weight problem.
27

14

10

14.6

11.1

11.3

.519

.499

23.5%

19.0%

42.5%

-3.6%

6.9%

Jake Westbrook is your unlikely ERA leader, because velocity is not factored into ERA. Yet.
28

15

10

14.6

13.6

14.0

.549

.530

29.5%

27.3%

56.8%

1.8%

8.6%

Paul Goldschmidt has a terrible curse where everything he touches turns to goldschmidt.
29

18

7

16.7

16.5

16.4

.601

.620

35.3%

35.7%

71.0%

2.7%

9.0%

John Lackey won his first game since August 23, 2011, which put them up 8 games of Tampa Bay practically an insurmountable lead!
30

15

10

13.7

13.7

13.9

.528

.508

20.3%

17.9%

38.1%

6.4%

11.2%

We're going to have Russell Martin lead the team in home runs and see if anyone notices.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
Sharky

Laughed out loud several times reading this, Matt. Nice manic Monday work.

Apr 29, 2013 09:30 AM
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jedjethro

As a rehabilitating Astros semi-fan, it's disappointing to see this epic collection of low-cost suck at the MLB level might not be rewarded with the first overall pick next season.

And while Correa and Appel/Gray/Frazier/etc. might provide them with excellent results down the road, I guess it's just more Houston sports karma that back-to-back first overall picks got the Nationals Strasburg and Harper a few years ago.

I hope Luhnow is the genius everybody says he is.

Apr 29, 2013 09:38 AM
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DetroitDale

Three of those four braves losses took place in comerica park. I hope the pre-series hype about this being a possible world series matchup rings true.

Apr 29, 2013 19:37 PM
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