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Prospectus Hit List for April 26



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 25 Hit List for April 29
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Half of all the baseball teams that played yesterday lost.

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

5

17

5.8

4.8

5.3

.331

.314

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

-0.2%

-0.2%

If the Marlins play the Cubs in early April after a fire sale, is anyone there to see it? According to the club, 15,394, though that's probably including the players.
2

6

15

7.2

6.8

7.7

.399

.380

0.7%

1.4%

2.1%

-0.1%

-2.1%

The fences are in and the team is still in last place. The moral, as always, is the way to win is to field a good team.
3

7

15

7.5

7.1

7.6

.358

.377

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.1%

Phil Humber threw a perfect game!!! Oh, no, not yesterday. Like three years ago. But still, can you believe that?!
4

9

14

8.3

7.4

7.8

.436

.455

3.7%

7.7%

11.4%

-2.0%

-7.0%

Many fans feared Mark Buerhle in the AL East would be B-movie-horror-movie brutal. So far, however, they've been wrong. It's only been regular-horror-movie brutal. In your face, people who were wrong!
5

11

9

9.7

8.9

9.0

.477

.457

6.8%

8.0%

14.9%

0.5%

2.2%

The Brewers are 18th in ERA, 18th in batting average, and 19th in not being 18th in everything. So close!
6

8

11

8.8

9.0

8.7

.477

.497

10.9%

9.7%

20.6%

0.3%

2.3%

Last place in the AL Central is like being last in line to travel to Mars. You might get there eventually, but when you do, you'll realize it's not that great anyway.
7

9

14

8.9

9.1

9.6

.449

.429

5.6%

7.3%

12.9%

-3.2%

-4.0%

Ryan Howard update: The first baseman is hitting .284/.302/.432 and is owed less than $100 million! Let's all have a (cheap) parade!
8

9

9

7.9

9.1

9.2

.444

.464

0.6%

0.7%

1.2%

-0.4%

0.4%

Twins hitters struck out once all game while Twins pitchers struck out two opponents. There's some sort of pattern here, but I'm struggling to find it!
9

8

13

8.2

9.2

9.5

.484

.504

15.5%

25.8%

41.2%

-4.4%

0.3%

Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, and Josh Hamilton: 3-for-12 with three singles. And in completely unrelated news, the Angels lost.
10

9

15

8.5

9.3

9.4

.430

.449

1.7%

3.9%

5.6%

0.7%

-4.5%

Carlos Peguero hit one that went off the center-field batters eye. It was estimated to travel 440 feet, making it the second-longest homer hit this season.
11

11

11

9.7

10.0

9.9

.500

.480

31.1%

17.8%

48.8%

3.4%

-10.5%

The Nationals are back at .500! You may now go back to destroying this country, Nation's Capital.
12

7

14

8.6

10.1

10.6

.457

.437

2.6%

4.1%

6.7%

0.6%

-2.6%

Anthony RIzzo is on pace to hit 46 homers and 108 total hits, which would be the all-time best-worst season in baseball history.
13

13

8

13.4

10.2

10.2

.532

.512

25.5%

18.9%

44.4%

-0.1%

7.6%

The Cardinals are 0-2 in extra-inning games and 2-3 in one-run games. Close the clutch casket and bury them now.
14

11

8

11.1

10.3

10.4

.519

.539

11.9%

12.3%

24.2%

4.6%

5.8%

Has anyone been both a high-profile bust and a low-profile star like Alex Gordon?
15

9

12

10.1

10.4

9.7

.470

.490

5.2%

6.3%

11.5%

2.8%

-1.4%

The White Sox are behind Minnesota and Kansas City, which is like waking up to find out both of your younger brothers are now older than you.
16

10

12

10.5

10.9

12.0

.514

.534

12.6%

20.0%

32.6%

-6.1%

8.3%

Jeremy Hellickson is continuing to show that you can pitch pretty well for most of your start, but a few lapses or missed executions can be the difference between success and failure. [poop joke!]
17

12

9

11.7

11.2

11.1

.556

.575

44.3%

27.2%

71.5%

3.5%

1.8%

After the Yankees acquired Vernon Wells, it seemed like everyone said Wells is going to hit 50 homers. Well, he's not going to hit 50 homers. That's silly. Instead, he's on pace for 51.
18

10

10

11.5

11.2

11.2

.520

.500

9.4%

10.2%

19.5%

-4.5%

-1.2%

Pitcher Jeremy Hefner fittingly attended Oral Roberts University, because both of those aren't real, they're euphemisms.
19

10

10

10.3

11.3

11.0

.552

.571

71.4%

8.7%

80.1%

-4.0%

-8.2%

The four-year waiting period should be dropped so that intentionally walking Jeff Francoeur in the 10th inning of a tie ballgame can go into the Hall of What The...? Immediately.
20

10

11

8.5

11.5

11.6

.535

.515

44.9%

22.5%

67.5%

2.1%

-3.8%

If any of you out there are worried about your favorite team's performance to date, take heart, Nick Punto is hitting .360. It's still early.
21

13

9

11.9

11.6

12.0

.522

.502

16.2%

16.3%

32.6%

5.5%

15.3%

The Pirates dropped 14 hits on the Phillies, begging the question, which Pennsylvania team would you rather be over the next five seasons? (Neither is not an acceptable answer.)
22

13

9

11.5

12.1

12.3

.539

.519

22.4%

21.2%

43.6%

-3.2%

4.1%

Rivalry Update: The Giants have outscored the Dodgers by 28 runs (a lot for 22 games), are still the defending champions, Vin Scully is considering jumping ship, and brown brings out the color in your eyes better than blue.
23

13

9

13.1

12.3

12.7

.554

.534

27.3%

27.4%

54.7%

2.9%

3.8%

I guess you could be upset by the uniforms that say "D-backs" on them, but at least the road ones don't say "'zona!"
24

13

9

12.9

12.8

13.2

.527

.547

4.2%

10.5%

14.8%

2.2%

5.9%

Here in April the Orioles are leading the Wild Card race—what in the ever-loving heck am I talking about???
25

13

10

13.5

13.1

12.3

.538

.557

16.3%

22.1%

38.3%

-3.5%

-16.6%

When you see "Chavez" pitched the ninth for Oakland, you automatically think blowout, but then you remember that Eric Chavez doesn't play for the A's anymore.
26

15

7

13.9

13.4

13.6

.582

.601

35.1%

30.7%

65.8%

3.7%

0.5%

If you believe in pitcher wins, Clay Buchholz is 5-0. If you don't believe in pitcher wins, Clay Buchholz is still 5-0.
27

14

8

12.9

14.0

13.4

.528

.508

4.7%

7.2%

11.9%

-1.4%

-1.0%

Jorge De La Rosa pitched six innings, walking three and striking out one. You might call it the typical 2013 Rockies start, except Colorado lost.
28

13

10

14.1

14.4

13.3

.575

.555

48.9%

20.0%

68.9%

-4.1%

-4.6%

Joey Votto homered! Meaning he didn't walk! (In that at-bat anyway.)
29

15

7

15.2

14.6

13.7

.607

.626

66.6%

14.6%

81.1%

2.5%

12.6%

Nick Tepesch threw 6 1/3 innings, walking none and striking out just one. It was the first batter of the game, it was on a full-count called strike, and it was outside.
30

15

6

15.3

15.1

14.5

.613

.593

53.8%

17.4%

71.2%

1.8%

-3.2%

The Braves lead baseball in ERA which, of course, means Justin Upton has been pitching when we weren't paying attention.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
kmbart

The problem with the "D-backs" jerseys is that it has that on "D-front".

Apr 26, 2013 05:26 AM
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Llarry

That's ok, our mascot (other than Racin' Gracie) is "D-Baxter, the BOBcat", which made a lot more sense before the park got renamed (or more specifically, the bank got bought...). Still, beats having someone try to dress up in a snake costume...

Apr 26, 2013 14:07 PM
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