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Prospectus Hit List for April 25



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 24 Hit List for April 26
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Justin Upton continues to have himself a season.

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

15

6

15.3

15.1

14.4

.612

.593

50.0%

18.9%

68.8%

-3.3%

-1.6%

Justin Upton is burning through the competition like Sherman through Georgia. [crickets] Too soon?
2

13

9

14.3

14.7

13.7

.594

.575

55.0%

18.0%

73.1%

2.2%

0.3%

Joey Votto has walked a major-league-leading 26 times this season, and that isn't including the times he's been from the fridge to the couch, taken the dog around the corner, or prank called ex-Pirate pitcher Bob Walk. Joey Votto is nothing if not thorough.
3

14

7

14.5

13.8

12.9

.604

.623

60.5%

18.0%

78.5%

4.9%

7.0%

In this episode, Yu Darvish figures out how to cure incurable diseases and strikes out every doctor in the hospital to boot.
4

14

7

12.4

13.4

12.8

.534

.514

4.1%

9.3%

13.4%

2.0%

2.0%

The Rockies lead the league in the new pitching stat, NOPE. It stands for, 'Nope. [shakes head] [pause] Nope.'
5

13

9

13.8

13.3

12.6

.555

.574

18.5%

23.3%

41.8%

-2.7%

-11.3%

The A's are the highest-scoring team in baseball, which means the drugs you are currently on are too strong. Put them down, your family loves you.
6

14

7

12.9

12.3

12.5

.572

.592

32.2%

29.8%

62.1%

2.6%

1.9%

The Red Sox are 9-0 with a combined 1.61 ERA in games started by either Clay Buchholz or Jon Lester. Last season, Boston was 28-34 when they started. (Their almost-5.00 combined ERA didn't help.)
7

13

9

11.5

12.1

12.3

.539

.519

26.2%

20.5%

46.7%

-2.2%

2.9%

The Giants have the third-worst starter ERA in the National League on Thursdays. So that's something they should probably look into fixing.
8

12

9

12.5

11.8

12.1

.551

.531

26.0%

25.8%

51.7%

2.7%

3.3%

'No, no, it's cool. We're glad you're doing so well. Oh, us? No, we're doing fine. Yeah, totally. Okay, keep in touch, Justin.'
9

10

9

10.4

11.7

11.4

.570

.590

76.7%

7.5%

84.2%

2.1%

-3.9%

For a city increasingly composed of them, there is some irony in the fact that the Tigers can't field.
10

12

9

11.6

11.6

11.9

.512

.532

3.5%

9.0%

12.5%

-2.2%

5.1%

Meteors landing in Russia, earthquakes on the east coast, and now the Orioles lost in extra innings. It's a new world, people. Might I suggest a helmet.
11

9

11

7.9

11.2

11.1

.533

.513

43.0%

22.4%

65.4%

-2.9%

-6.3%

Why aren't the Dodgers winning? Carl Crawford's attitude! Wait, what? His attitude is good? Well, insult him! Do I have to think of everything?
12

10

11

10.4

10.7

11.7

.522

.542

16.1%

22.6%

38.7%

5.9%

13.2%

Beating the Yankees is always fun, but beating them with cyborg Andy Pettitte on the mound means the Rays have officially entered some sort of alternate sci-fi universe where their new stadium will be built on the third moon. You can't contain finances like that.
13

10

9

11.1

10.5

10.5

.522

.502

12.9%

11.2%

24.1%

4.3%

0.7%

Your National League RBI leader is John Buck with 22. I'll give you half a guess as to which team he plays for'nope, thanks for playing.
14

12

9

11.1

10.4

11.0

.511

.491

12.0%

15.0%

27.0%

1.7%

7.0%

The Pirates have hit the most batters in baseball (13) but have the most holds in the National League (17). Talk about a regression candidate! They're almost running for regression town council!
15

11

9

10.9

10.4

10.4

.549

.569

43.8%

24.2%

68.0%

-3.6%

-5.5%

The number-four, -five, and -six hitters in the New York Yankees' batting order yesterday were Travis Hafner, Francisco Cervelli, and Lyle Overbay. The moral of this story is, as always, don't do drugs.
16

13

8

13.4

10.2

10.2

.532

.512

25.0%

19.5%

44.6%

2.3%

10.0%

Cardinals relievers have walked the fewest batters in baseball but have the highest ERA. Still, though, scoreboard.
17

8

12

9.2

9.5

8.7

.458

.478

4.2%

4.5%

8.7%

0.4%

-5.8%

Adam Dunn walked three times. They were his fourth, fifth, and sixth walks in 76 plate appearances. If you were holding Adam Dunn hostage, thank you for returning him.
18

6

14

8.0

9.5

10.2

.452

.432

2.4%

3.6%

6.1%

-1.0%

-2.3%

Three weeks into the season, and the Cubs just gave manager Dale Sveum a vote of confidence. So that worked out well.
19

9

13

8.6

9.3

9.7

.458

.438

8.5%

7.8%

16.3%

-0.9%

-2.1%

You know who leads the Phillies in walks? Michael Young. I was going to try to make you guess but it would have taken all day.
20

8

12

8.3

9.1

9.7

.496

.516

19.2%

26.5%

45.7%

-3.6%

6.3%

The only thing more passť than making fun of the Angels' full name is the Angels' full name.
21

8

11

8.8

9.0

8.7

.477

.497

10.1%

10.2%

20.3%

-2.3%

0.1%

After the 3-2 loss to the White Sox, reliever Rich Hill said, "Sure, I'll take some of the blame as long as everyone knows I struck out both guys I faced so this isn't my fault. Cool? Okay, yeah, team game.'
22

11

9

9.7

8.9

9.0

.477

.457

5.5%

8.9%

14.4%

-2.5%

3.2%

Admit it, you didn't know the Brewers had won nine games in a row.
23

9

8

7.6

8.9

8.8

.451

.471

0.7%

0.9%

1.6%

0.2%

0.8%

The Twins are 5-0 in one-run games. At least now we know the Orioles mojo isn't lost, it was stolen.
24

10

8

10.1

8.8

9.1

.501

.521

8.3%

11.4%

19.7%

-2.0%

1.3%

Today on Royals Theater, we present two completely unassociated pieces of information. The Royals are 1-3 in games started by James Shields, and Rays prospect Wil Myers is hitting .317/.419/.450 in Triple-A. Enjoy your day!
25

10

11

8.4

8.4

8.4

.480

.460

28.3%

17.4%

45.7%

-3.1%

-14.4%

The Nationals are below .500! Ready the lifeboats!
26

8

15

7.4

8.4

8.5

.417

.436

1.7%

3.1%

4.8%

-1.5%

-3.6%

What does it say about you when you give up 10 runs to the Astros? This is not a joke. I'm legitimately asking.
27

9

13

8.0

7.2

7.5

.439

.459

4.4%

9.0%

13.4%

1.8%

-5.4%

J.P. Aerencibia is second in baseball in homers (eight) and strikeouts (23). You may now drink his slash line: .268/.286/.634
28

7

14

7.4

7.1

7.5

.366

.385

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.1%

The Astros are on pace to give up 925 runs. I mean, I guess that's a lot, but I feel kinda gypped. But I guess that's emblematic of our modern society. Even the things that suck suck at sucking. It sucks.
29

6

15

7.2

6.8

7.7

.400

.380

0.7%

1.4%

2.2%

0.4%

-2.6%

If you don't count Houston, the Padres' 5.48 starter ERA is the worst in the National League. If you do count Houston, the Padres are still really bad and someone should remind you Houston switched leagues because you forgot.
30

5

16

5.4

4.5

4.8

.330

.313

0.3%

0.2%

0.6%

0.3%

-0.0%

The Marlins are on pace to score 417 runs. Actually, 416.57, but I rounded up because the Marlins need all the help they can get.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
Deadheadbrewer

Wonderful, as always!

Apr 25, 2013 07:55 AM
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RyanHelgeson

Always entertained by your comments. I respectfully request ask that you refrain from use of the word "gypped." Some of us are part Gypsy and dislike the connotation. Thanks.

Apr 25, 2013 08:17 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

My apologies. I wasn't aware the etymology of that word was offensive. I will absolutely refrain from using it in the future.

Apr 25, 2013 08:38 AM
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+4

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BP staff member Matt Sussman

tip: use "bamboozled", always

Apr 25, 2013 09:47 AM
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0

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