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Prospectus Hit List for April 24



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 23 Hit List for April 25
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Skip to the Rockies joke!

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

15

5

14.9

15.1

14.3

.627

.608

54.7%

17.5%

72.2%

5.8%

0.7%

I'm sure Justin Upton's hot hitting helped raise the temperature in Denver! Just kidding, weather systems do not work that way.
2

12

9

13.6

13.9

12.9

.589

.570

51.6%

19.2%

70.8%

-4.5%

8.3%

After a home win, it should be customary for the Great American Ballpark to celebrate by firing copious amounts of chili into the stands.
3

13

8

13.4

12.9

12.0

.560

.580

21.4%

23.1%

44.4%

3.7%

-8.5%

Jed Lowrie, Coco Crisp, Josh Reddick, Bartolo Colon. It must've been nice for those former Red Sox to beat their ex-team 13-0, even if some Sox fans thought Colon was Mo Vaughn.
4

13

7

13.2

12.8

11.9

.593

.612

55.5%

18.2%

73.7%

-3.5%

2.3%

Jeff Baker learned the hard way that only Mega Man can slide into walls without feeling pain.
5

13

7

11.8

12.5

11.8

.527

.507

3.9%

7.5%

11.4%

-4.4%

0.9%

Contrary to popular belief, the Upton Brothers didn't each hit a home run off Rex Brothers.
6

13

7

12.3

11.8

12.0

.572

.591

30.1%

29.4%

59.5%

-4.7%

1.7%

Steven Wright's major-league debut will probably delay him completing his degree in calcium anthropology (the study of milkmen).
7

13

8

11.1

11.5

11.8

.543

.524

26.2%

22.7%

48.9%

-4.3%

3.7%

Better hands for a big man: Pablo Sandoval or Oddjob?
8

9

10

7.9

11.5

11.4

.549

.529

47.5%

20.7%

68.2%

2.9%

-6.9%

Mark Ellis' home run off Brandon Lyon marked the second of the night -- his first multi-dinger game since June 17, 2008, when his second homer came off Brandon Lyon.
9

11

9

11.8

11.4

11.7

.550

.530

21.7%

27.3%

49.0%

4.1%

-0.1%

Paul Goldschmidt has figured out AT&T Park. Not just hitting well there, but also where the nearest bathrooms are, and why it's called AT&T Park.
10

12

8

11.2

11.3

11.7

.520

.540

4.4%

10.4%

14.8%

2.4%

5.1%

Why again isn't Manny Machado playing at shortstop? Is it something we said?
11

9

9

9.6

10.8

10.6

.563

.583

73.4%

8.7%

82.1%

0.7%

-4.9%

What, no dance from Jose Valverde on his triumphant return to a major-league roster?
12

11

8

10.7

10.4

10.4

.562

.582

47.7%

23.9%

71.6%

3.6%

0.5%

Good to see Mariano Rivera can still give up the occasional meaningless home run at his age.
13

11

9

10.4

10.2

10.8

.511

.491

13.1%

12.2%

25.4%

4.2%

6.0%

That's Mr. National League Save Leader Jason Grilli to you. Okay, "Jason" is fine.
14

9

11

9.5

9.6

10.5

.509

.529

13.8%

18.9%

32.7%

-2.7%

7.9%

It's impossible to have a rain delay in Tropicana Field, but if they did, hopefully their tarp would be a giant Persian rug.
15

12

8

12.7

9.5

9.6

.527

.507

24.2%

18.1%

42.3%

4.6%

3.7%

It took 134 batters this year before Adam Wainwright finally walked a batter. Best not let it happen again.
16

6

13

7.6

9.4

10.0

.459

.439

2.9%

4.2%

7.1%

0.9%

-1.5%

They can't blow every extra-inning lead. It's all supply and demand.
17

9

9

10.2

9.3

9.2

.507

.487

9.5%

10.3%

19.8%

-3.4%

-3.2%

The next great Abbott and Costello routine will be about when Jonathon Niese becomes an uncle.
18

8

11

8.6

9.1

9.5

.508

.528

20.9%

28.4%

49.3%

4.1%

9.1%

It's fair to say Roomba's new prototype, code name "Peter Bourjos," has field tested rather well.
19

9

8

7.6

8.9

8.8

.451

.471

0.5%

0.9%

1.4%

-0.1%

0.2%

Oswaldo Arcia, who hit his first career dinger yesterday, looks like his name is missing a G. Don't you think it should be Oswaldog Arcia?
20

10

7

9.8

8.8

8.9

.513

.533

10.7%

11.0%

21.6%

-0.2%

5.2%

Tim Collins was the last member of the Royals to understand why the game was rained out.
21

8

10

8.4

8.8

8.3

.482

.502

11.5%

11.1%

22.6%

-1.5%

-0.7%

They have hit two triples so far. One was by Michael Bourn, which makes sense. The other was by Yan Gomes, who has read about baserunning only in textbooks.
22

7

12

8.6

8.7

8.0

.450

.470

3.9%

4.4%

8.3%

0.1%

-5.3%

Alex Rios, he of a career 6.1 percent walk rate, has walked in 11.4 percent of plate apperances. He likely stole Adam Dunn's underpants.
23

9

12

8.3

8.5

9.0

.457

.438

7.6%

9.7%

17.3%

-1.9%

-7.8%

Michael Young leads the National League in double plays grounded into (six), which is good because double plays encourage teamwork!
24

11

8

9.3

8.5

8.7

.482

.462

8.2%

8.8%

17.0%

2.4%

6.1%

Jean Segura ought to hit nothing but triples, so he understands which way to run from there.
25

8

14

7.6

8.4

8.5

.426

.445

2.2%

4.1%

6.3%

-0.8%

-3.1%

Remember that cartoon where Raul Ibaņez kept purchasing various ACME products to catch a baseball?
26

10

10

8.1

8.1

8.0

.484

.464

28.2%

20.5%

48.7%

-5.3%

-7.6%

Shut out twice in three games counts as a mini-slump. For a quarter more they can upgrade to a medium-slump.
27

8

13

7.4

6.6

6.8

.430

.450

4.1%

7.5%

11.6%

-1.0%

-9.5%

Melky Cabrera thought that strike three pitch was outside, and here's his website which explains why.
28

5

15

6.7

6.3

7.2

.392

.373

0.6%

1.1%

1.7%

-1.1%

-2.0%

Clayton Richard's redeeming quality seems to be that some may accidentally mistake him for Clayton Kershaw in Cy Young voting.
29

6

14

6.3

6.1

6.7

.349

.368

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.1%

They've struck out exactly 200 times in 20 games. Is that a lot?
30

5

16

5.4

4.5

4.8

.330

.312

0.1%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.2%

Wow, 11 runs in a day! They should play doubleheaders more often!

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
Josh A

Oswaldog!

Apr 24, 2013 20:15 PM
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