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Prospectus Hit List for April 23



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 22 Hit List for April 24
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The only J.T. Snow joke you're likely to read today.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLF AHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

13

6

12.9

12.5

11.6

.603

.622

60.1%

17.1%

77.2%

3.1%

8.7%

Let's raise some money to give Derek Holland some minoxidil for his mustache.
2

13

6

13.2

12.6

12.6

.602

.621

34.2%

30.0%

64.2%

2.1%

9.3%

Will Middlebrooks is playing a whole lot better than his little cousin, Will Beginningbrooks.
3

13

5

13.0

13.0

12.3

.613

.594

44.6%

21.5%

66.0%

-0.9%

-2.9%

An unplanned off-day on the road means the Braves had a free night in Denver. Maybe they went to a restaurant, or took in a ballgame.
4

9

9

9.6

10.8

10.5

.563

.582

72.2%

9.1%

81.4%

1.5%

-4.4%

They've had five hits with runners in scoring position since last Monday. Four of them were by a gentleman named Miguel Cabrera.
5

10

8

10.1

10.0

10.2

.562

.582

43.4%

24.7%

68.1%

-4.2%

-0.7%

Francisco Cervelli batted fifth for the first time in his career, and I legitimately looked up to see if yesterday was his birthday. It wasn't. Maybe it was his mom's.
6

12

8

13.2

13.5

12.5

.598

.578

61.2%

14.1%

75.3%

3.4%

10.3%

Shin-Soo Choo has now been hit by 10 pitches, but we're not sure how many times on his shin.
7

12

8

11.7

11.2

10.4

.538

.558

18.4%

22.3%

40.7%

-3.4%

-8.6%

At long last, Casper Wells finally has a home. That is to say, he can literally build a home in that foul territory.
8

11

8

10.6

10.8

11.2

.519

.539

3.6%

8.7%

12.3%

1.3%

4.2%

Is Jim Johnson the best closer in MLB history who was a former Hollywood Squares celebrity? I am guessing at the latter fact.
9

13

5

11.7

12.5

11.5

.558

.538

6.3%

9.6%

15.9%

0.5%

8.7%

It's very rude of J.T. Snow to keep postponing games in Denver, whatever he's doing.
10

10

7

9.8

8.8

9.0

.513

.533

10.7%

11.2%

21.9%

-0.7%

3.9%

The Royals celebrated Earth Day by making their center field fountain sustainable. From here on out, they'll only use hot dog water.
11

13

7

10.9

11.1

11.4

.550

.530

30.2%

22.9%

53.1%

2.9%

4.3%

Brandon Belt is the cholesterol in your eggs. Some days it's good for you.
12

9

10

9.2

8.9

9.8

.510

.530

14.4%

21.0%

35.4%

4.3%

8.2%

To celebrate his two-homer game yesterday, Ryan Roberts will get a new tattoo of Ryan Roberts thumbing through a binder of potential tattoos.
13

10

9

11.1

10.8

11.1

.546

.527

20.3%

24.5%

44.8%

-3.3%

-6.4%

So far, just one of their losses on the year was by more than two runs, which means they're always a Kirk Gibson home run away from winning.
14

7

11

8.0

8.4

8.8

.500

.520

18.9%

26.2%

45.2%

-4.3%

-0.3%

Quick, name their everyday shortstop. If you guessed "Angels Shortstop," you earned partial credit.
15

8

10

6.8

10.2

10.1

.531

.511

42.3%

23.1%

65.4%

1.0%

-11.6%

We now understand exactly how many injuries it requires for a team to regret the departure of Aaron Harang.
16

9

8

10.2

9.5

9.5

.526

.506

11.6%

11.6%

23.2%

0.1%

-3.0%

Well of COURSE they're scoring the most runs per game (5.8). What else do you expect from a lineup featuring Mike Piazza, Robin Ventura, the ageless Rickey Henderson and the pragmatic John Olerud?
17

8

10

8.4

8.8

8.3

.483

.503

12.9%

11.2%

24.1%

2.2%

-2.6%

Justin Masterson was "masterful," and Asdrubal Cabrera was ... also good!
18

11

8

11.9

8.8

8.9

.521

.501

20.2%

17.5%

37.6%

2.0%

-0.5%

It's entirely reasonable to deny Shelby Miller's existence on the grounds that he was born in the 1990s and that makes you feel old.
19

10

9

9.6

9.4

10.0

.504

.484

9.5%

11.7%

21.2%

-5.7%

2.9%

Pedro Alvarez is still hitting all three true outcomes: home run, strikeout and whattheheckwasthat.
20

8

7

6.8

7.9

8.1

.455

.475

0.8%

0.8%

1.5%

-0.1%

0.5%

Well, it looks like Joe Mauer is gonna have to win games by himself! [dramatic montage of Joe Mauer hitting doubles, then being stranded on base]
21

10

9

7.9

7.9

7.8

.490

.470

34.6%

19.5%

54.1%

-2.7%

-4.1%

Steve Lombardozzi leads the league with 27 at bats without a strikeout. The next guy is at 12.
22

7

12

8.6

8.7

8.0

.450

.470

3.4%

4.7%

8.2%

-0.7%

-2.6%

Adam Dunn can't buy a hit, although in fairness he hasn't checked the black market.
23

10

8

8.5

7.8

8.0

.474

.454

6.2%

8.4%

14.6%

1.5%

6.1%

With Kyle Lohse's injury status in the air, they should consider signing Kyle Lohse's doppelgänger, who is STILL unsigned.
24

8

12

7.0

6.1

6.4

.431

.451

4.3%

8.3%

12.6%

-2.5%

-10.8%

Well, at least they're finally playing like an overhyped American League East team.
25

8

13

7.2

8.1

8.2

.428

.448

2.5%

4.6%

7.1%

1.4%

-4.7%

Felix Hernandez is on pace to win 300 games, all against the Astros.
26

9

11

8.1

8.3

8.7

.463

.443

9.1%

10.2%

19.4%

1.4%

-1.5%

Michael Young's 13-game hitting streak counts as "playing the game the right way."
27

5

13

6.9

8.7

9.2

.448

.428

3.0%

3.2%

6.1%

-0.5%

-1.7%

It's not that they're inventing new ways to lose so much as they are ripping off losing methods from previous Cubs teams.
28

5

14

6.5

6.1

7.1

.397

.378

1.0%

1.9%

2.9%

0.3%

0.0%

They score six runs per game against the Dodgers and just above two runs per game against everybody else, which explains why the ghost of Bobby Thomson now resides in PETCO Park.
29

5

14

5.8

5.5

6.1

.340

.358

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.1%

Leading the league in fewest double plays grounded into (5) should be viewed as a point of pride, so let's make it so.
30

4

15

4.2

3.5

3.9

.315

.298

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.0%

-0.5%

Determining the cleanup batter is a new scientific process involving happening to share an elevator with Jeffrey Loria that day.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
Schere

I would have gone with Cabreriffic.

Otherwise, well done!

Apr 23, 2013 11:45 AM
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