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Prospectus Hit List for April 19



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 18 Hit List for April 22
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

We made it, everybody. We made it to the end of the week! (Unless you're a major-league baseball team. Keep playing!)

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLF AHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

3

13

3.1

2.8

3.1

.308

.291

0.2%

0.3%

0.5%

-0.1%

-0.3%

Somewhere in the Marlins front office: "Any chance we can trade these three wins for Bitcoins?"
2

4

11

5.4

5.1

5.8

.364

.382

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.1%

If you don’t count Houston’s losses, they’re undefeated!
3

5

10

6.1

5.1

6.1

.421

.401

1.5%

2.7%

4.3%

-0.4%

-0.3%

Padres pitching has given up the most walks in baseball.
4

6

10

5.5

5.9

6.5

.437

.417

6.4%

10.5%

17.0%

-1.5%

-5.7%

The Phillies are relieved to see Cole Hamels pitch well. They sit back in their big comfy, leather chair and cackle to themselves. “Tut tut,” they say, “We sure are relieved to see Cole Hamels pitch well.”
5

6

8

5.2

5.4

5.7

.439

.420

5.8%

6.4%

12.2%

0.5%

2.5%

Homers hit by pitchers are the interception returns for a touchdown of baseball. They’re short-handed goals. Or, in golf, they’re a shot… that lands… close to the pin. SHHH!!
6

7

8

6.6

5.8

6.3

.459

.439

8.1%

8.9%

17.0%

-3.1%

2.5%

Starlng Marte struck out five times in five plate appearances against Braves pitching.
7

5

9

5.9

6.9

7.2

.461

.441

4.5%

4.8%

9.3%

1.0%

-0.9%

Anthony Rizzo and Alfonso Soriano hitting back-to-back homers is like the a rosy-cheeked baby hugging a 120-year-old swarm of locusts. Might want to keep the new Cub away from anything that could infect him.
8

5

9

5.0

5.4

5.2

.433

.453

8.2%

10.4%

18.6%

-1.5%

-6.3%

There's no shame in losing to the 11-4 Red Sox. Or actually, maybe there is. The Red Sox could be awful, we're 15 games into the season!
9

6

7

5.5

6.3

6.6

.434

.454

0.2%

0.6%

0.8%

0.0%

-0.1%

Okay, fine, we'll trade Joe Mauer now.
10

7

9

5.4

5.2

5.5

.440

.460

7.0%

11.5%

18.5%

-0.1%

-2.8%

R.A. Dickey left his start with back and shoulder tightness, though with a knuckleballer you never know. The pain can start off in the back and shoulder but quickly dart to the fingers or just drop into the toes.
11

5

10

5.3

5.2

5.3

.440

.460

9.3%

15.1%

24.4%

-1.0%

-11.8%

If the Rays' starting rotation isn’t one of the best in the league, they’re in trouble. Right now they're 21st, which requires a very liberal definition of ‘one of the best in the league’ to be one of the best in the league.
12

7

10

6.8

6.9

7.0

.444

.464

4.2%

6.1%

10.3%

2.1%

1.0%

"Well sure, my little son, Hisashi Iwakuma could outpitch Justin Verlander. But such a thing would be akin to monsters living under your bed. Good night!”
13

4

10

4.4

5.7

5.8

.453

.473

17.8%

23.2%

41.0%

1.6%

-6.2%

Last year at this time a struggling Angels team brought up Mike Trout and the rest was history. This year a struggling Angels team told Trout to go to Triple-A and then come right back. There! Problem solved.
14

7

9

7.6

7.7

7.0

.466

.486

5.1%

8.0%

13.1%

-1.5%

-1.0%

Three out of the first five White Sox hitters are hitting so badly (below .200) you wouldn't expect them to score many runs. And, surprise, they haven't!
15

9

6

6.8

6.7

6.6

.512

.492

37.1%

22.5%

59.6%

-0.2%

-8.8%

It's not often a team gets to bask in the glow of beating the Marlins, but the Nationals are having hats, cake, and t-shirts printed.
16

7

7

8.0

7.5

7.5

.513

.493

8.5%

12.3%

20.8%

-2.4%

-3.1%

The Mets have outscored the Nationals by 20 runs, have allowed about the same number of runs, yet have a record 1 ˝ games worse.
17

9

7

7.9

8.3

8.8

.526

.506

20.5%

19.1%

39.6%

-3.8%

-6.9%

Does getting swept by the Brewers in April mean your season is over? Yes. No. Maybe? Wait, no. No! Yeah, no.
18

9

6

10.2

7.0

7.0

.529

.509

20.9%

16.2%

37.1%

2.9%

3.7%

The rule is if someone hits a game-winning homer you can't say anything negative about them until next game. So, Carlos Beltran!
19

8

7

8.1

8.1

8.2

.501

.521

2.5%

6.3%

8.8%

1.4%

-0.8%

As Matt Wieters rounded third base after hitting his walk-off grand slam to beat Tampa Bay last night he thought of three things. 1) The grocery list is in his bat bag, so don’t forget it! 2) TiVo latest “Real Housewifes of Atlanta” 3) Remember to smile.
20

7

8

5.7

9.2

8.8

.545

.525

48.8%

22.1%

70.8%

-1.4%

-12.4%

Adrian Gonzalez has a 1.069 OPS. Carl Crawford has a .962 OPS. Even Nick Punto's OPS is .900. Sure Boston is happy with their end of the megatrade but that doesn't mean LA can't enjoy it too.
21

8

6

8.1

7.1

7.2

.508

.528

6.8%

11.6%

18.4%

-0.1%

-1.7%

And for his next trick, David Copperfield will make Chris Getz's slugging percentage regress... without even leaving his house!!!
22

11

4

9.8

10.5

9.5

.559

.540

4.2%

8.6%

12.8%

1.3%

8.4%

Six wins in a row, and the Rockies are talking postseason. tee times. Postseason tee times. Sorry, inadvertent period there.
23

9

6

9.4

9.1

9.0

.567

.547

25.0%

26.2%

51.2%

2.9%

2.8%

Cody Ross justified the Red Sox' continued lack of interest in him by beating the Yankees in extra innings.
24

9

7

10.7

10.8

10.1

.595

.575

60.7%

13.2%

73.9%

1.3%

2.3%

Two more walks for Joey Votto, who has decided to accumulate all his season's stats in groups. Once he finishes with walks he's going for sac bunts, then groundouts, etc.
25

9

6

8.5

8.8

7.9

.561

.581

47.2%

21.1%

68.3%

-3.2%

-3.6%

The Rangers walked once against the team ranked 10th in baseball in issuing walks. Surprisingly they lost.
26

8

6

8.2

7.8

8.4

.572

.591

46.4%

23.5%

69.9%

-3.7%

1.8%

Manager Joe Girardi claimed that Derek Jeter “will be back when he’s back.” Girardi went on to say that the back of Jeter’s back isn’t back, it’s his ankle that’s back, or not back because it’s black and blue though mostly black, with the black being on the back. Girardi was then asked his favorite rock album to which he replied “Back in Black.”
27

12

4

11.1

10.4

9.9

.594

.613

30.7%

24.2%

54.9%

1.5%

4.8%

The A’s are 4-0 against left handed starters this season. Of course it’s too early to say for sure if they’ll go undefeated against southpaws this season, but it sure looks like it!
28

9

6

10.0

10.5

10.6

.619

.638

79.6%

8.2%

87.8%

-0.2%

5.1%

Try as he might Justin Verlander can't do it himself. Which is why he'll have to be traded for Yovani Gallardo.
29

11

4

11.1

10.4

10.2

.620

.638

34.7%

30.2%

65.0%

4.7%

21.7%

Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz have ERAs that you couldn’t see with a microscope because microscopes zoom in so far that the numbers would probably look like big black splotches.
30

13

2

12.3

12.5

12.0

.670

.652

47.7%

26.2%

73.9%

3.0%

16.3%

Just 15 games into the season and there are six hitters still at or above .400. This comment is placed here because the leader is Chris Johnson's .438.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
VelvetFog

7-day change looks like it's broken, 0% for all teams.

Apr 19, 2013 09:27 AM
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0

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shuttsdown

Wasn't this supposed to be an article about Braun?

Apr 19, 2013 09:28 AM
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