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Prospectus Hit List for April 17



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 16 Hit List for April 18
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Ice-cold Hit List action!

RkTm WLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

12

1

11.0

11.0

10.6

.684

.667

47.8%

23.5%

71.3%

2.2%

14.4%

Perhaps it's time for Turner Field to have a home run sculpture of Justin Upton that also hits a home run.
2

11

4

10.4

9.8

9.4

.593

.612

27.4%

25.4%

52.8%

3.0%

12.5%

Add Jed Lowrie to the burgeoning list of unlikely cleanup hitters.
3

10

4

8.7

9.3

8.2

.542

.522

3.9%

6.8%

10.7%

3.5%

4.2%

In hindsight, it was a wasted opportunity by Coors Field not to build snowmen into all the empty seats.
4

9

5

7.5

8.0

8.3

.553

.533

21.1%

24.3%

45.4%

-3.3%

3.7%

Those nine runs allowed by Barry Zito brings his total number of runs allowed on the season to ... carry the one ... about nine.
5

9

4

9.5

8.6

8.4

.605

.624

29.0%

28.6%

57.6%

2.6%

7.2%

That was nice of Terry Francona to deliver them a gift basket of chicken and beer before the game. At least it looked like Terry Francona.
6

9

5

8.5

9.4

8.4

.591

.611

52.1%

19.3%

71.4%

3.2%

1.5%

Slowly but surely, the Rangers are ready to consider turning Michael Young's empty locker into a sewing room.
7

8

5

8.0

7.8

7.6

.565

.546

20.2%

28.9%

49.0%

-2.3%

2.1%

Another loss in Yankee Stadium, but Byung-Hyun Kim was nowhere to be found.
8

8

5

8.9

9.6

10.0

.636

.654

79.2%

7.8%

87.0%

1.5%

8.3%

Assisted suicide remains illegal in the United States, which makes it even more puzzling pitchers choose to give Miguel Cabrera something to hit.
9

8

5

9.4

6.8

6.9

.551

.531

26.5%

12.6%

39.1%

1.3%

8.1%

They're hitting .395 with runners on base and .207 with the bases empty. That's no way to go through life.
10

8

6

5.8

5.8

5.7

.495

.475

31.6%

24.8%

56.4%

-1.7%

-6.8%

I know it's just one game, but how did Dan Haren allow seven runs to a team that hadn't even scored seven runs total in a three-game stretch since April 5-7?
11

7

5

7.5

7.0

7.6

.586

.605

50.3%

20.7%

71.0%

2.2%

8.1%

Vernon Wells will start in left field for the American League in the All-Star game and there is nothing you can do about it, except perhaps e-stuff the ballot for someone less mind-blowing.
12

7

6

8.2

7.8

7.6

.540

.520

9.7%

13.4%

23.1%

-3.1%

-4.4%

All things considered, a snowy doubleheader in Denver with extra innings only ranks as a 7.4 on the Metropolitan Emotional Scar Scale.
13

7

7

5.8

9.2

8.9

.565

.545

53.6%

21.3%

74.9%

-2.2%

-2.6%

All those injury issues around the league and Carl Crawford is healthy as a mule, playing well too. Baseball.
14

7

6

7.4

6.6

6.6

.502

.522

6.0%

10.4%

16.4%

-1.6%

-1.4%

Chris Getz had the most plate apperances without a home run (925) in Royals history until yesterday. That honor now falls to Jason Kendall (490).
15

7

6

7.1

7.6

7.7

.514

.534

3.0%

6.7%

9.7%

1.5%

3.7%

Matt Wieters hit a home run then later bunted. If this sounds like a bathroom limerick, it's not, but here's a magic marker.
16

6

7

5.3

4.4

4.6

.441

.421

11.2%

8.0%

19.2%

0.4%

2.7%

Their promising 4-2 lead in the second inning was literally destroyed by a rainstorm. Okay, figuratively. No, literally!
17

6

8

5.6

6.2

6.6

.468

.448

10.8%

14.3%

25.1%

4.2%

2.9%

It's not often that a team accumulates two singles, strikes out 12 times and still gets a chance to win the game the next day.
18

6

8

6.1

6.2

5.7

.450

.470

4.2%

9.0%

13.3%

2.1%

-4.2%

Adam Dunn currently has more strikeouts (17) than total bases (13), plus he's only walked twice.
19

6

8

5.0

4.8

5.1

.446

.466

8.2%

13.0%

21.2%

-2.2%

1.3%

They've had four consecutive one-run games, going 2-2 in them. It's exactly why they call Toronto "The Bell Curve City," possibly.
20

6

8

7.8

8.2

7.7

.543

.523

51.2%

11.8%

63.0%

-1.5%

-16.9%

Their game against the Phillies resumes in the bottom of the ninth. Zack Cozart gets all night to dream about how he'll bat against Phillippe Aumont, right after a dream about showing up to third grade math naked.
21

6

7

5.5

6.3

6.8

.436

.455

0.5%

0.8%

1.2%

0.3%

-0.4%

Aaron Hicks may have only reached base six times in 51 plate apperances, but he's scored four times. You gotta admire that rate.
22

6

9

5.8

5.5

5.5

.431

.451

3.5%

6.0%

9.5%

-2.2%

-3.6%

Judging by his facial hair, Eric Wedge has gone full Deadliest Catch.
23

5

7

4.6

5.2

4.9

.454

.474

10.1%

13.4%

23.6%

-3.1%

-0.4%

If Ubaldo Jimenez has turned a corner, then he keeps turning corners around the factory where they make E.R.A.
24

4

9

4.2

3.5

3.9

.417

.437

9.4%

15.6%

25.0%

-2.2%

-9.5%

They've gone eight straight games without scoring five runs in a game and they've only done it twice.
25

4

10

5.1

4.2

5.1

.400

.381

1.2%

2.5%

3.7%

0.9%

-3.6%

If the Padres wanted to face Chris Capuano so badly instead of Zack Greinke, they could have at least asked the Dodgers nicely.
26

4

8

3.7

3.9

4.1

.405

.385

6.4%

3.9%

10.4%

1.5%

0.5%

Where were you when Yuniesky Betancourt crushed that grand slam, and why weren't you hugging your children?
27

4

10

5.1

4.7

5.4

.365

.383

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.1%

They've gone from plain bad to struggling, and that's absolutely in the right direction.
28

4

9

4.9

5.2

5.6

.428

.408

4.7%

3.7%

8.4%

0.2%

-3.3%

Why don't they just make the entire plane out of Nate Schierholtz pinch hits?
29

4

10

4.4

5.7

5.8

.453

.473

17.0%

23.2%

40.2%

-5.2%

-22.9%

With the highest collective starter ERA (5.80), have they considered seeing if Jered Weaver can throw left-handed?
30

3

11

3.6

2.7

3.1

.325

.307

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

-0.3%

-0.9%

They did it! A home run at home, thanks to Adeiny Hechavarria! Now they can start the center field machine ... oh, the batteries died.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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6 comments have been left for this article.
godfather

maybe haren will be put on a stras-like innings count...and at least the attention on haren will take away from what werth's worth was to rizzo

Apr 17, 2013 09:32 AM
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andrewdeeble

at his current rate, haren can make 32 starts and not exceed a stras-like inning count...

Apr 17, 2013 12:53 PM
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lmarighi

Excellent work overall, as usual, but the Jered Weaver line fell a little flat for me, as it's his LEFT (non-throwing) elbow that got injured and has him on the DL.

Apr 17, 2013 09:46 AM
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BP staff member Matt Sussman

Whoops. You just assume the injured arm is the injured pitching arm. My fault.

For today, everybody just come up with your own Angels joke.

Apr 17, 2013 10:07 AM
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DetroitDale

The assisted Suicide crack was amusing, but with Prince Fielder hitting behind him and having just earned Player of the week honors for his smoking bat, not pitching to Miggy isn't really an option. You shoulda saved that joke for when Stanton heats up.

So is this list going to follow BCS rules (for want of a better word) and keep Atlanta and Detroit 1 & 2 until their matchup at the end of the month?

I vote yes ;-)

Apr 17, 2013 12:20 PM
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BP staff member Matt Sussman

Just keep walking everybody until Jim Leyland brings in Don Kelly.

Apr 17, 2013 13:06 PM
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