Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for April 15



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 12 Hit List for April 16
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Within: an important update on team sacrifice bunt totals.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLF Win Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

7

5

8.0

8.4

8.5

.618

.637

75.3%

10.0%

85.4%

3.8%

8.7%

One way to lead the league in batting average (which they are) is to strike out about 14 percent of the time (which they also are).
2

7

5

6.1

9.3

9.1

.617

.598

58.1%

22.2%

80.2%

-3.3%

-0.8%

Their pitchers have a combined .781 OPS hitting, in case you wonder who's going to secede if the National League adopts the designated hitter.
3

5

7

6.6

6.5

6.1

.531

.511

49.1%

11.5%

60.7%

-5.7%

-18.8%

Joey Votto has walked more times (20) than the entire White Sox (16).
4

6

5

6.8

6.2

6.7

.574

.593

48.0%

21.4%

69.4%

6.3%

13.0%

The good news is Hiroki Kuroda turned it around last night. The bad news is he's their top young pitching prospect.
5

8

5

7.8

8.5

7.6

.583

.602

47.8%

20.8%

68.5%

-1.9%

4.3%

Not that they're struggling offensively, but they're being outscored by Houston.
6

11

1

10.2

10.1

9.8

.683

.666

45.2%

23.5%

68.7%

2.6%

19.2%

He could finish the year with a 0.00 ERA and Paul Maholm will always be, to me, the guy that nearly walked Billy Crystal in spring training.
7

7

5

4.6

4.3

4.3

.480

.460

32.2%

22.7%

54.9%

-4.6%

-6.8%

The source of their problems has been identified: they should stop playing the Braves so many darn times.
8

7

4

7.8

7.1

6.9

.591

.611

26.6%

25.6%

52.2%

8.1%

5.7%

Clay Buchholz has allowed just three extra base hits all year, or one per start if you prefer simple math done for you.
9

7

5

8.6

6.3

6.4

.548

.528

25.6%

11.2%

36.8%

-2.6%

4.5%

Just as we all suspected, their home run leader is Matt Adams with three, in just 18 at bats.
10

4

8

4.1

5.4

5.4

.472

.492

24.2%

24.9%

49.1%

-2.7%

-17.3%

Finally, two wins in a row. But the best news: they've finally caught up to the Astros in the standings!
11

9

4

8.5

8.1

7.9

.577

.596

24.1%

22.8%

46.9%

-4.2%

10.6%

Yoenis Cespedes was placed on the disabled list after he was tricked into saying his own name backwards.
12

9

4

7.2

7.5

8.0

.565

.545

20.3%

27.8%

48.1%

3.8%

12.2%

It's rather impressive to lead one's division with just a +7 run differential. Pythagoras would be impressed.
13

8

4

7.7

7.7

7.5

.584

.565

19.1%

31.7%

50.9%

2.0%

-4.1%

The only D'backs pitcher to win in Yankee Stadium was Miguel Batista in 2002. Do you smell a three-day contract?
14

4

7

3.5

2.7

3.0

.417

.437

14.5%

16.8%

31.4%

-4.6%

-10.9%

One way to increase their AL-worst 3.0 runs/game is to build a catwalk that, when struck, is worth five runs.
15

6

6

5.2

3.8

4.1

.444

.424

13.8%

6.6%

20.4%

2.7%

7.8%

Andrew McCutchen continues to play like the face of this team, although ... nope, upon closer inspection, the face of their team is still a cartoon pirate.
16

5

6

4.6

4.9

4.5

.465

.485

13.5%

13.2%

26.7%

-2.7%

-3.3%

The only player to be intentionally walked on their team is Jason Kipnis. Possibly a clerical error, or maybe someone lost a bet.
17

7

4

7.7

7.6

7.0

.577

.558

12.3%

15.0%

27.3%

0.4%

-1.2%

They're the only National League team not to record a sacrifice bunt. Playing the game the right way my foot.
18

6

6

5.0

5.9

6.2

.490

.470

10.2%

12.9%

23.2%

2.9%

-1.0%

To those worried about Roy Halladay: LOOK OUT, THERE'S A SPIDER ON THE BACK OF YOUR COMPUTER!
19

5

7

4.0

3.4

3.7

.428

.448

8.5%

12.3%

20.8%

-4.7%

-2.4%

Mark DeRosa was teammates with Dennis Martinez. This has been your fascinating Mark DeRosa fact of the day.
20

7

5

7.3

6.7

6.5

.523

.543

6.7%

11.0%

17.6%

1.3%

1.7%

We're two weeks in and the fans' souls have yet to be crushed with the weight of a thousand baseball blunders. Successful season so far.
21

3

8

2.9

3.4

3.6

.387

.368

6.1%

3.2%

9.3%

2.8%

-1.6%

It only took them 32 innings in between scoring runs. You try and do better.
22

4

8

4.7

5.2

5.4

.439

.419

5.5%

4.1%

9.6%

-1.6%

-3.6%

"For once it wasn't me!" Carlos Marmol writes in his diary, then gives out a long sigh.
23

5

7

5.1

5.7

5.4

.457

.477

4.3%

7.5%

11.7%

0.4%

-8.0%

Jeff Keppinger is the only player among qualified batters with zero walks. He should try it; it's quality, underrated exercise.
24

6

8

5.7

5.8

5.8

.449

.469

3.8%

7.6%

11.4%

1.2%

-3.6%

"Maybe Kelly Shoppach should be the starting catcher with Jesus Montero as the backup," he said with a straight face.
25

6

6

6.5

7.2

7.2

.512

.532

2.4%

5.5%

7.9%

-0.0%

2.3%

Five people have tried to run on Matt Wieters this year. Only one of them was successful, but he's too traumatized to talk about it.
26

8

4

7.3

7.7

6.4

.525

.505

1.9%

5.5%

7.4%

1.6%

-0.6%

For a team whose starter ERA was 5.82 last year, starting off at a 3.72 mark warrants them all the Most Improved ribbons on the globe.
27

2

10

3.1

2.6

3.2

.349

.331

0.7%

1.6%

2.3%

-0.5%

-3.8%

We're still waiting for a Padres starting pitcher to make it into the seventh inning.
28

4

7

3.7

4.5

5.0

.393

.413

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

-0.2%

-0.9%

The bright side of a snow postponement on April 14: you can get your taxes done!
29

4

8

5.1

4.4

5.0

.387

.406

0.2%

0.2%

0.3%

-0.1%

0.1%

Their strikeout woes seemed to dissipate a little with that weekend series against the Angels. They also seemed to play Rick Ankiel less. Probably just a coincidence.
30

2

10

2.5

2.2

2.6

.311

.294

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

-0.4%

-1.6%

If Giancarlo Stanton is out for a substantial amount of time, the Marlins will definitely be able to replace him in the lineup. Not with someone great, but someone will no doubt play in his spot.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
NattyFan

It's hard to believe that a single writer could produce so many good comments every day for every team.

On the other hand, "Matt Sussman" would be a terrible collective pseudonym, so I can only conclude that Matt is a real person.

Apr 15, 2013 07:08 AM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Sussman

It's not that hard to come up with 30 jokes a night. Tell 'em, Wash.

Apr 15, 2013 16:59 PM
up_image

0

down_image
 
DetroitDale

That Phillies comment had me laughing so hard I dropped my tablet

Apr 15, 2013 19:52 PM
up_image

0

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Nati... (04/15)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (04/12)
Next Column >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (04/16)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Sea... (04/15)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article The View from the Loge Level: The Alex Jacks...
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Power Outage
Premium Article What You Need to Know: September 19, 2014
Premium Article Raising Aces: Carlos in Charge
Notes About Baseball: The Second-Hardest Par...
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Cueto's Quirks
Premium Article Moonshot: Detecting the Best Medicine

MORE FROM APRIL 15, 2013 09:04 AM
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Boys Will Be Boys?: The Ca...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Braving the East
The Week in Quotes: April 8-14
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Searching for Value in Co...
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Thre...
Premium Article The Call-Up: Oswaldo Arcia
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 15, ...

MORE BY MATT SUSSMAN
2013-04-22 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 22
2013-04-17 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 17
2013-04-16 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, April 16
2013-04-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 15
2013-04-10 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 10
2013-04-09 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, April 9
2013-04-08 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 8
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2013-04-18 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, April 18
2013-04-17 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 17
2013-04-16 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, April 16
2013-04-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 15
2013-04-12 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, April 12
2013-04-11 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, April 11
2013-04-10 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 10
More...