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Prospectus Hit List for April 12



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 11 Hit List for April 15
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The A's are on top, so take that all you haters (and also all you h8ers)

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

2

7

2.8

3.7

3.9

.453

.473

25.2%

29.0%

54.2%

-4.5%

-15.1%

In his other three plate appearances (two singles and a fly out) Josh Hamilton saw six total pitches. In his other plate appearance, a walk, he saw six total pitches. Thereís meaning in this somewhere!
2

6

3

5.9

6.3

5.9

.596

.577

16.7%

31.5%

48.3%

-1.8%

3.0%

No no Martin Prado is an excellent player please put down that knife
3

8

1

7.4

5.6

5.3

.622

.603

33.4%

25.0%

58.5%

0.1%

16.7%

Is there any chance that the Diamondbacks donít regret trading Justin Upton? Iím guessing itís similar to the chances I regret writing one of these comments wait no bad example.
4

5

4

5.4

6.2

6.1

.543

.563

2.9%

5.7%

8.6%

1.1%

0.4%

The Orioles are underperforming their run differential.
5

5

4

6.1

5.4

5.4

.565

.584

21.1%

19.4%

40.5%

-3.0%

-1.9%

Those of you who subscribe to the Church of Koji Uehara, donít worry. That walk was intentional.
6

4

5

4.1

4.3

4.2

.466

.486

6.1%

7.3%

13.4%

-1.7%

-5.7%

Adam Dunn did not homer [quivers], he did not walk [shakes], but he did strike out [exhales!]. The worldís most pointless and arbitrary streak is still intact!
7

3

6

3.4

3.2

3.1

.415

.396

5.4%

5.8%

11.2%

-1.8%

-6.4%

The Cubs blew a 5-0 lead just like Cubs fans blow money on terrible beer. Both end with Cubs fans throwing up.
8

5

4

5.6

5.3

5.2

.572

.552

59.3%

12.9%

72.2%

-1.5%

-4.9%

Another day and another day Joey Votto didnít homer. True, the Reds didnít play yesterday but AAAAHHHHH!!!
9

3

5

2.8

3.4

3.0

.439

.459

11.2%

12.4%

23.6%

-1.4%

-9.9%

Your major-league leader in hitting is Carlos Santana (.500/.567/.885) who can do everything but alter the weather. Considering the weather in Cleveland, itís a skill Santana might do well to cultivate.
10

5

4

5.1

5.2

4.3

.492

.472

1.0%

3.5%

4.6%

-0.2%

-1.9%

The Greinke injury doesnít hurt Colorado, but it doesnít help them either because theyíre not very good.
11

5

4

5.4

5.7

5.6

.584

.603

74.1%

8.7%

82.8%

4.7%

7.5%

The superstitious Miguel Cabrera had his first triple since 2010 and a stolen base so heíll have to replicate his pre-game meals exactly to keep up his luck. His meal? One family sized bag of Taco Bell flavored Doritos and a Big Gulp. Expect that next triple never.
12

3

6

3.6

3.2

3.9

.385

.404

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

0.2%

-0.1%

In honor of Erik Bedard the Astros have scheduled Erik Bedard Bobblearm night. Unfortunately itís been scheduled in July so the chances Bedard makes it that far arenít good.
13

6

3

6.2

5.1

5.1

.545

.565

8.3%

11.7%

20.0%

-0.7%

7.2%

Through nine games The Process is moving along smoothly. Letís all just hope itís not a nine-game process.
14

6

3

4.9

7.3

6.9

.639

.621

63.7%

20.5%

84.2%

2.3%

10.4%

Matt Kemp was so upset about Zack Greinke's broken collarbone that he drove his car into a wall. He was fine.
15

1

8

1.6

3.0

3.2

.337

.319

0.3%

0.7%

1.0%

0.0%

-1.3%

The Marlins didnít score again. This time it was because they didnít play. Or did they?
16

2

6

2.4

2.5

2.7

.391

.372

5.5%

4.6%

10.1%

0.3%

-6.0%

With the Brewers at 2-6, Iím sure Kyle Lohse, who is used to winning in St. Louis, must be thinking, ĎWow look at all this money!í
17

4

5

3.9

4.7

5.0

.445

.465

0.3%

0.7%

1.0%

-0.2%

-0.5%

Kevin Correia: staff ace. So donít go printing "Twins: Tied For Third Place" t-shirts.
18

4

4

4.8

4.3

4.4

.554

.574

45.4%

19.5%

64.9%

0.5%

4.7%

With Curtis Granderson, Mark Teixeira, Derek Jeter, and Alex Rodriguez all out, might it be possible some of these rainouts are, shall we say, pharmaceutically enhanced?
19

5

4

5.6

5.5

5.0

.538

.518

10.0%

13.1%

23.1%

-0.7%

-4.9%

The Mets are preparing to host this yearís All-Star game by not fielding any All-Stars themselves. ďDonít want to use up the mojo!Ē said a team source.
20

8

2

7.9

7.6

7.3

.642

.660

25.0%

26.1%

51.1%

4.7%

21.6%

Enjoy Jed Lowrie (.410/.489/.769) while you can, Aís fans, because soon heís coming down with the Western East German Goat Plague (don't worry, it's totally curable, just requires about five to six months of rest, more if your team is in the playoffs).
21

4

5

3.4

3.5

3.7

.451

.432

8.9%

11.8%

20.7%

-1.7%

-7.9%

The two worst pitchers on the Phillies so far this season are Roy Halladay and Cole Hamels. If ever there was a reason to build a time machine to place a bet (the reason all time machines are built) this is it.
22

3

6

2.8

1.3

1.5

.366

.348

8.3%

6.9%

15.3%

1.1%

-4.5%

One of the benefits of the offday: those are days when itís difficult to make yourself worse off.
23

2

7

2.3

2.0

2.4

.356

.338

0.9%

3.8%

4.8%

-0.5%

-5.6%

Now calling Carlos Quentin a slugger will make you sound super smart because there are two meanings.
24

4

7

4.2

4.0

4.1

.428

.447

3.2%

7.3%

10.5%

-0.7%

-6.7%

Now with Aaron Harang in the rotation, the Mariners are considering adding yellow stars to the corner of their jerseys that say ďNew and Improved!Ē
25

7

3

5.4

6.5

6.8

.581

.561

17.6%

26.3%

43.9%

-0.6%

4.6%

The Giants bullpen has struck out 27 and walked four, one of them intentionally. The Giants' 4-5-6 hitters have struck out 26 times and walked five, though, so it's not all peaches.
26

5

4

6.1

4.3

4.8

.534

.514

21.4%

13.1%

34.5%

1.6%

5.7%

The Cardinals are 0-2 in one-run games. Time for some grit. Can someone call David Eckstein and see how much heís charging for hair follicles these days?
27

4

5

3.2

2.5

2.8

.442

.462

20.6%

17.4%

38.0%

-0.1%

-2.7%

An industry source tells Hit List that the Rays have studied and developed some inside metrics that say the end of the world is near. Expect them to make some moves at the trade deadline!
28

7

3

6.3

7.3

7.0

.620

.639

46.6%

23.0%

69.6%

2.6%

6.8%

After a month in which Lance Berkman does not get hurt, the Rangers will throw a party for him to celebrate. It will be a combination rock climbing and skeet shooting party.
29

3

6

2.3

2.3

2.4

.400

.420

10.1%

11.5%

21.6%

-1.4%

-5.6%

The Blue Jays are tied with Seattle for the most runs allowed in baseball (58), but actually if you apply the exchange rate they're still tied because the exchange rate doesnít work like that.
30

7

2

4.5

4.6

4.6

.557

.537

47.4%

20.4%

67.8%

3.5%

2.9%

Dan Haren has given up 19 hits in nine innings this year but he got the win last night so everything is just fine.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
greendrummer

A's on top? wow better frame this one
even when they deserve it no one gives them the credit good job BP

Apr 12, 2013 08:54 AM
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