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Prospectus Hit List for April 8



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 5 Hit List for April 9
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

This article is such a joke! Or, rather, a series of them.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLF Win Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

1

5

1.2

0.4

0.6

.261

.277

0.1%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

-0.2%

They're the only team without a stolen base or an official attempt at one. Stealing is wrong, but it's okay in baseball it's in the rulebook!
2

4

2

3.3

3.4

3.6

.500

.520

0.7%

0.8%

1.6%

-0.4%

0.2%

Still bugs the tar out of me that no two players on the Twins look identical.
3

1

5

1.5

1.9

2.1

.348

.330

0.8%

1.2%

2.0%

-0.4%

-0.5%

Steve Cishek shelled in save chance by the seashore.
4

1

5

0.7

0.8

1.0

.308

.291

1.6%

5.0%

6.6%

-1.8%

-5.5%

Their upcoming schedule looks very favorable, provided you are referring to their weather forecast.
5

3

3

3.5

4.0

4.0

.533

.553

1.8%

3.3%

5.1%

-2.6%

-1.4%

Remember how they were 29-9 in one-run games last year? They're 0-3 in such contests this year. Cue the regression trombone.
6

5

1

4.9

4.9

4.5

.622

.603

2.2%

5.8%

8.0%

0.4%

3.4%

You're looking at the early MLB leader in home runs. Without looking, I will assume the team leader is Dante Bichette.
7

1

5

1.5

1.5

1.7

.360

.342

4.8%

6.1%

10.9%

-2.6%

-4.6%

Can you guess which team is the only with zero pitching wins from its starting rotation? Hint: Milwaukee Br_wers.
8

1

5

1.6

1.3

1.0

.347

.329

5.5%

7.1%

12.7%

-2.1%

-8.8%

One way to score eight runs in your first six games is to have a team slash line of .119/.188/.159. Another way is to hit eight home runs and then forfeit the rest of the week.
9

3

4

3.2

3.6

4.0

.488

.508

5.7%

10.6%

16.3%

-2.0%

-1.4%

So far Michael Morse is playing out to be the most successful take-backsie since the re-election of Grover Cleveland.
10

2

4

1.9

1.8

1.7

.392

.373

6.0%

6.7%

12.8%

-2.4%

-2.7%

Jeff Samardzija's K/9 rate is nearly eligible for a learner's permit in most states.
11

3

3

3.7

3.3

3.3

.514

.534

7.5%

8.5%

16.0%

2.9%

1.8%

Billy Butler knocking in seven RBIs while playing first base is a great argument for and against the designated hitter, depending on your opinion.
12

4

2

3.4

3.8

3.8

.547

.566

10.5%

8.3%

18.8%

1.2%

1.1%

Friends come and go, and nations rise and fall. But I can always count on you, Adam Dunn's batting average, to be there for me in the low .200s.
13

2

4

1.8

1.8

1.9

.418

.438

11.0%

13.4%

24.4%

-3.3%

-6.3%

It's a shame Canadian customs don't allow foreign knuckleballs to be imported into the country. Why even HAVE a NAFTA?
14

2

4

1.6

2.0

2.0

.409

.390

12.6%

11.6%

24.2%

-2.7%

-7.8%

Cole Hamels has never allowed eight earned runs in a start until he faced the Royals yesterday.
15

3

3

1.6

2.4

2.7

.461

.441

14.0%

23.4%

37.4%

-4.0%

-5.9%

They've allowed an MLB-best one home run so far and it was to Clayton Kershaw.
16

4

2

4.4

4.1

3.7

.583

.563

14.3%

14.4%

28.7%

1.2%

1.8%

If a knuckleballer can win a Cy Young in New York, then 31-year-old Scott Rice can win Rookie of the Year, because nerts to your predispositions.
17

5

2

5.1

5.3

4.9

.618

.637

15.9%

20.3%

36.2%

1.7%

2.1%

After that sweep of Houston, the A's have lost to the Astros a total of one time in 10 games.
18

3

3

4.2

2.5

2.6

.508

.488

16.1%

17.6%

33.8%

5.6%

2.5%

Their 14 runs against the Giants is the first time a team scored that many with no home runs since last April, when the Rockies put up 17 against ... the Giants.
19

3

3

3.5

3.7

3.5

.534

.554

16.4%

13.8%

30.2%

1.9%

1.2%

Before Sunday, the last time they smacked five dingers was April 18 2009. In that game, they scored 22 runs against the Yankees and 14 in one inning. Also, bread cost ... probably less?
20

5

1

3.9

4.2

4.0

.619

.600

22.7%

29.6%

52.3%

4.7%

11.4%

Heath Bell may as well cut straight to the Todd Jones mustache.
21

3

3

2.3

1.9

2.0

.461

.481

24.2%

20.0%

44.2%

-4.5%

-3.8%

Three earned runs in 1 2/3 innings. What's wrong with Fernando Rodney? Whoa, Angels fans, not all at once.
22

4

2

4.6

4.2

4.0

.613

.632

25.0%

19.3%

44.3%

4.8%

8.2%

Will Middlebrooks's three home runs on Sunday matches the Dodgers' season to date.
23

5

1

4.6

3.8

3.6

.610

.591

27.4%

19.7%

47.1%

2.5%

6.2%

B.J. Upton, as it turns out, stands for "Melvin Emmanuel." I thought it was "Brother of Justin."
24

2

4

2.9

3.3

3.5

.525

.545

37.2%

26.8%

63.9%

-1.2%

-3.7%

It took only six games for them to finally turn their first double play. They were the last in the league to do that.
25

2

4

2.1

2.0

2.1

.453

.473

38.0%

18.3%

56.4%

2.7%

-9.4%

After that home run, you might think Jayson Nix has Justin Verlander's number, but no. Verlander is 35, Nix is 17.
26

4

2

3.7

4.2

4.0

.608

.627

41.2%

24.6%

65.8%

2.8%

11.2%

In a landmark moment, Lance Berkman's home run last night was the first in MLB history by a retired auto worker.
27

4

2

2.2

2.4

2.4

.497

.477

44.8%

18.0%

62.8%

-3.9%

2.8%

Denard Span has been setting the table well. Until he joined the team, forks and napkins were just strewn about everywhere.
28

4

2

4.2

5.2

5.3

.675

.657

59.5%

21.5%

81.0%

3.4%

6.0%

Among qualified hitters, Luis Cruz is the only one without a hit (0-for-17). He has drawn one walk and it was intentional. At least that's what it says on this card.
29

3

3

2.7

3.0

3.0

.524

.544

64.9%

11.7%

76.7%

-3.9%

0.4%

Yes, the bullpen is turning into a crumbling barrier, but they clearly need to find some big bats to give some lineup protection to Matt Tuiasosopo.
30

4

2

4.5

4.1

4.1

.631

.613

67.4%

12.2%

79.7%

2.0%

1.5%

Career .355 slugger Ryan Hanigan is the only National League player to be intentionally walked more than once. Ah, the joys of hitting eighth in the National League.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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1 comment has been left for this article.
outdoorminer

If Morse goes into a protracted slump, now I expect - nay, demand - Panic of 1893 jokes.

Apr 08, 2013 16:07 PM
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