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Prospectus Hit List for April 4



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 3 Hit List for April 5
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Nationals at the top! Marlins at the bottom! Who needs 162 games?

RkTmWLW1W2 W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

2

1

2.1

2.8

2.8

.677

.694

36.6%

26.8%

63.4%

4.3%

0.0%

Lance Berkman has six hits in 10 at-bats. “Gotta get ‘em in while I can,” he said. “I mean, look at me. I can last, what? Two, three more months? Tops.”
2

2

1

2.1

2.3

2.2

.580

.560

2.0%

3.7%

5.6%

1.0%

0.0%

Carlos Gonzalez was thrown out trying to score the tying run in the bottom of the eighth inning in Milwaukee. If the game had been in Colorado, he'd have been safe.
3

1

2

1.3

2.2

2.1

.560

.540

52.8%

21.2%

73.9%

-0.6%

0.0%

The Dodgers couldn’t score much off the Giants despite Tim Lincecum’s horrific control. Two hundred million just doesn’t buy what it used to.
4

2

1

1.5

2.0

1.9

.572

.552

21.5%

20.8%

42.4%

3.3%

0.0%

With no outs and runners on first and second, down by one in the 12th and needing a double for the cycle, Gerardo Parra was called on to sacrifice bunt. Because fundamentals.
5

2

0

1.8

1.9

1.8

.717

.700

16.4%

14.2%

30.6%

0.0%

0.0%

Baseball's top offense this season is the Mets', with 19 runs scored. The last time the Mets had the top offense was a few minutes before you read this comment.
6

2

1

2.0

1.9

1.8

.564

.584

8.2%

12.7%

20.9%

-2.1%

0.0%

Jason Bay is hitting zero, but you knew that even if you didn’t know it.
7

2

0

2.0

1.8

1.7

.739

.723

47.3%

18.2%

65.6%

2.9%

0.0%

So far, the Nationals have not given up any runs. If they keep it they’ll finish the season without giving up any runs!
8

2

0

1.7

1.8

1.7

.685

.702

9.8%

10.6%

20.3%

2.3%

0.0%

Adam Dunn's season to date: seven plate appearances, two strikeouts, a walk, and a home run. Welcome back Baseball, we missed you!
9

2

0

1.6

1.7

1.7

.687

.703

20.1%

14.0%

34.1%

3.2%

0.0%

Welcome to the Terry Francona Era. It’ll be much like other eras of Indians baseball, just slightly more dignified.
10

2

0

1.7

1.7

1.6

.701

.717

23.6%

20.1%

43.6%

4.4%

0.0%

Jackie Bradley, Jr. has reached base five times in 10 plate appearances, not to mention a few excellent catches in left field. Sending him down to the minors is getting more difficult by the game.
11

2

0

1.7

1.5

1.5

.671

.653

23.2%

19.3%

42.6%

1.4%

0.0%

Justin Upton is such a loafer. Did you see him jog around the bases? Sure he'd just homered, but a little effort please!
12

1

1

1.1

1.4

1.4

.538

.558

2.4%

3.9%

6.3%

-2.0%

0.0%

The Orioles lost a one-run game to the Rays, marking the official start of opposite season.
13

1

1

1.1

1.4

1.4

.586

.606

45.1%

23.5%

68.6%

-0.2%

0.0%

If there's one thing that we baseball fans know, it’s that long-term contracts can’t be judged on small sample sizes. Unless it’s an expensive contract in which case BURN THE WITCH!
14

1

1

0.9

1.4

1.3

.484

.504

0.5%

0.8%

1.3%

0.2%

0.0%

A nice walk-off win for the Twins last night, but they’ve got a lot of things to improve on before they can get back to losing to the Yankees in the playoffs again.
15

1

1

1.2

1.2

1.3

.538

.518

9.8%

12.8%

22.5%

1.4%

0.0%

Nothing says "baseball" like 35-degree temperatures in Pittsburgh. If you can’t put a dome on the park, how about a down blanket?
16

1

2

1.0

1.1

1.2

.434

.453

10.0%

18.1%

28.0%

0.4%

0.0%

Last season, A’s hitters led baseball in strikeouts with 1,387. This year they’re nowhere near that number!
17

1

2

1.5

1.0

1.1

.442

.423

14.6%

14.7%

29.2%

-3.1%

0.0%

Manager Mike Matheny held closer Mitchell Boggs out of a close extra-innings game until the Cardinals got a lead in the 12th. So of course Boggs blew the lead. Because fundamentals.
18

2

1

1.7

0.8

0.9

.485

.465

20.4%

21.9%

42.2%

-1.1%

0.0%

Tim Lincecum walked seven in five innings. After the game, he was asked by a reporter how he felt. He tried four times to answer but couldn't. The reporter tossed his recorder aside and went to the buffet table.
19

1

2

0.9

0.7

0.8

.381

.362

7.5%

8.6%

16.1%

0.7%

0.0%

Logan Schafer has been called on to pinch hit in two consecutive games, and in both games he’s been called back without seeing a pitch. He's making $500,000 this season. Nice work if you can get it.
20

1

1

0.8

0.8

0.7

.446

.426

8.0%

8.6%

16.5%

-2.2%

0.0%

With five strikeouts and two runs in five innings, Edwin Jackson’s debut in Chicago sure increased his trade value.
21

1

1

1.1

0.6

0.7

.499

.519

64.8%

11.8%

76.7%

-2.2%

0.0%

The Tigers bullpen has blown a lead in half its games this season.
22

1

1

0.9

0.6

0.6

.477

.457

60.2%

13.7%

73.9%

-1.0%

0.0%

The Reds managed to beat the Angels 5-4 despite six total hits, and no player with more than one.
23

1

1

0.9

0.6

0.6

.461

.480

25.7%

19.4%

45.2%

0.2%

0.0%

MLB.com says “Rays Re-Joyce After Walk-Off.” Apparently they don’t care that puns take 15 minutes off your life.
24

0

2

0.3

0.5

0.5

.334

.316

12.1%

14.9%

27.0%

-1.9%

0.0%

If Roy Halladay’s five runs in 3 1/3 innings prove anything, it’s that spring training stats are never wrong.
25

0

2

0.3

0.3

0.4

.341

.359

36.9%

18.9%

55.8%

-3.8%

0.0%

Hiroki Kuroda tried to field a line drive with his bare hand and had to leave the game after 1 1/3 innings. Finally he’s a true Yankee.
26

0

2

0.4

0.3

0.3

.322

.340

11.4%

13.4%

24.8%

-2.3%

0.0%

How many losses in a row before the whole of Canada revolts against the bloated overhyped Blue Jays? I’m going with two.
27

0

2

0.3

0.2

0.3

.287

.303

4.8%

5.9%

10.6%

-2.3%

0.0%

Ervin Santana’s Royals debut was spoiled by Ervin Santana’s pitching.
28

0

2

0.0

0.2

0.3

.244

.229

0.9%

2.1%

3.0%

1.1%

0.0%

It's very early, but Giancarlo Stanton's strategy for not getting pitched around—hitting no homers—is off to a good start.
29

1

2

0.9

0.2

0.2

.294

.311

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

-0.1%

0.0%

Houston lost to Texas for the second day in a row, but since Houston is in Texas it’s kinda like they won. Your 2013 Astros: stay positive.
30

0

2

0.2

0.1

0.2

.264

.249

3.4%

5.4%

8.8%

-2.1%

0.0%

The Padres have given up 19 runs in two games. This marks the last time the Padres will lead the league in anything.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
anderson721

This feature is off to an awesome start. I expect 26 more weeks of excellent snark.

Apr 04, 2013 14:33 PM
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