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Prospectus Hit List for September 19



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 18 Hit List for September 20
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The Giants join the 100 percent club

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLF AHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

48

100

52.0

52.1

52.1

.345

.327

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros lost their 100th game. They have 14 to go so they can't catch the 119-loss 2003 Tigers. Better luck next year, guys!
2

58

90

61.4

57.7

58.0

.397

.378

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Cubs are such copycats. The Reds get a Chapman and he throws really hard so the Cubs have to get one too. Jaye Chapman's fastball averages 90 mph. Nice try, Cubs!
3

58

89

63.6

60.0

59.8

.411

.391

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Breaking News: the Rockies have been searching for a lost Dan O'Dowd since 2009, they just haven't been able to find him.
4

61

87

55.8

60.4

61.5

.403

.423

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

While on a hospital visit Monday, Manager Manny Acta met a sick kid. Asked what he wished for, the kid whispered, "Please Mr. Acta, use 10 pitchers in a game." Last night little Timmy got his wish. Get well soon, Timmy. Get well soon.
5

66

83

64.4

67.1

68.0

.446

.426

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

At first it was thought that Jose Reyes committed the 500,000th error in MLB history, but later it was learned that no, actually it was Reyes' 500,000th error.
6

61

87

62.2

64.6

64.4

.426

.446

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Twins have announced that they are going to build a new state-of-the-art stadium. "It's going to be a huge dome," said a spokesman. "So lots of people can come and enjoy Twins baseball in any weather." Asked what the new park will be called the spokesman replied, 'Well it'll be in the metro area and it'll be a dome, so I'm sure we'll come up with something.'
7

66

81

67.8

70.9

73.0

.472

.453

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It's not very sabermetric to say but sometimes it seems that whoever puts on a Mets jersey will have his career careen off into a sidewall, flip a tree and end up in a creek.
8

71

77

69.7

70.3

69.3

.474

.454

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It sounds strange to say, but the Padres actually have a few very good hitters. Not that you'd ever know it by looking at the stats they compiled in that opposite-of-steroids ballpark.
9

66

81

68.8

65.0

65.0

.450

.470

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If you rearrange the letters in "Hochevar" and add some others and subtract the unnecessary ones you can spell "Massive disappointment."
10

74

73

72.4

72.9

70.7

.493

.473

0.0%

1.7%

1.7%

-2.0%

-3.7%

Dear Yankees, Many thanks for A.J. He's been oh so helpful this season. If you could kindly ship Derek or CC over (while paying their salaries) well, we sure would appreciate it. Many thanks, Pittsburgh Pirates.
11

66

79

68.7

64.4

66.1

.457

.477

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Lowest ERA in the AL over the past four years, and over the past three years? You guessed it. Ol' 41-year-old Darren Oliver
12

74

74

73.3

76.1

75.7

.505

.485

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.3%

-1.4%

Ryan Howard has a .709 OPS but that's all right because he's only coming off major surgery and will be paid $20 million this year.
13

70

79

70.2

68.2

69.9

.467

.487

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

An 18-inning game on a Tuesday night by a non-contending team? You have to admire the Mariners' moxie, which, I think, is a soda. You have to admire the Mariners' soda.
14

76

71

75.4

74.0

74.1

.509

.489

0.1%

11.3%

11.4%

-2.5%

-7.1%

If the Dodgers are trying to start a reality show this is an odd way of going about doing it.
15

73

74

76.8

77.2

77.0

.517

.497

0.0%

1.8%

1.8%

0.2%

0.2%

The Diamondbacks are 11-15 since trading Stephen Drew. They're also 11-15 since a black cat used Kirk Gibson's mint dish as a litter box. After therefore because of, people.
16

75

72

78.3

78.5

75.7

.523

.503

0.0%

5.2%

5.2%

0.7%

3.6%

Yovani Gallardo's ERA by month, or Tales of a Bad Start: 6.08, 2.89, 3.98, 3.38, 2.02, 4.07.
17

68

81

72.8

75.4

75.7

.490

.510

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Now that the Red Sox are officially eliminated from the playoffs we can all say what we really think of them.
18

85

63

79.3

77.3

76.1

.537

.517

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

0.2%

0.8%

It's probably not true but sometimes there seems to be an element of Forrest Gump to the Giants. "Look, Jen-ayee, I found an ace. Oh, I found two! I'll just sit on this bench and what is this? A World Series ring?"
19

84

64

72.7

70.2

72.1

.505

.525

27.9%

49.6%

77.6%

4.4%

37.2%

An 18-inning game that the Orioles won by MORE than one run? Unpossible!
20

78

70

83.1

83.9

81.6

.552

.532

0.0%

79.5%

79.5%

3.6%

7.2%

Yadier Molina is hitting .322/.379/.505. This is a guy who hit .262/.329/.342 in 2010. Perhaps the most impressive turnaround in baseball during that time.
21

89

59

83.1

80.7

78.0

.559

.539

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Homer Bailey pitched a great game, but he was helped out by catcher Droppy Johnson and manager Nutso Jackson and was picked up by closer Balky Walk-Smith. With good teams, it's always a team effort.
22

85

64

83.7

82.4

82.6

.560

.540

2.2%

97.8%

100.0%

0.0%

0.5%

Oh stop worrying. As long as the Braves have Greg Maddux and Tommy Glavine they'll be fine. Wow am I tired.
23

78

69

78.6

80.6

80.9

.541

.561

18.1%

6.0%

24.2%

2.8%

-16.5%

Before we start a controversy, maybe we should ask if Miguel Cabrera even wants to be MVP. Maybe he prefers a bit of anonymity.
24

81

66

81.6

78.8

77.8

.543

.563

81.9%

1.1%

83.0%

0.8%

22.1%

Overheard in the White Sox front office: 'Alex Rios is quietly having one of the best years of his career (.297/.330/.517) so we'll trade him to the Dodgers some other time.'
25

84

63

81.4

78.3

79.2

.549

.569

10.5%

71.6%

82.1%

-7.6%

-3.7%

The A's are a game up in the Wild Card and only three back of Texas for the AL West division lead, but if I were Texas I wouldn't worry because Billy Beane hasn't ever won anything.
26

78

70

81.9

82.0

83.7

.550

.570

0.0%

4.0%

4.0%

-3.9%

-43.8%

The Rays offense may be, technically speaking, bad, but they're certainly efficient. How many runs do three singles equate to? For the Rays last night the answer was five.
27

81

67

82.1

84.2

85.6

.562

.582

1.5%

32.7%

34.2%

4.5%

-5.2%

We can talk about other non-Trout MVP candidates if you like, but just as long as you understand they won't win anything.
28

89

57

87.3

88.6

86.9

.602

.583

97.8%

2.2%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Waiting for the playoffs to start is an uncomfortable feeling for Washingtonians who are used to getting around to the playoffs after having eaten too much, knowing that their team couldn't be further from the middle of it all.
29

83

63

83.1

83.9

84.8

.573

.593

72.1%

23.2%

95.3%

-0.8%

10.1%

Andy Pettitte's return to the mound was so beautiful that, overcome by emotion, the Baseball Gods started crying. The game will be made up at a future date.
30

87

60

85.1

89.8

88.4

.596

.615

88.0%

11.8%

99.7%

-0.2%

-0.2%

The Rangers better have more talent because they're probably going to get out-coached again.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
Llarry

It's spelled M-O-X-I-E (or D-I-S-G-U-S-T-I-N-G. Your choice.)

Sep 19, 2012 11:01 AM
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+1

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BP staff member Matt Kory

Am I the worst speller in the history of humanity? Quite possible!

Sep 19, 2012 11:21 AM
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0

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BP staff member Matt Kory

I fixed it. Now nobody will ever believe you! Spell a word wrong? Me? Never!

Sep 19, 2012 11:25 AM
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+1

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Schere

"After therefore because of" sounds much better in Latin.

Sep 19, 2012 12:20 PM
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0

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