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Prospectus Hit List for September 5



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 4 Hit List for September 6
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Matt explores the self-destructive Yankees in relation to the self-destructive Red Sox.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff% 1-Day7-Day
1

76

59

65.5

63.1

64.6

.499

.519

16.2%

26.6%

42.8%

10.4%

17.7%

To rip off Vin Scully, the impossible has happened. It is September and the Orioles are in first place. This isn't the U.S. Ice Hockey team facing Russia in 1980, this is the Bad News Bears. Facing Russia in 1980. It's weird, I know.
2

74

62

78.6

78.8

76.6

.566

.546

1.1%

82.2%

83.3%

10.2%

6.1%

In 129 games in 2006, Yadier Molina hit .216/.274/.321. Today he's hitting .324/.375/.505. Dude should be a hitting coach for Halloween. Alright fine, a zombie hitting coach.
3

73

63

73.7

76.1

77.5

.552

.572

2.0%

34.4%

36.4%

8.0%

15.6%

Zack Greinke gave up one run in seven innings with four strikeouts. Clearly the man is terrified of the spotlight.
4

75

61

77.3

76.9

77.8

.564

.584

19.2%

43.9%

63.1%

7.0%

11.8%

The Rays offices have been deluged with flowers and Hallmark cards from Baltimore. See how a little friendly competition can bring people together?
5

71

64

68.9

68.6

67.0

.510

.490

0.0%

11.9%

11.9%

1.7%

-7.4%

Batting first and fourth respectively, rookie Brock Holt and not-rookie Andrew McCutchen had eight total hits in nine plate appearances. The rest of the Pirates lineup had two hits in 28 plate appearances. As you know though, none of this matters because the Pirates won anyway.
6

67

70

71.2

70.3

70.1

.508

.488

0.2%

0.3%

0.5%

0.3%

-0.5%

Aaron Hill: 5-for-5 with a walk, a double, and a homer. I know someone who won't have to drink out of the dirty water dish tonight.
7

66

69

69.8

69.5

66.6

.504

.484

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.2%

0.4%

Calling Shaun Marcum's performance workman-like might bring out the latent-racism cops, the cliché cops, and Joe Blanton's lawyers.
8

83

54

78.0

76.1

74.0

.568

.548

98.9%

1.1%

100.0%

0.0%

0.2%

Aroldis Chapman has 35 saves, 21 of which have featured more than one strikeout. I know it's Cincinnati, but I hope Chapman is at least shilling for a local Hyundai dealer or something.
9

60

75

62.1

59.5

61.3

.450

.470

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

With last night's 12-0 loss, the Blue Jays staked a claim to being the saddest team in the league. Sure, the Red Sox lost 20-2 this past weekend, but what have you incompetently mismanaged for me lately, right?
10

63

74

67.7

69.7

69.8

.493

.513

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

The umpires made a terrible mistake last night when they accidentally stopped the game against the Mariners with Boston in the lead. Surely an appeal is coming, and if so certainly Seattle will win it.
11

66

71

67.3

63.4

65.0

.478

.498

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Can the Seattle organization survive the ignominy of losing to the Boston Red Sox... in just nine innings? No! This could just be the impetus to trade Felix Hernandez.
12

63

74

62.6

63.8

62.8

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Three things you should know about Eric Stults: 1) He has 34 strikeouts in 69 2/3 innings this season, 2) his favorite color is off-mauve, and 3) the placement of that "L" is very very important.
13

65

71

65.7

68.1

68.5

.491

.471

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Kyle Kendrick started and the Phillies lost. Air, water, land, molecularly speaking all are as they should be.
14

64

72

64.5

67.9

69.1

.488

.468

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

His slugging percentage is .501 and his on-base percentage is .403. Yes, David Wright is just barely hanging on.
15

56

80

58.4

60.4

60.5

.433

.452

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Twins scored 18 runs off White Sox pitching last night yet A) they only scored in three of the nine frames, and B) only three of their 17 hits went for extra bases. Even when they score 18 runs the Twins offense is boring.
16

51

84

54.4

50.9

51.3

.384

.366

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Alfonso Soriano tripled and homered but couldn't double or single. If he had, the Cubs would still have lost but at least I could have written something nice about them first.
17

60

76

57.0

58.7

59.3

.432

.412

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Will the Marlins ever win another game? Will anyone notice if they do?
18

58

78

52.2

57.2

58.0

.414

.434

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Of the 22 batters Justin Masterson faced, 11 hit the ball on the ground. When you consider the four strikeouts and two walks, Masterson got 11 of 16 hitters to hit the ball on the ground.
19

56

78

58.6

55.8

55.7

.422

.402

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Scientific polls tell us that at this very moment over two-thirds of the people in the state of Colorado are wishing they still had Marco Scutaro.
20

83

52

80.9

82.6

81.0

.607

.587

98.6%

1.4%

100.0%

0.0%

0.7%

How did the Nationals score only 11 runs on a night they homered six times? Ah ha! The sheer magic of the solo home run!
21

42

94

47.1

47.4

47.7

.339

.321

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Houston left 14 runners on base, one fewer than the Pirates. Reusing unused runners: the next frontier in baseball analysis
22

61

74

61.9

59.5

59.3

.447

.467

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jeremy Guthrie had a 6.35 ERA with Colorado. They cut him so of course now he has a 3.70 ERA with Kansas City.
23

77

59

72.5

71.7

70.7

.536

.516

90.7%

3.3%

94.0%

-0.4%

6.2%

Could Marco Scutaro be this year's Cody Ross? Film at 11!
24

80

55

79.3

83.3

82.6

.602

.621

92.6%

6.4%

99.0%

-0.8%

-1.0%

When you are the best team in the league you either shut someone down or you anoint him or her. Yesterday the Rangers accidentally anointed Jeremy Guthrie.
25

73

62

73.5

69.9

69.3

.529

.549

57.9%

4.2%

62.1%

-2.8%

-20.4%

Adam Dunn doubled, which I'm pretty sure voids his contract.
26

76

60

76.3

75.0

74.8

.555

.536

1.4%

89.3%

90.7%

-3.7%

-2.5%

The Braves had runners on base in seven of nine innings but didn't score.
27

76

59

76.2

77.0

78.0

.569

.588

64.6%

23.1%

87.7%

-4.7%

-11.6%

The average baseball fan has not only been treated to the Death Star-like self destruction of the Boston Red Sox, but also the tortoise-to-the-Red-Sox-hare, the Yankees, whose destruction has been like turning on one of those compact fluorescent light bulbs. It's coming, you just have to wait a while for it to get here.
28

72

63

71.3

73.5

74.0

.539

.558

42.1%

7.8%

49.9%

-5.6%

-18.8%

Another day, another loss to the Indians. Detroit is 5-9 against Cleveland this season, its worst record against any opponent.
29

73

64

71.4

70.0

69.6

.518

.498

9.1%

10.1%

19.2%

-8.3%

-3.2%

I know it's the National League and all but still, it's funny to see Adam Kennedy used as a pinch-hitter. It’s like using a carrot for a weapon.
30

76

59

75.9

73.0

73.6

.553

.573

5.4%

53.6%

59.0%

-11.5%

7.0%

Coco Crisp went 0-for-4! I repeat: Coco Crisp went 0-for-4! Prepare appropriate precautionary actions!

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
TGisriel

When the Orioles traded Guthrie to Colorado, I thought he was doomed. A league average pitcher with strong flyball tendencies.

Sep 05, 2012 13:29 PM
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stevebro

Love the Adam Kennedy comment. :)

Sep 06, 2012 08:45 AM
up_image

+1

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BP staff member Matt Kory

Thanks!

Sep 06, 2012 16:11 PM
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0

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