Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for August 17



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 16 Hit List for August 20
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Matt finds evidence the Rangers are good and the Astros are bad.

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

73

45

70.8

71.6

69.9

.604

.585

81.9%

17.8%

99.7%

0.1%

0.9%

After shutting down Stephen Strasburg the Nationals will start him right back up again. "Never said I wouldn't," sing-songed Mike Rizzo.
2

64

54

70.4

71.1

68.8

.581

.562

6.3%

55.7%

62.0%

-10.5%

-2.1%

Kyle Lohse has a 2.81 ERA, causing a good quarter of the American public to look elsewhere for joke material.
3

70

48

69.6

69.9

70.8

.594

.613

96.7%

3.1%

99.8%

0.1%

0.5%

Derek Jeter has nine homers, 24 doubles, and 126 singles. Guess which he likes best!
4

69

49

69.0

66.9

66.7

.575

.556

18.1%

74.9%

93.0%

1.0%

11.0%

Not sure what's more impressive, that Chipper Jones hit two homers, one of which was his 2,700th career hit, or that fans were there to cheer for those things.
5

71

47

67.5

65.9

64.7

.570

.550

90.9%

8.0%

98.9%

-0.4%

8.2%

The Reds are 46-7 when Aroldis Chapman takes the mound this season. Impressive, and yet it's those seven that will keep me up at night.
6

65

52

66.3

63.6

63.6

.552

.572

68.3%

22.5%

90.8%

4.0%

9.4%

They say that after a while people start to take on the personalities of those around them. Today the White Sox hit five homers and struck out seven times. They're turning into Adam Dunn!
7

68

49

66.1

69.5

69.3

.583

.602

94.9%

4.3%

99.2%

0.5%

-0.4%

In an unfortunate incident, a man took a swing at Josh Hamilton. Hamiton ducked, swung at the man's knees and knocked his head clean off.
8

64

54

64.7

63.2

64.1

.542

.562

2.6%

54.4%

57.0%

7.1%

21.6%

At least the Rays managed a few baserunners today. Baby steps.
9

62

57

63.4

65.9

66.5

.542

.561

4.4%

41.4%

45.8%

-13.3%

-23.1%

Dan Haren has given up homers in 10 consecutive starts.
10

58

61

63.1

65.3

65.6

.529

.549

0.1%

3.5%

3.6%

0.7%

-3.3%

Clay Buchholz's perfect inning (three consecutive three-pitch strikeouts) was an odd interlude in a season that is falling apart like Bobby Valentine’s heart monitor.
11

65

54

63.1

61.3

60.5

.525

.505

41.6%

6.3%

47.9%

-5.8%

21.0%

A list of people/things the umpires at last night's Dodgers game should have ejected: 1) the price of beer, 2) any announcer whose name doesn't rhyme with Vin Scully, 3) themselves.
12

59

59

62.4

63.2

62.7

.524

.504

12.7%

1.8%

14.5%

4.7%

-7.0%

Sure they won last night, but what have the Diamondbacks ever given you?
13

64

54

61.8

62.0

61.1

.527

.507

45.7%

7.2%

52.9%

1.8%

-8.9%

By OPS and runs scored the Giants are just below middle-of-the-pack offensively.
14

63

55

61.6

63.4

64.6

.535

.555

31.7%

44.1%

75.8%

0.8%

4.3%

So far the lessons of the Prince Fielder contract are 1) $214 million can solve a lot of problems in the AL Central, and 2) $214 million can create a lot of problems anywhere.
15

62

55

61.4

58.2

59.0

.514

.534

0.7%

18.1%

18.8%

5.0%

-7.9%

One of these days, Chris Carter. One of these days your B-Ref page will be Google's first B-Ref page for Chris Carter.
16

65

53

61.0

60.2

58.6

.518

.498

2.8%

28.2%

31.0%

9.1%

-22.7%

Can the Pirates play with the big boys? That depends on who the big boys are. If it's the Dodgers then yes. If it's Ethan and Jacob in playgroup then they can't play with their Lighting McQueen toys, no.
17

55

64

58.5

55.5

56.6

.474

.494

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

-0.1%

Of all the days to have off, this one was nice. Also, more time to print t-shirts!
18

53

64

57.5

57.3

55.7

.478

.458

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Brewers record by month: under .500 by one game, under .500 by four games, under .500 by two games, under .500 by two games.
19

55

63

57.4

55.9

56.8

.477

.497

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.3%

According to a headline, Jose Bautista is close to being activated. I wasn't aware he had been deactivated.
20

56

62

56.1

58.2

59.9

.488

.468

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.4%

It used to be if Jason Bay homered against you it was like being bested in a fair fight. Now it's like getting knocked out and then someone stands over you and spits in your open eye.
21

54

64

54.5

57.6

57.3

.473

.453

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Cliff Lee struck out 12, walked no one, and lost. Is this one of those sitcom re-runs that I keep seeing every time I turn on the television at odd times?
22

64

54

54.3

51.4

52.8

.471

.491

0.6%

8.5%

9.1%

-4.6%

-0.6%

Mark Reynolds stats against Boston this season are rivaled only by his stats against Seattle. Except, no. Turns out Reynolds’ OPS against the Mariners is about the same as his slugging percentage against the Red Sox.
23

51

66

52.8

51.0

50.9

.440

.460

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Kansas City pitching struck out nine of the final 15 A's batters in the game. Only one hitter put the ball in play and made an out after Coco Crisp's homer in the sixth inning.
24

52

68

52.3

53.3

52.0

.437

.417

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The player with the highest batting average in the Padres starting lineup last night? Jason Marquis, professional pitcher.
25

50

67

50.2

52.0

52.2

.437

.457

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Twins have made more outs on the ground than any team in baseball. That's by design of course. Twins baseball: perfecting the weak groundout since 1990-ish.
26

53

66

49.1

49.7

50.6

.425

.406

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The box score shows Giancarlo Stanton and Carlos Lee both homering, but they couldn’t have been more different. Stanton's was a shot that would have pierced the hull of a battleship. Lee's was hit higher than it was far, falling just over the outfield wall.
27

46

70

48.1

45.3

45.7

.399

.380

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Cubs have a losing record at home, on the road, in one-run games, in extra-inning games, against every division in baseball, against right-handed pitchers, and against left-handed pitchers. They have yet to face an ambidextrous pitcher.
28

54

64

47.9

52.8

53.4

.441

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

According to Manny Acta, the Indians know they won't win this season. Acta's plan calls for playing young guys, replacing the Indians flag with a white flag, and putting a giant bag over the head of Chief Wahoo. Asked about the last point he said, "Oh that's separate. I hate that offensive little thing."
29

45

71

47.5

45.9

46.2

.398

.379

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If putting the baseball in a humidor before games isn't working, why don't they try hot-boxing it?
30

39

80

43.7

43.1

42.8

.354

.336

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

One good stat: the Astros pitchers lead the majors in strikeouts. No, wait, that's for hitters. Never mind.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
ahemmer

In honor of Carlos Lee's homerun, I present his homerun totals by season:

16, 24, 24, 26, 31, 31, 32, 37, 32, 28, 26, 24, 18, 7

A consistent rise, and consistent fall. The perfect career arc?

Aug 17, 2012 08:55 AM
up_image

+4

down_image
 
stevebro

Wow, no noise at all in that data set, huh?

Aug 17, 2012 13:35 PM
up_image

0

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
What You Need to Know:... (08/17)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (08/16)
Next Column >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (08/20)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Collateral Damage Dail... (08/17)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Trading Ryan Howard For No...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: July 30, 2014
Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: Who We're Selling at the D...
Eyewitness Accounts: July 30, 2014
Premium Article Scouting the Draft: The Cape League All-Star...
The Lineup Card: Nine Last-Minute Trades
Premium Article Moonshot: Separating the Phenoms Who'll Make...

MORE FROM AUGUST 17, 2012 10:08 AM
Premium Article Raising Aces: Draft Day Deliveries, Part Thr...
Premium Article The Process: Resetting the Astros Roster
Fantasy Article Weekly Planner: Week 21
Fantasy Article Value Picks: Outfielders for 8/17/12
Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Friday, August 17
What You Need to Know: Friday, August 17
The BP Wayback Machine: Setting the Stage fo...

MORE BY MATTHEW KORY
2012-08-21 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, August 21
2012-08-20 - Premium Article Out of Left Field: Bobby Valentine's Communi...
2012-08-20 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, August 20
2012-08-17 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, August 17
2012-08-16 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, August 16
2012-08-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, August 1...
2012-08-14 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, August 14
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2012-08-22 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, August 2...
2012-08-21 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, August 21
2012-08-20 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, August 20
2012-08-17 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, August 17
2012-08-16 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, August 16
2012-08-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, August 1...
2012-08-14 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, August 14
More...