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Prospectus Hit List for August 13



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 10 Hit List for August 14
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

There were 45 games played this weekend and Matt watched every single one.

RkTmW LW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

71

44

68.4

69.5

67.7

.601

.582

83.7%

15.4%

99.1%

-0.3%

4.5%

As a 19-year-old Alex Rodriguez hit .232/.264/.408. As a 19-year-old now Bryce Harper is hitting .249/.328/.406. Conclusion: Bryce Harper is better than Alex Rodriguez.
2

69

46

65.5

63.0

61.9

.564

.544

79.4%

16.8%

96.2%

0.1%

-0.1%

Aroldis Chapman gave up a single in one inning of work. What is up with THAT?!
3

67

46

64.7

68.4

68.0

.593

.612

96.7%

3.2%

99.9%

1.1%

0.6%

No matter how good Yu Darvish is, we'll all ultimately suffer at the hands of the media's Yu puns. Rest assured, yu won't catch me doing that!
4

67

47

67.0

66.9

67.6

.589

.608

93.0%

6.2%

99.2%

0.0%

0.0%

CC Sabathia is on the disabled list. This leaves the Yankees with a rotation of Hiroki Kuroda, Ed Whitson, Carrot Top, and Barney the Dinosaur.
5

66

48

65.4

63.7

63.7

.567

.548

16.3%

73.1%

89.4%

-2.1%

13.5%

Fredi GonzŠlez has found himself quoting the great philosopher Bobby Cox who said, "If you're tired, go to bed."
6

64

50

60.6

59.3

57.5

.530

.510

9.4%

39.4%

48.8%

9.7%

-3.9%

Clint Barmes hit a grand slam. Is there any more you need to hear to convince you the baseball gods are smiling upon Pittsburgh?
7

62

51

63.3

61.1

61.2

.548

.568

54.9%

27.2%

82.1%

3.9%

-7.4%

Considering how his reliever-to-starter brethren have done this year, Chris Sale might be the last pitcher to ever switch roles.
8

62

52

61.7

60.5

61.4

.539

.558

6.3%

46.0%

52.3%

4.2%

34.5%

After the success of employing shifts on defense, the Rays are going to implement shifts on offense. Shifting all batters to third base makes scoring runs so much easier!
9

63

52

61.3

61.2

60.1

.534

.514

66.0%

2.7%

68.7%

-1.3%

16.2%

On one hand being a San Francisco Giant means you get to live in San Francisco, one of the greatest countries on the planet. On the other thereís nobody else there because San Franciscoís real estate prices ensure you canít live there if you arenít a professional baseball player.
10

61

53

60.2

57.2

58.1

.519

.539

0.7%

20.7%

21.4%

-4.7%

-0.3%

Josh Reddick is hitting .184/.226/.367 this August. The presence of Andrew Bailey pitching in the minor leagues is obviously disturbing him.
11

62

53

59.5

58.0

57.4

.515

.495

23.6%

5.0%

28.6%

1.9%

-11.4%

Hanley Ramirez's OPS in Miami was .749. His OPS in Los Angeles is .769. If he gets traded five more time before the end of the year he'll be a great hitter again.
12

62

53

52.3

50.2

51.5

.470

.490

0.3%

7.8%

8.1%

0.8%

2.7%

Twenty-year-old Manny Machado is hitting .375/.375/1.125. Sure it's four games but that's a 1.125 slugging percentage. For a 20-year-old!
13

62

53

68.0

68.8

66.3

.576

.557

11.2%

44.9%

56.1%

-9.9%

-7.2%

You could make the case that this Cardinals team is better than either last year's Championship club or the 2006 Champs.
14

61

54

59.9

61.6

63.0

.533

.553

45.0%

27.5%

72.5%

-0.5%

-5.1%

If the Tigers donít win the World Series this year, are we going to hear more rationalizations after Detroit gives $200 million to Josh Hamilton?
15

60

55

61.8

63.8

64.6

.544

.564

2.6%

55.0%

57.6%

-6.4%

-20.1%

Mike Trout is doing everything. A .994 OPS, 21 homers, and a he's 36-for-39 in stolen bases. Only two things spot his record: 1) he's always giving away spoilers and 2) he keeps begging for a RT. Still, he's only 20. He'll learn about the spoilers thing.
16

58

57

61.7

62.4

61.8

.530

.510

10.4%

2.5%

12.9%

2.0%

-10.5%

Patrick Corbin, who Iím sure is not related to Corbin Bernsen or former Vice Presidential candidate Lloyd Benson, or for that matter Christopher Lloyd, started and pitched well.
17

57

59

62.1

63.5

63.9

.531

.551

0.4%

6.3%

6.7%

1.8%

-3.1%

Carl Crawford after nine games when he needed Tommy John surgery: .219/.265/.219. Carl Crawford now when he still needs Tommy John surgery: .313/.306/.646. Time for some people to remember they aren't doctors, not even on TV.
18

54

60

56.3

54.4

55.1

.482

.502

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-1.1%

Rajai Davis ran to the wall, paused, then ran up the wall, jumped, and caught what would have been a home run. The catch was spectacular, but it was the pause that got me.
19

55

60

55.0

58.1

59.3

.494

.474

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-1.2%

Almost forgot to write one for the Mets. Theyíre my much younger brother who, when Iím not looking, which is most of the time, pees on things at the mall.
20

52

61

55.8

55.9

54.4

.482

.463

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

0.0%

Can you really call shutting down the Astros to the tune of three runs over 7 1/3 innings shutting them down? Can anyone even shut down the Astros, relatively speaking?
21

52

62

53.0

55.4

55.3

.473

.453

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

Juan Pierre screaming and yelling after the Phillies walk-off win just looks so strange. It's like your lab puppy taking a break from rolling around being cute to hit a game-winning infield single and then run around screaming and yelling.
22

53

62

46.6

51.9

52.4

.443

.463

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.3%

In third place in the AL Central, Cleveland is 3 1/2 games ahead of Kansas City and Minnesota. They have also been outscored by over 100 runs, the most in the American League.
23

53

63

57.1

54.0

55.2

.473

.493

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.3%

Now that is what Mariner fans were waiting for. Jesus Montero hit two homers off Angels ace Jered Weaver. They were part of just five hits collected on the day, the only other extra-base hit being an accidental (I assume) triple by Chone Figgins.
24

52

63

47.1

48.0

49.1

.427

.407

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Carlos Lee is on the Marlins. I'd look for a reason behind that, but this is the Marlins.
25

51

65

52.0

52.5

50.9

.445

.425

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

0.0%

Huston Street is now on the disabled list. How will the 51-65 Padres continue to win two out of every five games?!?
26

49

65

51.1

49.2

49.2

.435

.455

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Last year Alex Gordon hit .303. This year he's hitting .294. Last year Alex Gordon had a .376 on-base percentage. This year it's .371. The difference between Alex Gordonís 2011 and 2012 is 50 points of slugging percentage. Better check under the couch.
27

49

65

48.9

50.8

50.9

.438

.458

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Since the start of May the Twins are only five games below .500. Sure, in April they were 10 under, but baby steps, people, baby steps.
28

44

69

46.4

43.0

43.7

.392

.373

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Cubs started a pitcher named Raley. If only the Reds had started Homer, the game would still be going on.
29

41

71

44.8

43.3

43.9

.386

.367

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Rockies give up 5.8 runs a game on average. The Rockies turn every team they face into the 1998 Yankees.
30

38

78

42.4

42.3

42.2

.355

.337

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It's just a matter of time before the entire Astros team decides to start skipping games and head to Chuck E. Cheese's. Don't lose Altuve in the ball room!

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
Hendo

True pun fans await a World Series in which San Francisco faces Texas. The added Vogelsong puns will be enough to drive Yu crazy.

Aug 13, 2012 06:52 AM
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osodani

Are the Nats the first team to hit 100% playoff percentage?! That makes me very happy indeed.

Aug 13, 2012 07:29 AM
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BP staff member SamMiller

Rangers hit 100% in APRIL!!!

Aug 13, 2012 18:10 PM
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Bob Stocking

I believe the VP candidate's name was Bentsen. He gave us the greatest line in VP debate history (not that there's much competition), telling Dan Quayle, "I knew Jack Kennedy and you, sir, are no Jack Kennedy."

Aug 14, 2012 21:50 PM
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