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Prospectus Hit List for August 6



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 3 Hit List for August 7
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

A fascinating observation about the Padres!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div% Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

58

51

59.7

61.3

62.2

.553

.573

11.3%

66.7%

78.0%

-0.5%

-1.3%

Albert Pujols is hitting .289/.352/.535. Is everything in southern California weighed down? OK. Angels fans can now exhale.
2

59

49

65.4

65.6

63.2

.586

.567

11.7%

51.7%

63.4%

-0.8%

4.0%

Unless their shortstop is going to do backflips out to his position the Cardinals should retire those awful '80s throwback jerseys. And Rafael Furcal would probably break his neck anyway.
3

62

46

60.6

59.5

59.6

.560

.540

28.3%

48.0%

76.3%

-1.8%

2.3%

Since June, Dan Uggla has hit .150. But if you include water coolers and Gatorade bottles, he's up to .185.
4

61

46

57.6

56.1

54.3

.535

.515

9.0%

44.4%

53.4%

8.2%

1.2%

Last season A.J. Burnett posted a 5.19 ERA with the Yankees. With the Pirates this season his ERA is 3.15. Burnett is making the difference in leagues look like the comedic difference between 'Monty Python' and 'Suddenly Susan.'
5

58

50

56.5

58.0

58.9

.536

.556

33.1%

44.3%

77.4%

7.9%

15.7%

How can a pitcher make a hitter miss badly on one pitch and then give up a hard hit ball on the very next pitch? And then do it over and over again? I don't know, but ask Max Scherzer.
6

65

43

63.3

64.2

62.7

.591

.571

71.7%

23.0%

94.7%

1.1%

0.4%

Stephen Strasburg has given up five or more runs in a start once this season. It's becoming clear that Strasburg just doesn't have many runs to give.
7

59

48

60.2

58.2

58.7

.552

.571

66.8%

22.3%

89.1%

3.3%

3.9%

Francisco Liriano has 12 strikeouts in 11 innings since joining the White Sox. Twins fans would throw an ex-Twin Success party, but their calendars are already full.
8

58

50

57.3

54.3

55.0

.520

.540

1.0%

20.6%

21.6%

-6.4%

-7.4%

Would be fun to make a joke about the youth of the A's rotation, but 1) they're not actually paid in lollipops, and 2) even if they were it would be against child labor laws so I couldn't say so here.
9

66

42

62.1

58.4

57.7

.565

.546

79.3%

16.7%

96.0%

-2.3%

-0.1%

Reds pitchers have hit more homers than any other team's pitchers this year. They've hit three. CoughDHcough
10

56

52

56.2

54.6

55.7

.515

.535

1.2%

16.3%

17.5%

-8.0%

-3.3%

Carlos Pena is like Adam Dunn except without all those pesky home runs.
11

63

44

61.8

65.8

65.2

.597

.617

87.7%

11.7%

99.4%

0.3%

0.7%

It's good super-prospect Mike Olt is up, because the Rangers problem this season is a lack of talent.
12

54

55

57.4

59.0

59.3

.527

.547

1.3%

8.9%

10.2%

1.6%

-6.9%

In three batters (homer, walk, homer) Vicente Padilla turned his season's worth of work from 10 percent above average to 10 percent below average.
13

59

49

56.1

56.1

55.1

.524

.504

45.7%

6.2%

51.9%

2.9%

-6.6%

When asked what she perceives to be Tim Lincecum's problem this season, my 87-year-old German neighbor said, 'Get a haircut!'
14

57

51

47.9

46.0

47.7

.460

.480

0.4%

5.3%

5.7%

1.1%

2.4%

The Orioles were locked in a 0-0 tie through nine innings when a time portal opened and Taylor Teagarden stepped out of 2008 and doubled, winning the game for Baltimore, sang a verse of Beyonce's "Single Ladies," stepped back through the portal, and was gone.
15

59

50

56.3

53.9

53.8

.512

.492

34.7%

5.2%

39.9%

0.3%

-9.3%

Adding Joe Blanton to your rotation is much like buying a new button for your suit jacket. Sure, you kinda had to do it, and it serves a function, but nobody is really going to notice.
16

55

53

58.5

59.3

58.3

.535

.515

19.6%

3.5%

23.1%

-5.9%

9.6%

Arizona leads the National League in balks with eight. This justifies its slogan for the season, which is 2012 Diamondbacks: It's Time (to lead the league in balks).
17

63

44

63.1

63.0

63.5

.590

.609

97.1%

2.1%

99.2%

1.1%

0.2%

In 12 games with the Yankees, Ichiro has 12 hits, one in each game. That's on purpose, right?
18

53

56

54.0

56.1

57.2

.505

.485

0.0%

1.3%

1.3%

-1.3%

-1.3%

Jason Bay is at .154/.248/.285 which really isn't anywhere.
19

53

55

54.9

53.5

54.0

.499

.519

0.0%

0.9%

0.9%

0.0%

-0.8%

Before he went down, Jose Bautista had a .534 slugging percentage. Replacement Anthony Gose has a .566 OPS.
20

50

58

44.9

49.3

49.8

.449

.469

0.0%

0.5%

0.5%

-0.5%

-3.6%

Indians pitchers lead baseball with a .571 OPS. Indians left fielders have a .644 OPS. Those are close. This may or may not have something to do with the Indians losing nine in a row.
21

51

59

54.7

51.6

52.6

.477

.497

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.0%

0.3%

When Felix Hernandez pitches the Mariners are 13-10. With anyone else on the mound they are 38-49.
22

46

64

48.2

48.9

47.5

.433

.414

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

After intense video sessions, it has been determined that the reason the San Diego Friar hasn't hit anything since 1980 is that he's using a beaver tail instead of a bat.
23

49

59

50.9

53.0

52.6

.476

.456

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

Damning Company: The Phillies are 12 1/2 games out of the Wild Card. So are the Royals.
24

43

63

44.2

41.8

42.6

.405

.386

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

We promise to stop talking about Anthony Rizzo in this space when anyone else on the Cubs gives us a reason to. So, Anthony Rizzo for the next few years it is!
25

47

61

46.1

48.5

48.6

.440

.460

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

In 385 plate appearances this season Jamey Carroll has no home runs. Same result over the past two seasons (924 plate appearances). Carroll's last homer came almost three years ago, on Aug. 9, 2009.
26

49

60

43.5

46.1

46.9

.425

.406

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

How many religious, cultural, or ethnic groups would Ozzie Guillen have to offend for the Marlins to overcome their current 13-game playoff deficit? Sadly there aren't enough in the greater Miami area. (Doesn't mean he can't try though.)
27

45

62

47.2

45.2

45.5

.427

.447

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

After Sunday's game, the Royals cut Yuniesky Betancourt. So his 0-for-4 stands as his last game as a Royal until he re-signs in the offseason.
28

36

73

39.8

39.6

39.2

.355

.337

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

To be fair, the Astros have just two fewer wins than the Rockies.
29

38

68

42.3

40.9

41.3

.383

.365

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Sure the Rockies might be bad, but with an average of 10.6 total runs scored at a Rockies game, the most in baseball, they're at least interestingly bad.
30

48

59

52.2

52.8

51.6

.478

.458

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.3%

-0.1%

Don't look now, Mets and Twins fans, but Carlos Gomez is hitting .258/.312/.472. (In fact, it's probably better if Mets and Twins fans just keep their eyes closed in general.)

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


6 comments have been left for this article.
Shaun P.

Was the comment by your 87-year-old German neighbor directed at Lincecum, or at you? ;)

Aug 06, 2012 10:32 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Both. And actually, I did just get a haircut. Now I'm all respectable-like.

Aug 06, 2012 12:20 PM
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Schere

Teagarden only doubled home the GW run. But please don't change anything else about that comment.

Aug 06, 2012 12:45 PM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Fixed. Thanks! (Sounds better with a homer though.)

Aug 06, 2012 13:35 PM
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drawbb

Suddenly Susan must've been very, very funny indeed...

Aug 07, 2012 14:17 PM
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0

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BP staff member Matt Kory

Nope.

Aug 07, 2012 16:00 PM
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0

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