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Prospectus Hit List for July 16



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 9 Hit List for July 17
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The one seemingly foolproof variable that somehow hasn't helped the Cardinals.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC% Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

49

40

49.2

51.1

51.3

.563

.583

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Maicer Izturis' homer, his first since July 29th of last season, brings his slugging percentage up to .286, which is a fine slugging percentage if you aren't wearing your reading glasses.
2

36

52

33.9

36.5

37.1

.408

.427

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There is no shame in being swept by the A's. Well, at least, there is less shame than there normally would be. OK, there's probably still a fair amount of shame. Move along.
3

54

34

50.8

51.0

51.6

.589

.609

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Yankees haven't been shut out since May 21, a span of 46 games. In 36 of those games the Yankees scored between three and seven runs. That's information, right there.
4

46

43

45.8

46.2

46.7

.519

.499

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

David Wright and Lucas Duda have combined for 31 percent of the Mets' walks this season.
5

46

43

46.5

43.9

44.2

.507

.527

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The A's offense versus the Twins pitching and defense was the proverbial stoppable force versus the moveable object. The A's hit four homers so the object moved.
6

39

51

42.3

44.0

43.0

.468

.448

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It's hard to believe Carlos Ruiz is hitting only .353/.412/.595 considering he gets at least two hits every single game.
7

49

39

47.2

45.2

44.8

.529

.509

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Andrew McCutchen leads all of baseball with a 1.074 OPS. Without him, the Pirates as a team have an OPS of .660.
8

36

54

36.9

37.5

36.4

.408

.389

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Padres have a 1.000 winning percentage when the other team commits five errors leading to six unearned runs.
9

37

53

42.0

39.4

40.3

.441

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Yes, Chone Figgins is hitting .185/.253/.274, but yesterday he attempted to break up a double play by grabbing the shortstop's ankle and yanking it. Apparently no crime is worse than being boring.
10

49

40

44.3

46.1

46.0

.521

.501

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Two Giants Facts: 1) After completing a sweep of Houston the Giants are in first place in the National League West, and 2) They've been outscored on the season. This season may yet be Brian Sabean's crowning achievement.
11

46

43

51.2

51.5

49.9

.558

.538

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Cardinals are 46-43 when they're the best team on the field.
12

46

43

44.5

41.5

43.1

.492

.512

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Joe Maddon may want to employ one of his famous shifts and shift James Shields somewhere he can pitch, because lately he can't pitch.
13

54

35

52.3

56.0

54.5

.609

.628

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Two seasons ago Matt Harrison was a reliever with a 4.71 ERA. Now he's a starter with a 2.87 ERA. Well, sure. That makes sense.
14

45

44

47.1

44.2

45.1

.510

.530

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Blue Jays have been caught stealing 26 times this season, eight of which have come from Brett Lawrie. Brett Lawrie is the kind of guy who doesn't notice the mirror over the beer fridge in the back of the convenience store.
15

42

46

43.5

43.7

41.9

.486

.466

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Despite their mediocre record overall, the Brewers are tied for the lead in winning percentage in games in which they allow zero runs.
16

42

46

37.1

39.8

40.1

.452

.432

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Things Ozzie Guillen dislikes more than the pine tar on Bryce Harper's bat: 1) People who don't use coasters. 2) Littering. 3) Howler monkeys.
17

42

46

43.8

45.4

44.8

.500

.480

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

After hitting five homers in the first 10 games of the season, Chris Young has hit four in the subsequent 42 games in which he has played (and the 78 that the Diamondbacks have played).
18

49

39

48.4

47.8

48.2

.550

.530

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It's strange when a major leaguer has the same name as another major leaguer. Like, for example, there is this guy the Braves just started yesterday named Ben Sheets. Weird huh?
19

46

42

39.4

37.9

39.6

.463

.483

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

J.J. Hardy is hitting .218/.255/.376, bringing up the question: Is he aware he's no longer playing for the Twins?
20

45

44

49.2

50.6

50.0

.547

.567

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Kevin Youkilis is hitting .295/.397/.475 for the White Sox, who come to Boston today. His replacement, Brent Lillibridge, is hitting well enough that I routinely call him "Brett" and nobody bothers to correct me.
21

49

39

50.5

50.0

50.3

.568

.587

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Adam Dunn has now had 11 games this season in which he has done nothing but homer, walk or strike out.
22

36

52

37.7

35.8

36.2

.414

.394

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Cubs are 27-34 against right-handers and 9-18 against left-handers. They're not just bad, they're versatile.
23

50

38

49.4

47.5

47.5

.552

.532

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Aroldis Chapman pitched an inning in three straight games, striking out eight and walking none. Forget moving him to the rotation, let's see if he can play shortstop!
24

45

43

40.7

45.3

46.2

.503

.523

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

How is Johnny Damon's season going? The two videos on his MLB player page feature him scoring from third on a bad pickoff, and throwing out a runner from left field at second base who stumbled coming around first.
25

34

54

37.6

34.6

34.2

.399

.380

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Rockies have given up the most runs in baseball, by a margin of 29 over the Twins. At least they're good at something, right?
26

46

43

45.9

46.6

47.1

.521

.541

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Justin Verlander is to pitching what my three-year-old is to pooping. He didn't make up the medium, but he's helped perfect it.
27

33

56

36.2

34.2

33.9

.386

.367

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It is now mid-July and the Astros have yet to win an extra-inning game. But hey, Jose Altuve is really short.
28

38

49

39.2

37.8

38.6

.442

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Royals fans can comfort themselves in the knowledge that their team is one of only three American League clubs under .500. That's select company right there!
29

48

42

45.6

45.5

44.7

.510

.490

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

How many errors can a team commit before the league starts to investigate charges of impropriety? Asking for a friend.
30

51

35

50.6

51.3

50.0

.590

.570

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Many things have gone right for the Nationals this season, but one which hasn't is the play of Ryan Zimmerman, hitting a weak .250/.313/.401. This is made slightly worse by the fact that Zimmerman's $100 million extension begins in two seasons.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
R.A.Wagman

Took me a moment to get the Lawrie joke, but....yes. Just yes.

Jul 16, 2012 08:51 AM
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