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Prospectus Hit List for July 5

by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 3 Hit List for July 6
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Rk	Tm	W	L	W1	W2	W3	HLF	AHLF	Win Div%	Win WC%	Playoff%	1-Day	7-Day
1		45	36	42.6	39.8	39.3	.514	.494	15.4%	19.7%	35.0%	12.2%	23.6%
		The Pirates have passed the Cubs, the Padres, and, shockingly, the Dodgers in runs scored. This is like getting passed in a foot race by a one-legged clown who wasn't even in the race but was trying to get to the finish line to make balloon animals.
2		44	38	43.6	44.0	44.6	.537	.517	17.3%	22.0%	39.4%	-2.4%	20.9%
		Right now, a half-game out of a playoff spot, the Mets are looking to add. But if things turn sour this month, might they consider moving David Wright? No, I don't think so either.
3		42	39	37.8	40.9	41.8	.501	.521	21.3%	15.4%	36.6%	5.1%	20.5%
		Derek Lowe threw six innings of three-run ball wile striking out one. Just one more strike out and he would have maintained his season strikeout rate. Now he's going to have to strike out three next time!
4		47	32	46.3	47.6	46.6	.593	.574	66.5%	18.1%	84.6%	2.8%	15.4%
		Jordan Zimmermann's seven strikeouts and no walks in six innings are all the more impressive when you consider that the game was played in some of the most oppressive heat since I started keeping statistics on the oppressiveness of heat last week.
5		44	37	44.4	42.6	42.3	.535	.515	48.0%	23.2%	71.3%	-3.5%	4.7%
		In 303 plate appearances, Brandon Phillips has walked 16 times. Two of them were intentional enough that Phillips was unable to convince himself to swing at the pitches up the first base line. For Phillips, this is plate discipline.
6		41	42	42.1	40.1	41.0	.495	.515	0.0%	4.7%	4.7%	2.8%	3.5%
		The A's four-game win streak is currently the AL's longest, which is like a children's book written by a Hollywood celebrity: uninteresting.
7		39	42	34.2	36.7	36.9	.453	.434	1.6%	4.3%	5.9%	1.2%	1.2%
		My name is Jeffery Loria, king of kings! Look upon my works and despair! The Marlins are 39-42.
8		43	39	41.2	39.1	40.5	.499	.519	3.9%	23.6%	27.6%	-1.6%	1.2%
		Kyle Farnsworth's ERA is 20.25. After last year, somehow that is appropriate.
9		38	43	39.5	39.4	38.0	.478	.458	6.7%	7.9%	14.6%	-4.7%	0.8%
		Aramis Ramirez hit .295/.374/.523 in June to follow up a .274/.364/.484 May. I'm starting to think that sometimes maybe guys just have bad starts...?
10		49	32	46.6	47.3	47.4	.587	.607	89.8%	7.9%	97.6%	-1.2%	0.4%
		The Yankees are pulling away in the AL East. Their five-game lead is the most of any division leader. Boston is playing New York this week.
11		31	50	34.6	30.9	30.4	.392	.373	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		The Rockies released Jamie Moyer but kept Jeremy Guthrie. Are they trying to save money on birthday candles?
12		35	46	32.0	33.9	34.0	.416	.436	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Ron Gardenhire hasn't won a playoff game since 2004.
13		35	49	38.6	36.1	36.7	.436	.456	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		As many Mariners in yesterday's starting lineup were hitting over .260 as were hitting below .200. (Two, in case you were curious.)
14		31	50	32.7	32.3	32.5	.397	.378	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		From afar, the Cubs' plan for ultimate victory seems completely unaffected by this season's many, many losses. But Cubs fans might see the worst team in baseball and wonder if this administration knows what they're doing.
15		32	50	34.2	32.9	32.6	.402	.383	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Now that Boston has finally won an extra-inning game, the Astros are baseball's last purely defeated team in extra innings. Long live outliers!
16		40	42	40.3	40.6	41.4	.495	.515	11.8%	9.4%	21.3%	0.4%	0.0%
		Halfway through the season the Tigers, one of the favorites to play in the World Series, have been outscored. The solution? Easy! Sign Josh Hamilton!
17		33	50	33.8	34.7	33.7	.407	.388	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		The Cubs are the lowest-scoring team in baseball, but it's your Padres who are averaging the fewest runs per game. True mediocrity is a highly competitive field.
18		50	32	49.1	52.8	51.8	.621	.640	84.6%	14.2%	98.8%	-0.8%	-1.2%
		Starting All-Star catcher Mike Napoli is hitting .233/.336/.431. He still scares the crap out of me though.
19		36	44	36.2	35.7	36.3	.451	.471	0.4%	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	-1.2%
		You never know when a young team will make that jump to greatness. However, when their rotation includes Vin Mazzaro and Luis Mendoza, the time of greatness becomes easier to pin down. Basically, how far does your calendar go?
20		45	37	44.7	46.7	46.9	.559	.578	15.4%	68.9%	84.3%	-2.4%	-1.6%
		Why is batting average a weak statistic? The Angels gave up 15 hits and 12 runs while banging 12 hits and just three runs of their own. This is because, like Porta-Johns, all hits are not created equal.
21		44	37	46.8	45.5	45.8	.562	.582	66.5%	7.1%	73.6%	-1.6%	-1.6%
		Alex Rios hasn't had a an OPS above .800 since 2007. His OPS this season is .866. APOCALYPSE!!!
22		42	40	43.7	41.3	42.3	.516	.536	0.4%	6.3%	6.7%	1.2%	-2.0%
		Jose Bautista is leading in every important offensive category. Break that out at your annual potluck.
23		39	42	40.8	42.7	42.1	.508	.488	11.4%	18.5%	29.9%	7.1%	-2.8%
		Should Arizona be embarrassed by giving up eight runs to the Padres? Padres manager Bud Black: "Oh, absolutely. I mean, have you seen our lineup? [laughs] Are you a national reporter or something?"
24		45	37	41.6	43.3	43.2	.528	.508	59.8%	16.1%	76.0%	-0.4%	-3.5%
		On Tuesday, Tim Lincecum faced 21 hitters and got 10 outs. Tim Lincecum hates Tuesdays.
25		44	37	37.7	36.2	37.9	.481	.501	1.2%	15.0%	16.1%	3.1%	-8.7%
		Adam Jones hit his 20th homer. Last year he hit 25, while the previous two seasons he wound up with 19.
26		37	46	39.6	41.5	40.9	.479	.459	0.4%	2.4%	2.8%	0.8%	-9.1%
		Every time I look up, Chase Utley homers. Checking things out, I have looked up twice this year.
27		42	40	46.0	47.5	46.6	.555	.575	4.7%	27.6%	32.3%	-5.1%	-9.4%
		Red Sox' underperformance has been traced to a sign in the hallway between the clubhouse and field which reads, "Play like a champion or garbage... Really, whatever, it's totally your call."
28		46	37	43.5	42.1	41.4	.521	.501	28.7%	17.3%	46.1%	3.9%	-13.4%
		Dee Gordon has a .280 on-base percentage yet has hit leadoff in 78 percent of games he's played. However, Gordon's OBP from the leadoff spot is seven percentage points lower than his overall number. This means nobody likes Dee Gordon hitting leadoff, not even Dee Gordon.
29		43	39	47.6	47.9	46.2	.563	.543	29.9%	20.9%	50.8%	-9.8%	-17.3%
		Is this karma for 2006?
30		42	39	42.7	41.5	42.0	.519	.499	14.2%	29.5%	43.7%	-7.1%	-20.5%
		Scientific studies have shown that, had Tuesday's game continued infinitely, Chipper Jones would have had 73 straight hits before eventually being called out on strikes on a pitch four inches outside.