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Prospectus Hit List for June 28



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 27 Hit List for June 29
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Rangers at the top, Padres -- after losing 1-0 to the Astros -- at the very, very, very, very, very, very, very bottom.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLF Win Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

46

28

43.7

43.4

43.6

.597

.616

87.4%

10.6%

98.0%

2.4%

4.3%

The Andy Pettitte Flower game: Andy Pettitte retires; his family loves him. Andy Pettitte returns to the Yankees; his family loves him not. Andy Pettitte fractures his ankle; his family loves him. Andy Pettitte heals; his family loves him not.
2

47

29

47.4

50.9

50.0

.643

.661

84.6%

14.2%

98.8%

-0.4%

-0.8%

How good a hitting team are the Rangers? They're third in the American League in OPS by pitchers and one of only three AL teams whose pitchers posted an OPS over .400.
3

40

35

41.7

41.4

41.0

.547

.567

71.7%

2.4%

74.0%

7.5%

3.9%

Newest White Sock Kevin Youkilis had three hits but Chicago had 21 overall so Youkilis' contribution is much like a single painting in the Louvre. They were three singles, so it was one of the crappier paintings, too.
4

43

33

39.7

41.1

40.6

.541

.521

55.5%

22.4%

78.0%

1.6%

16.1%

The standing ovation he received following eight strikeouts and no runs over seven innings used to be a weekly occurrence for Tim Lincecum. Probably felt extra good considering that lately heís lucky if the waitress pretends to turn her head when coughing on his food.
5

40

36

45.1

45.7

44.1

.575

.556

49.2%

24.8%

74.0%

1.6%

13.8%

The Cardinals have scored 61 runs more than the first-place Reds and 115 more than the second-place Pirates.
6

43

30

42.1

43.9

42.6

.587

.568

47.6%

26.0%

73.6%

7.5%

12.6%

Do you think Jordan Zimmermann and Ryan Zimmerman ever take each other's tests?
7

41

33

40.8

39.2

38.3

.538

.518

43.3%

24.4%

67.7%

-4.3%

-3.9%

Joey Votto went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk, a day when the opposition probably thought they got the best of Votto. Thing is, that's a .333/.500/.667 line.
8

40

34

39.6

38.4

38.9

.530

.510

40.6%

28.7%

69.3%

13.4%

16.1%

Some guys just want to make it easy on PECOTA. Chipper Jones' OPS in each of the past four years: .818, .806, .814 and now .821.
9

43

33

41.3

40.6

39.9

.542

.522

23.6%

20.1%

43.7%

-20.5%

-31.9%

If a player could possibly make his MVP case even stronger by missing time, Matt Kemp has.
10

37

37

38.6

39.8

39.5

.523

.503

20.9%

22.4%

43.3%

7.1%

3.9%

On his return from the DL, Stephen Drew cited his family for helping him remember what he loved about baseball. Namely that it isn't his family.
11

42

33

43.1

44.0

44.1

.577

.597

15.4%

72.8%

88.2%

6.7%

16.5%

Mike Trout went 4-for-6, and with a leaping grab took a homer away from J.J. Hardy. Then for good measure Trout burglarized Hardy's car. Because, really, why not? (And don't say because it's against the law, killjoy.)
12

37

37

31.8

34.4

35.2

.467

.487

14.2%

4.7%

18.9%

-2.4%

-13.0%

For a .500 team, the Indians are devoid of superstars. They're not devoid of good players, but would you buy a Yugo if Asdrubal Cabrera stiltedly pitched one to you on local TV?
13

36

39

36.0

35.7

36.3

.480

.500

13.4%

6.3%

19.7%

-3.5%

1.2%

Doug Fister threw 4 1/3 innings giving up nine runs and three homers. This is bad news for three groups of people. 1) Doug Fister and family, 2) Tigers fans, 3) People who think the name "Doug Fister" is hilarious.
14

40

35

42.7

43.8

43.2

.566

.585

7.1%

33.1%

40.2%

5.5%

7.1%

David Ortiz has the third-best slugging percentage (.628) in baseball. Clearly this is a ploy for more money and respect.
15

40

36

39.3

38.9

39.4

.518

.498

6.3%

11.8%

18.1%

-2.8%

-6.7%

How well was Jon Niese pitching? So well that he went back out for the seventh inning leading 16-1.
16

40

35

38.2

37.1

38.6

.513

.533

4.3%

36.6%

40.9%

-5.5%

-18.5%

Ben Zobrist had three hits. They were important in that he couldn't have been thrown out at home twice, and also thrown out at second, in a one-run game without them.
17

39

35

36.2

33.2

32.8

.477

.457

4.3%

3.1%

7.5%

1.2%

1.6%

It took the Rangers 76 games to score 400 runs. At their current pace, the Pirates won't get there until August 9, game 111.
18

36

41

37.9

39.9

38.9

.496

.476

3.5%

5.5%

9.1%

-7.5%

-6.3%

Chase Utley went 3-for-5 with a homer in his first game back from a season-long DL stint. This begs the question, was Chase Utley just faking injury?
19

34

41

36.0

36.3

34.8

.471

.451

3.1%

7.1%

10.2%

-0.8%

-7.1%

Zack Greinke could net the Brewers a mint in trade. Or he could decide he isnít interested in baseball and mint a net instead.
20

35

40

30.3

32.9

33.3

.438

.419

2.0%

3.5%

5.5%

3.5%

-8.3%

The Marlins are retiring one of their mascots. Knifey the Serrated Sawfish will no longer cut off children's fingers or impale customers in the beer line from behind. Allegedly.
21

41

33

35.7

35.3

37.2

.504

.524

0.8%

15.4%

16.1%

-5.1%

-2.4%

The Orioles lost to the Angels 13-1 but the Cubs lost to the Mets 17-1 so the Orioles' attempt at being the best at being the worst failed.
22

34

39

33.6

33.5

34.2

.463

.483

0.8%

0.4%

1.2%

0.4%

0.4%

After last season's .879 OPS, Alex Gordon has posted a more underwhelming .776 OPS this season. So which is the real Alex Gordon? Alex Gordon's career OPS is exactly .776 if that's any help.
23

38

37

39.9

37.2

38.4

.512

.532

0.4%

2.4%

2.8%

-4.7%

0.4%

Seventeen of Jose Bautista's 25 homers have come with the bases empty. Jose Bautista doesn't like other players clogging his spotlight.
24

37

39

38.4

35.8

36.3

.485

.505

0.0%

1.2%

1.2%

-0.8%

0.8%

A's fans must be excited about Jarrod Parker. How could you not be? I mean, just think about how many prospects he'll bring back in trade!
25

26

49

29.0

28.8

29.2

.377

.358

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Sure, losing 17-1 is bad, but it could have been worse. For example, it could have been 18-1.
26

32

45

35.7

33.8

34.3

.441

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The top four in the Mariners order went 2-for-16 with eight strikeouts and one walk. This will be an entry in my new book, A Winner's Guide to Losing.
27

27

49

28.8

29.1

29.2

.376

.357

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There are few things more frustrating in sport (I imagine) then throwing a complete game and losing 1-0. Clayton Richard still pitches for the Padres so he may get to find out.
28

28

46

31.6

28.0

27.7

.389

.370

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Michael Cuddyer went 0-for-5 with a strikeout and left seven men on base. Not his best game, but that's the great thing about baseball. He'll get a chance to do it all over again and be worse tomorrow.
29

30

44

27.5

29.6

29.9

.395

.415

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Sure the Twins lost 13-6 and gave up 21 hits in the process, but 16 of those hits were just singles. Also, it's not global warming, it's beach-reassignment surgery.
30

32

43

33.2

32.0

32.0

.431

.411

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros have received the fewest intentional walks in the National League. They're feeling kinda down about it, so if you could send them an Ecard with a picture of penguin pooping, we'd all appreciate it.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
Matt

Love the A's comment

Jun 28, 2012 10:07 AM
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