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Prospectus Hit List for June 27



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 26 Hit List for June 28
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Rangers at the top, Hyrum Van Pooter at the bottom.

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

28

45

31.6

27.8

27.4

.393

.374

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It's not every day when a relief pitcher is allowed to give up eight runs in an inning and two-thirds but Guillermo Moscoso was afforded that opportunity and, gosh darnit, it was one he couldn't pass up.
2

27

48

28.5

28.4

28.6

.375

.356

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In 1893 Hyrum Van Pooter invented a mechanical winged backpack. He was last seen leaping off a ledge. I mention this because Kip Wells worked hard to get back to the bigs after three years off. Five runs in five innings later ... well, sometimes reaching for the stars really is a bad thing.
3

26

48

30.1

29.4

29.8

.389

.371

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In their plan for baseball domination, the Cubs are in the infant stage. That means Cubs fans have to show their support by littering their refrigerators with squiggly scribblings
4

30

43

27.6

29.6

29.9

.401

.421

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

At 30-42 the Twins are the possessors of the worst record in the American League. Yet somehow they're only 7 1/2 games out of first place. Weird truth.
5

31

43

32.7

31.9

31.9

.431

.411

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros are showcasing Carlos Lee like a used-car dealer showcases a '84 Chevette. You don't have to see him, you can just have him.
6

34

40

29.6

32.2

32.5

.433

.414

1.2%

1.2%

2.4%

-2.0%

-14.2%

In 89 2/3 inning,s Carlos Zambrano has 47 walks, 68 strikeouts, five hit batters, and zero attacks of the crazy. That's gotta be deemed a successful season.
7

38

35

35.1

32.2

31.9

.470

.450

2.0%

5.1%

7.1%

-1.2%

-3.1%

Going into last night's game the Pirates were 28-5 when scoring four or more runs. So they lost. Of course. You don't bring up a stat like that if they won. Trick of the pros.
8

33

39

32.9

32.6

33.4

.458

.478

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

0.0%

I was so hoping to tell you Yuniesky Betancourt is out-slugging Mike Moustakas. He's not. But, what the heck, I'll tell you he is anyway. He is.
9

32

44

35.3

33.1

33.5

.441

.460

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jesus Montero has a .707 OPS which, aside, from the aesthetic qualities of the numbers zero and seven, isn't much to be proud of. However, it is something, which can't be said for Michael Pineda's 2012 stats.
10

37

36

31.4

34.0

34.6

.469

.489

14.6%

5.1%

19.7%

0.4%

-6.3%

After another loss, Indians GM Chris Antonetti said, "I believe in those guys." He went on to say that he also believed in the tooth fairy, Christmas elves, talking ticket-making trees, and the Sasquatch.
11

33

41

35.1

35.4

34.0

.465

.445

2.0%

11.4%

13.4%

2.4%

-3.1%

At .311/.392/.596, Ryan Braun's either back on the juice or maybe, just maybe, he's just a really good hitter.
12

36

38

35.9

35.5

35.9

.484

.504

21.3%

5.9%

27.2%

-3.9%

-7.5%

In his rookie season, Austin Jackson posted a .396 BABIP and people said "No way, not sustainable." Last season his BABIP was .346 and people said "Still too high, but that's more like it." This year it's .375 and nobody's making a peep.
13

36

39

37.7

35.6

36.1

.485

.505

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-1.2%

-0.4%

Oakland is 13th in the American League in OBP. Maybe more than ever the A's are showing the world the value of OBP.
14

41

32

36.5

35.7

37.5

.516

.536

2.8%

18.9%

21.7%

-5.9%

-7.1%

Losing to the Angels by four means Baltimore has now allowed as many runs as it has scored. That's the kind of generosity we all expected from the Charm City nine.
15

40

34

37.8

36.9

38.4

.517

.537

4.7%

38.6%

43.3%

-5.1%

-13.4%

If you were one of the ones who thought Desmond Jennings (.627 OPS) was going to be an offensive force to be reckoned with this season, put back your pudding cup.
16

39

36

37.1

37.2

37.9

.504

.484

6.3%

11.8%

18.1%

-3.5%

0.0%

If you combined Lucas Duda and Ike Davis you'd get 1) a left-handed hitter who switch-throws, 2) someone who can hit right-handers sometimes and can't hit anybody sometimes, and 3) a guy with the coolest name ever. (Or a boring name if you do it wrong.)
17

38

36

40.0

37.3

38.4

.519

.539

0.8%

7.9%

8.7%

-4.7%

-0.8%

Brett Lawrie has been caught stealing eight times in 19 attempts. It wouldn't happen so often but tats are weighty, man.
18

39

34

38.9

37.8

38.4

.528

.508

37.8%

18.5%

56.3%

-1.2%

-0.0%

Seven Braves had two or more hits, all the more impressive when you consider the pitcher has to hit. He had one hit. Those are the good days.
19

41

32

40.7

39.2

38.2

.545

.525

45.3%

25.2%

70.5%

4.7%

-3.1%

Miguel Cabrera led baseball with a .448 on-base percentage last season. This season Joey Votto has an OBP of .478. If you subtract Cabrera's from Votto's, you'll find that Votto's is higher. I hear thatís called meth! [Editorís note: He means math.]
20

37

36

38.3

39.4

38.9

.526

.506

18.5%

20.5%

39.0%

-13.8%

11.0%

Aaron Hill is hitting .156/.182/.219 in "late and close" situations which, because Hill is hitting .294/.359/.496 overall, I'm convinced is something made up by people who just donít like Aaron Hill.
21

36

40

37.8

39.8

38.8

.501

.481

5.1%

8.7%

13.8%

2.4%

0.4%

If you sort all qualifying major leaguers by OBP, three of the top five are catchers and Carlos Ruiz is tops in that group. This is one of the things I have to remember when I invent my time machine.
22

42

33

38.9

40.0

39.4

.534

.514

47.2%

25.6%

72.8%

8.3%

3.5%

Three things Tim Lincecum has not tried to improve his performance: 1) platform cleats, 2) wear official Tim Lincecum wig, 3) throw a shuuto.
23

39

35

40.5

40.2

40.1

.540

.560

64.2%

3.1%

67.3%

4.7%

10.2%

Adam Dunn has struck out 28 more times than Carlos Pena, who is second in the majors in the category. However, it should be noted that Dunn has had more at-bats than Pena. One.
24

43

32

41.1

40.7

39.9

.549

.529

34.3%

25.6%

59.8%

-3.5%

-19.3%

Dee Gordon leads the majors with 24 stolen bases. Imagine how many he'd have if he ever got on base!
25

41

33

41.3

42.6

42.9

.567

.586

6.7%

75.2%

81.9%

6.3%

21.3%

Albert Pujols' OPS on April 27th: .592. On May 27th: .658. On June 27th: .769. Angels fans can now officially start worrying about something else. Might I suggest reading the fine print on their life insurance policies?
26

39

35

41.6

42.8

42.3

.560

.580

2.0%

30.3%

32.3%

6.7%

2.4%

Daisuke Matsuzaka's ERA by inning: 13.50, 4.50, 0.00, 6.75, 0.00, 4.50. If you squint your eyes just right at those numbers you can see a sailboat.
27

45

28

43.1

42.9

43.0

.596

.615

89.8%

7.9%

97.6%

2.4%

1.6%

Yankees hitting coach Kevin Long tries to teach to a player's strengths. For Mark Teixeira that means pulling the ball so hard it goes to the opposite field.
28

42

30

40.9

42.9

41.9

.582

.563

49.6%

25.2%

74.8%

10.6%

11.0%

Before yesterday's 12-run outburst in Colorado, the most runs the Nationals had scored all year was nine against Baltimore. Lucky the Orioles and Rockies don't play each other this season because can you say AWKWARD?!
29

40

35

44.8

45.4

43.8

.580

.560

50.8%

21.3%

72.0%

-3.1%

16.9%

Yadier Molina has added 168 points to his OPS from last season. It's probably Monday morning quarterbacking but isn't it interesting how some players sign a big contract and fall apart and others do like Molina? Sorry, no poop joke here, just genuinely curious.
30

46

29

46.6

50.2

49.4

.641

.659

93.3%

6.7%

100.0%

0.8%

0.0%

If Yu didn't see the Rangers last night, Yu should have because Yu wouldn't believe Yu struck out 10 guys even if I told Yu. Not sure why, since he was there. How could he have not seen it?

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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