Prospectus Hit List for June 18
Hit List for June 15
Hit List for June 19
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.
Rk | Tm | W | L | W1 | W2 | W3 | HLF | AHLF | Win Div% | Win WC% | Playoff% | 1-Day | 7-Day |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 42 | 25 | 39.6 | 39.7 | 38.9 | .597 | .578 | 59.4% | 22.8% | 82.3% | 0.4% | 5.1% | |
Elian Herrera's best on-base percentage in a season as a professional was .424 in 36 games in Rookie ball. He's at .407 now. (He plays in the majors.) | |||||||||||||
2 | 40 | 27 | 42.2 | 45.3 | 44.7 | .642 | .660 | 90.9% | 7.5% | 98.4% | -0.8% | 2.0% | |
Colby Lewis had good walk rates in 2010 and 2011, but he's gone to a new level this year, ranking eighth in baseball in unintentional walks per plate appearance (30 IP minimum). He's given up more homers than UBBs, though. (Greg Maddux did this twice.) | |||||||||||||
3 | 40 | 25 | 38.5 | 37.7 | 38.0 | .593 | .612 | 77.6% | 15.7% | 93.3% | -0.4% | 8.3% | |
Derek Jeter is the fifth-best shortstop since 1950 by WARP. Alex Rodriguez would rank sixth on that same list had he retired after 2003 instead of switching to third base. | |||||||||||||
4 | 39 | 27 | 34.6 | 33.8 | 35.0 | .539 | .559 | 3.9% | 28.7% | 32.7% | 4.7% | 15.7% | |
Wei-Yin Chen is making three million, 72 thousand dollars this year. I have determined that there is a 2000 Bentley Arnage for sale for $72,000 in Washington, D.C. You really think this is a coincidence? | |||||||||||||
5 | 38 | 26 | 35.9 | 38.5 | 37.7 | .586 | .567 | 42.1% | 19.7% | 61.8% | -0.8% | 6.7% | |
You can't get much worse than 0-7 with five strikeouts, so I guess it's good for Bryce Harper that he got the worst game of his life out of his system in his rookie year. | |||||||||||||
6 | 38 | 27 | 37.0 | 35.0 | 34.4 | .555 | .535 | 69.3% | 16.1% | 85.4% | 6.7% | 33.1% | |
FRA doesn't think that Johnny Cueto deserves his ERA, but I'm sure the Reds will take it: 2.36 over the last two years (37 starts, 989 batters faced). | |||||||||||||
7 | 37 | 29 | 35.2 | 33.8 | 35.0 | .534 | .554 | 10.6% | 45.7% | 56.3% | 2.4% | -16.9% | |
The Rays are third in their division and fourth in the American League. So it goes. | |||||||||||||
8 | 37 | 30 | 35.0 | 36.8 | 36.0 | .540 | .521 | 33.5% | 33.1% | 66.5% | 0.0% | 2.8% | |
If the Giants and A's played a one-game playoff where the loser had to move to Las Vegas, things would come down to a ninth-inning situation with Matt Cain pitching for San Francisco and Chris Pratt at the plate. | |||||||||||||
9 | 36 | 31 | 35.7 | 36.6 | 36.7 | .541 | .561 | 9.1% | 60.6% | 69.7% | 7.9% | 1.2% | |
There's a very good chance that, as you read this, Jerome Williams has not yet given up a baserunner against the Giants. | |||||||||||||
10 | 35 | 31 | 35.1 | 34.4 | 34.5 | .526 | .506 | 40.2% | 26.8% | 66.9% | 2.8% | -9.1% | |
Eric O'Flaherty is from Walla Walla, WA. One can assume that he was born on Ireland Road. (Which does exist, I promise.) | |||||||||||||
11 | 35 | 32 | 32.7 | 32.2 | 32.8 | .495 | .475 | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | -7.9% | -1.6% | |
The default "Chris Young" on Wikipedia is a country musician who won "Nashville Star" when he was 21. The Mets' Chris Young is very tall and graduated from Princeton, so he's all "whatevs." | |||||||||||||
12 | 35 | 31 | 36.8 | 37.3 | 37.5 | .555 | .575 | 46.9% | 7.5% | 54.3% | 0.4% | -2.8% | |
Tyler Flowers and Adam Dunn saw 51 pitches combined in eight plate appearances. Problem is they struck out in seven of them. Against Chris Capuano. | |||||||||||||
13 | 34 | 33 | 39.0 | 39.9 | 38.3 | .564 | .544 | 26.8% | 25.6% | 52.4% | -4.7% | -4.7% | |
Apparently the Central divisions had a real thing for 15 yesterday, as the Brewers-Twins and Royals-Cardinals games both went that number of innings. The main difference is that Eduardo Sanchez gave up the final go-ahead homer to Yuniesky Betancourt in only one of them. | |||||||||||||
14 | 34 | 31 | 29.8 | 27.0 | 27.3 | .454 | .434 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | -3.1% | |
Don't tell anybody, but I'm about to talk about RBI. Pedro Alvarez had as many RBI (6) as he had pitches seen (also 6) in Sunday's game. | |||||||||||||
15 | 34 | 32 | 36.3 | 33.4 | 34.6 | .524 | .544 | 0.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | -2.0% | -4.3% | |
Brett Cecil (4.99 career FRA going into Sunday's game) is back in the big leagues, which is fun for those of us who enjoy left-handed mediocrity. | |||||||||||||
16 | 33 | 33 | 27.7 | 30.4 | 30.1 | .459 | .439 | 8.7% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 5.1% | -2.8% | |
Scott Cousins has a single, a double, and a triple in 11 trips to the plate this year. A "season cycle" is the approximate equivalent of the "career Slam" in tennis, right? | |||||||||||||
17 | 33 | 32 | 28.4 | 30.8 | 31.3 | .475 | .495 | 17.7% | 5.5% | 23.2% | -11.0% | -24.4% | |
Asdrubal Cabrera made three errors on two plays against the Pirates. Pedro Alvarez followed each play with a three-run homer. Alvarez & Cabrera—the next great comedy duo. | |||||||||||||
18 | 33 | 33 | 35.7 | 37.1 | 37.2 | .541 | .561 | 7.1% | 20.9% | 28.0% | -7.5% | 5.1% | |
A list of teammates with a better True Average than Dustin Pedroia this year, in order from least to greatest embarrassment: David Ortiz, Will Middlebrooks, Cody Ross, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Kelly Shoppach, Daniel Nava, Scott Podsednik. | |||||||||||||
19 | 32 | 34 | 33.3 | 34.6 | 34.8 | .510 | .490 | 7.1% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 0.0% | -4.3% | |
Paul Goldschmidt's stolen-base total is equal to Justin Upton's caught-stealing figure. That number is not zero. | |||||||||||||
20 | 32 | 34 | 31.9 | 32.3 | 32.3 | .487 | .507 | 35.4% | 2.8% | 38.2% | 6.3% | 16.9% | |
Quintin Berry knocked five hits and stole his ninth base in just 22 games. This is a 27-year-old rookie, in case you forgot already. | |||||||||||||
21 | 31 | 37 | 33.2 | 34.8 | 34.1 | .490 | .470 | 4.7% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 1.2% | -6.3% | |
Eighteen is a lucky number in some religions, which explains why the Phillies' top four hitters on Sunday, Jimmy Rollins, Placido Polanco, Hunter Pence, and JI-- JIM THOME, each saw 18 pitches in the game. | |||||||||||||
22 | 31 | 36 | 32.7 | 29.8 | 30.0 | .461 | .481 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.4% | |
I don't know for sure that Jonny Gomes' two infield singles on Sunday were the first two of his career, but I feel like the odds are pretty good. | |||||||||||||
23 | 30 | 36 | 31.1 | 31.7 | 30.2 | .466 | .446 | 2.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | -4.7% | -15.4% | |
The Brewers and Twins suffered through a 42-minute rain delay in the 11th inning on Sunday, then came back and played four more frames. Meanwhile, I got pretty worn out doing the Sunday grocery shopping. (I go to four stores! It's hard!) | |||||||||||||
24 | 29 | 39 | 32.2 | 30.2 | 30.8 | .449 | .469 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
I lived in Seattle when I was a tiny baby. I'll give you a hint about when this was: The Mariners were a pretty bad team. That narrows it down, right? | |||||||||||||
25 | 29 | 35 | 29.0 | 29.2 | 29.8 | .457 | .477 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Chris Getz: Psychic. He felt a 15-inning game coming and left in the first with an "ankle injury." Suuuure. | |||||||||||||
26 | 27 | 39 | 27.6 | 25.7 | 26.5 | .405 | .385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
The 2012 Baseball Prospectus annual says that Dallas Keuchel should keep outperforming his peripherals. Major-league debut: five innings, four walks, two strikeouts, one run. You can make your checks out to Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC. | |||||||||||||
27 | 26 | 39 | 25.2 | 26.8 | 26.8 | .403 | .422 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.4% | |
The Twins managed one extra-base hit (a double) in 15 innings on Sunday. If you have to go looking for reasons why they have the worst record in the American League, well, I saved you some time. | |||||||||||||
28 | 25 | 40 | 28.5 | 25.1 | 24.2 | .395 | .376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.4% | |
The Rockies have lost 10 of 11, with their only win being an eight-run victory over the Tigers. In extra innings. You probably don't believe me. I wish I had a way to prove it. | |||||||||||||
29 | 24 | 43 | 25.2 | 25.4 | 25.6 | .374 | .355 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Ross Ohlendorf bounced from the Red Sox to the Padres a few weeks ago. Is signing smart guys so they'll work for your front office when they retire the new thing? | |||||||||||||
30 | 22 | 44 | 26.5 | 25.9 | 26.1 | .381 | .362 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
I wish the Cubs were better. |
The Yankees swept the Nationals over the weekend and have now won nine straight. Where do they rank on the Hit List?