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Prospectus Hit List for June 15



by Andrew Koo and Hudson Belinsky

Hit List for June 14 Hit List for June 18
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

At this point, the Cubs' season is about the little accomplishments.

RkTmWLW1W2 W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

37

27

39.2

42.7

42.2

.629

.648

89.8%

9.1%

98.8%

-0.8%

0.8%

Texas managed just five hits against Daniel Hudson. Let's face it: guys named Hudson are pretty much unbeatable.
2

33

31

37.5

38.8

37.4

.573

.553

43.3%

25.6%

68.9%

7.9%

-0.4%

Jake Westbrook struck out only one batter last night, but thankfully, that batter was Adam Dunn..
3

38

23

35.6

38.1

37.3

.611

.592

44.5%

25.6%

70.1%

-7.1%

29.5%

What can’t they do? Halfway through their AL East tour, the Nationals have swept the Red Sox and Blue Jays. And Bryce Harper inspired a clown question t-shirt. Bro.
4

40

24

38.0

38.0

37.2

.598

.579

51.2%

18.9%

70.1%

-10.6%

-3.5%

Andre Ethier is $85 million richer, though part of that sum will flow to Frank McCourt for a parking spot.
5

34

29

35.4

35.9

36.0

.561

.580

51.2%

4.7%

55.9%

-6.7%

-17.3%

Alex Rios has seen 3.8 pitches per plate appearance this season. Call me crazy, but it seems tough to walk without seeing four pitches.
6

31

32

34.1

35.0

35.2

.536

.556

7.9%

31.5%

39.4%

6.7%

-5.5%

Despite his .282 OBP and a measly .253 TAv, Mike Aviles is second on the team in WARP.
7

37

25

35.9

35.3

35.1

.578

.597

76.8%

13.8%

90.6%

-2.0%

5.9%

The Yankees are undefeated (4-0) in games where Dewayne Wise starts and gets a hit. The team is 2-5 when Wise starts but doesn't get a hit.
8

34

30

34.3

34.7

34.5

.537

.557

10.2%

61.8%

72.0%

6.3%

21.3%

The Angels remain unbeaten in offdays this season. That's got to be some sort of record.
9

36

28

33.7

34.9

34.4

.543

.523

38.6%

23.2%

61.8%

-4.3%

-10.2%

Brandon Belt has hit home runs in three straight games, all off of lefties. Ah, but Brett Pill has hit in every game he has played since a demotion to Fresno. Look out, Brandon! Behind you!
10

31

32

31.7

33.4

33.6

.515

.495

10.2%

18.1%

28.3%

3.9%

6.3%

Chris Young moved to the leadoff spot, as the Willie Bloomquist leadoff experiment didn’t seem to work. However, the Willie Bloomquist batting second experiment has yet to provide full conclusions.
11

31

34

32.6

33.6

33.2

.502

.482

4.7%

8.3%

13.0%

2.8%

-0.4%

Jim Thome is 11-for-24 with three home runs in six games as the DH. He might be Ruben Amaro’s biggest trade chip.
12

37

26

32.5

32.2

33.1

.535

.555

6.3%

24.4%

30.7%

4.7%

14.6%

Mark Reynolds had his third four-hit game of his career. He's recorded three extra-base hits each time.
13

34

29

34.1

32.9

33.1

.532

.512

38.2%

29.5%

67.7%

7.1%

-6.3%

Fredi Gonzalez says he won’t stretch Craig Kimbrel for two innings because the resulting effects on an young reliever are an “unknown." I never asked out my high school crush, so… I’ll never know…
14

31

32

34.0

31.6

32.7

.513

.533

0.4%

3.1%

3.5%

-0.8%

-5.5%

The Jays are one of four teams with a losing record and a positive run differential. Their 3-11 record in one-run games should explain the discrepancy between their Pythagorean record and their actual record.
15

35

29

32.1

31.6

32.3

.512

.492

5.5%

12.6%

18.1%

0.0%

0.4%

After David Wright, the Mets' leaders in BWARP (excluding yesterday’s games) are Kirk Nieuwenhuis, Ruben Tejada, Omar Quintanilla, and Mike Baxter. The bottom four: Jason Bay, Lucas Duda, Mike Nickeas, and Ike Davis.
16

35

27

34.4

32.5

32.0

.540

.520

47.6%

17.7%

65.4%

4.7%

8.3%

Joey Votto is on pace for 71 doubles. No one has hit 60 since 1936.
17

35

28

32.3

30.9

31.9

.517

.536

8.7%

35.4%

44.1%

-11.4%

-13.4%

Carlos Pena hasn't had a hit since June 9, yet he somehow maintains a better-than-league-average .338 OBP.
18

32

30

27.8

30.1

30.8

.487

.507

28.3%

6.7%

35.0%

-0.4%

-7.1%

The Indians are one of three teams with a winning record and a negative run differential. That's not good, folks.
19

30

33

30.4

30.3

30.3

.480

.500

19.7%

9.4%

29.1%

4.3%

6.3%

Three crazy facts about Austin Jackson: His .365 BABIP this season is lower than his career average; his middle name is Jarriel; 21 Tigers will make more than him this season.
20

32

31

27.7

30.3

30.3

.477

.457

7.1%

12.2%

19.3%

0.8%

-15.0%

On the Marlins' offday, a tune-up was scheduled for the dolphin-oscillating, flamingo-flaunting, water-blasting tropical home run contraption. Unfortunately, no one could find a company that performed such tune-ups.
21

27

38

30.5

29.1

29.4

.446

.466

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

Franklin Gutierrez has a 1.250 OPS this season. Jesus Montero and Justin Smoak have a combined 1.364 OPS.
22

28

35

29.1

29.6

28.5

.457

.437

7.1%

6.7%

13.8%

-4.7%

-7.1%

John Axford has given up eight runs in five June innings. Just when he was getting comfortable in the closers’ seniority throne.
23

29

35

30.1

27.2

27.5

.445

.465

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

-0.4%

Brandon Moss hit four home runs in three games at Coors Field. Can you imagine what would have happened without the humidor?
24

27

34

27.5

27.3

27.5

.448

.468

0.8%

0.0%

0.8%

0.4%

0.8%

The Royals' past eight games have been decided by one or two runs.
25

27

36

27.6

25.4

25.8

.420

.401

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jed Lowrie has more home runs than any Red Sox player, except David Ortiz. Meanwhile, Mark Melancon recently lowered his ERA to 33.00.
26

25

37

24.2

25.8

25.6

.406

.425

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Despite having the worst record in the American League, the Twins are fourth in the league in attendance, filling 87 percent of the seats at Target Field this season.
27

23

41

24.7

25.0

25.6

.384

.365

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In a season of turmoil and squander, The Petco Project has brought on its latest disciple: Jason Marquis.
28

21

42

25.2

25.1

25.2

.382

.364

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

Didn’t get no-hit by Justin Verlander. Mission accomplished.
29

32

30

27.2

24.5

24.7

.437

.417

2.0%

1.6%

3.5%

-0.4%

-0.8%

The Pirates gave up 27 runs as the Orioles completed a three-game sweep of them. Pittsburgh will always be there to instill confidence into regressing AL East teams.
30

24

38

27.0

24.1

23.3

.397

.378

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

It looks like the rotation could use Jamie Moyer after all.

Andrew Koo is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Andrew's other articles. You can contact Andrew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
Matt

Good stuff, made me laugh.

Jun 15, 2012 12:18 PM
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bobbygrace

I have to ask: Are you related to Bo Belinsky?

Jun 15, 2012 13:30 PM
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MaineSkin

To bad Jays and BoSox are in last place, so Nats are doing what many should. #oriolesnatsbeef

Jun 17, 2012 09:42 AM
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Schere

The link from the home page took me to The Hit List for June 19th, by Wojo. Sadly, it was blank.

Jun 18, 2012 05:54 AM
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