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Prospectus Hit List for June 14



by Jason Wojciechowski

Hit List for June 13 Hit List for June 15
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

In which the author, still worried about somehow jinxing it, does not directly mention Matt Cain's perfect game.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff% 1-Day7-Day
1

31

32

34.1

35.0

35.1

.536

.556

11.0%

28.7%

39.8%

10.2%

-9.4%

Hey hey hey, Maaaaaaatt Albers has three "unearned" runs this year, which make his ERA even more illusory than most reliever ERAs.
2

38

23

35.6

38.1

37.1

.610

.591

51.6%

21.7%

73.2%

7.1%

28.7%

"Mary" Tyler Moore had two homers and a double against the Blue Jays. I'm glad he had one good game in the majors so I could use that nickname.
3

32

31

36.8

37.8

36.3

.567

.547

46.1%

20.5%

66.5%

5.9%

1.6%

Lance Lynn has nine quality starts in 14 games this year. In his non-quality starts, he has an ERA of 3.00.
4

36

26

31.4

30.8

31.9

.525

.545

4.3%

22.4%

26.8%

5.5%

6.3%

Besides having an excellent year out of the bullpen, Pedro Strop gives the best shaves this side of Gornik & Drucker's.
5

34

27

33.2

31.6

31.1

.532

.512

41.3%

21.3%

62.6%

4.3%

3.1%

Joey Votto attempts stolen bases more than you might realize, but with a four for seven showing this year and an eight for 14 mark in 2011, it might be time to stop.
6

29

33

29.6

29.1

29.4

.472

.492

18.1%

5.5%

23.6%

4.3%

4.7%

Brennan "The Mighty" Boesch lived up to this nickname that I just now made for him with three singles and a homer. He's now hitting .252 with few walks and little power, so that's pretty good.
7

37

25

35.9

35.3

35.0

.577

.597

71.3%

20.5%

91.7%

2.4%

9.1%

The Yankees have played before a crowd of fewer than 20,000 souls just twice all year. This is the same number of games that they've lost in June. This is deep, meaningful stuff.
8

30

34

31.6

32.7

32.3

.495

.475

2.8%

8.3%

11.0%

2.0%

-5.9%

Jim Thome now has 605 homers and should add a few more. He was drafted 10 rounds after Jerry Dipoto, who has already been the general manager of two different teams.
9

36

27

33.6

34.6

34.1

.549

.529

42.5%

24.0%

66.5%

1.2%

5.1%

There are certain types of performances that make it really hard for your team to lose. The Giants had one of those last night: they hit three homers.
10

26

34

26.9

27.0

27.1

.446

.466

0.4%

0.4%

0.8%

0.4%

-0.0%

Wait, is it Mitch "Oscar" Maier or Mitch Maier "Of Funky Town"?
11

34

30

34.3

34.7

34.6

.537

.557

9.4%

53.9%

63.4%

0.4%

9.1%

Erick Aybar picked a hell of a time for his first homer of the year, hitting a go-head shot off of Kenley Jansen in the ninth. The hit pushed his slugging percentage over .300 for the first time since April 25th.
12

24

37

27.1

24.2

23.3

.404

.385

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.8%

It's time to give up on the idea that Josh Outman is ever going to live up to his name.
13

21

41

24.9

25.3

25.3

.389

.370

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Bryan LaHair, the pride of Worcester, MA, has a Three True Outcomes percentage of 48.5%. Emma Goldman once owned an ice cream shop in Worcester.
14

25

36

24.2

25.7

25.5

.412

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

If P.J. Walters wants to not give up four runs as a starting pitcher without even getting an out, I'd advise him to start by picking a big boy name.
15

34

29

34.1

32.9

33.0

.532

.512

33.9%

31.9%

65.7%

0.0%

-8.3%

If Brian McCann picks up the pace with the bat, the Braves could have a really good lineup. His homer yesterday has to encourage Atlantans, even if it did come against Hiroki Kuroda.
16

28

35

28.9

25.9

26.6

.434

.454

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.8%

Bob Melvin says he's playing matchups, but it sure looks like Ryan Cook is the closer, with two saves in a row against the Rockies. You can guess how I feel about this highly imaginative managing.
17

26

36

26.8

24.8

25.1

.414

.395

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Ooooops.
18

22

41

23.7

24.3

24.8

.376

.357

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Carlos Quentin is hitting .421/.542/.921 in mid-June. He had previously missed 49 games with Mafia Knee (loose bodies).
19

27

37

30.5

28.9

29.3

.452

.472

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

-0.4%

Jason Marquis washed out of Minnesota (Minnesota!), signed on with San Diego, and then threw the first 6 1/3 innings of a shutout against the Mariners. I might posit that Dustin Ackley, Jesus Montero, and Justin Smoak should try to hit better.
20

37

26

39.5

42.9

42.3

.642

.660

90.6%

7.9%

98.4%

-0.8%

0.0%

Matt Harrison picked up his second no-decision in 13 starts last night, which I suppose is impressive in its own way.
21

31

32

34.0

31.6

32.7

.513

.533

1.6%

2.4%

3.9%

-1.2%

-7.5%

Wasn't something supposed to be the matter with Jose Bautista? Third in the American League in homers and walks should put that right to bed, .236 batting average or no.
22

40

24

38.0

38.0

37.1

.598

.578

51.2%

26.0%

77.2%

-1.2%

4.3%

Dee Gordon has batted leadoff 44 times and eighth 11 times. He has an OBP of .279. The punchline is me quietly crying myself to sleep.
23

32

29

28.0

30.1

30.7

.495

.515

33.1%

9.4%

42.5%

-1.2%

-2.4%

As long as we're talking about our feelings, I feel like Casey Kotchman isn't very good at hitting.
24

34

29

31.3

30.6

31.1

.504

.484

3.9%

11.8%

15.7%

-1.6%

2.0%

R.A. Dickey picked a lousy day to throw a one-hitter against the Rays, from the perspective of national attention. The only run he allowed came on an error, passed ball, passed ball, ground out sequence. It was about as earned as Al Pacino's Oscar for "Scent of a Woman."
25

32

29

27.4

24.8

25.0

.447

.428

2.4%

0.8%

3.1%

-2.4%

-0.8%

Alex Presley has not walked since returning from the minors 36 at-bats ago, but he does have four extra-base hits.
26

32

31

27.7

30.3

30.2

.477

.457

7.9%

7.5%

15.4%

-2.8%

-22.8%

Randy Choate, who I thought retired eight years ago, had just one earned run on his record before last night. He has five now despite throwing just 14 pitches against Boston.
27

28

34

28.7

29.0

27.9

.458

.438

10.2%

7.9%

18.1%

-5.9%

-3.9%

Ryan Braun missed catching Alcides Escobar's game-typing triple in the ninth inning by maybe 18 inches. This set up a walkoff walk for Kansas City in extra innings. Something tells me Baseba'al had a real hankering for shrimp.
28

30

32

30.3

32.1

32.3

.503

.483

6.3%

18.1%

24.4%

-7.1%

-2.4%

It's funny how playing against the Rangers instead of the A's gives an entirely different impression of how good a team is.
29

34

28

35.1

35.9

35.9

.568

.588

48.4%

8.7%

57.1%

-8.3%

-8.3%

Because of John Danks, Jordan Danks's name is shortened to "Jor Danks" in ESPN's box scores. That noise you're hearing in the background is George Lucas typing excitedly.
30

35

27

32.1

31.0

32.1

.525

.545

11.8%

40.2%

52.0%

-11.4%

0.0%

There should be a rule that every Rays entry of the Hit List just says "Bossman Junior," even if Melvin Emmanuel Upton leaves Tampa in free agency this offseason.

Jason Wojciechowski is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Jason's other articles. You can contact Jason by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
pmcfadden

Negative, Ghostrider. "Merry" Tyler Moore.

Jun 14, 2012 09:43 AM
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