Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for June 12



by Jason Wojciechowski

Hit List for June 11 Hit List for June 13
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

First in the NL Central, first in our hearts, 25th in our Hit List.

RkTmWLW1W2W3 HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

20

41

22.6

23.2

23.7

.367

.348

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Padres are like Grimm on NBC: low-rated, hardly groundbreaking, and Mark Kotsay is a werewolf.
2

20

40

24.2

24.3

24.4

.387

.368

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

0.0%

Bryan LaHair leads all Cubs in TAv. Second is Travis Wood, a pitcher with eight plate appearances. Third is David DeJesus, who is basically league-average for a right fielder. There's a reason you had to scroll through all those other teams to get here.
3

24

35

22.8

24.5

24.3

.405

.424

0.8%

0.4%

1.2%

1.2%

0.8%

I don't care how neat a last name "Diamond" is, Scott Diamond should not be any team's best pitcher. Not even the Twins'.
4

24

35

26.5

23.2

22.6

.408

.389

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

-1.2%

You have reached the Rockies entry in the Hit List. To ask a man about their awful pitching, turn to page 17. To research the humidor, turn to page 24. To find the punchline to this joke, search deep inside yourself.
5

26

35

27.3

24.6

25.5

.423

.443

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.8%

-0.4%

The best thing about off-days is that beat writers do puff pieces, so you find out things like "Brandon Inge is an adrenaline junkie and built a skating rink at his house."
6

26

34

27.1

25.7

26.3

.438

.418

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

Do you want to know a secret? Do you promise not to tell? Let me whisper in your ear. (Jose Altuve is not very tall.)
7

24

34

25.7

25.8

26.1

.438

.458

0.4%

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.0%

It's entirely possible that Lorenzo Cain could play 40 games over the next five years, inventing a new way to strain his groin each season.
8

27

35

29.7

28.0

28.6

.457

.477

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

-0.4%

Ichiro could get on base an adequate amount if he wanted to. That's just not what he does, that's all.
9

32

27

27.3

24.8

24.8

.462

.442

1.2%

3.9%

5.1%

-2.8%

1.6%

The Pirates haven't been in first place this late in the season since ... oh, 2011.
10

28

32

27.9

28.1

27.0

.463

.443

16.9%

9.8%

26.8%

1.6%

-3.1%

Having already grabbed him in every fantasy league I can, I now feel comfortable pointing out to you Norichika Aoki's .300/.364/.477 line with five steals in six attempts. For those who prefer real baseball, his maximum salary this year, with bonuses, is $2.675 million.
11

28

32

28.3

28.0

28.5

.470

.490

14.6%

10.6%

25.2%

-2.4%

2.4%

What if Austin Jackson's true BABIP talent really is .370?
12

32

29

28.5

28.3

28.6

.481

.461

2.0%

5.9%

7.9%

-6.7%

-8.7%

Maybe David Wright just missed Johan Santana a lot in 2011 and now he's happy again. It's heartwarming, really.
13

32

29

27.7

29.9

29.7

.489

.469

9.4%

16.9%

26.4%

2.4%

-29.9%

Why is the phrase "struck out the side in order" when we mean that the pitcher retired all three batters he faced? Can it be done out of order? Heath Bell, with three strikeouts and one walk in one inning last night, struck out the side all jumbled.
14

29

33

30.9

31.9

31.5

.497

.477

3.9%

9.1%

13.0%

4.3%

-7.9%

Whether a time machine works is not the sole criteria by which to judge it, but you've got to figure that a team this broke-down and old doesn't care as much for aesthetics or obediace to physical laws. They just want to get the hell out of 2012.
15

34

26

29.6

28.9

30.2

.511

.531

4.3%

13.8%

18.1%

2.0%

5.9%

The Orioles lead baseball in number of times I've fallen asleep while writing their comment.
16

32

27

27.8

30.2

30.6

.511

.531

38.2%

13.0%

51.2%

1.2%

5.9%

The five most valuable pitchers on the team so far by WARP are four relievers and Zach McAllister, who has made four starts and is now back in Triple-A.
17

30

30

30.3

31.9

31.5

.516

.496

14.6%

19.3%

33.9%

2.4%

11.8%

When Willie Bloomquist starts at shortstop, he bats either first or second. In other news, Kirk Gibson is under an extradition request by The Republic of Sabermetria.
18

32

27

31.3

29.5

29.2

.517

.497

36.2%

18.9%

55.1%

6.7%

-7.9%

The Reds being in first place isn't so crazy, but the Reds being in first place with a third of their starting lineup below replacement level might be.
19

34

27

31.1

31.5

31.0

.523

.503

29.9%

28.3%

58.3%

0.8%

-1.6%

The Dodgers signing of Andre Ethier has backed the Giants into a corner. They must hit back with a Melky Cabrera extension now or they risk losing control of the situation.
20

31

30

33.6

31.2

32.0

.524

.543

1.6%

3.9%

5.5%

-4.7%

-2.0%

Brandon Morrow gave up a leadoff double, then left the game. He was awarded a loss for this, which is ludicrous. More importantly, he's the only Blue Jays starter pitching above replacement level so far. Toronto could be hurting without him.
21

29

32

32.2

33.4

33.7

.526

.546

8.3%

20.1%

28.3%

-3.5%

-27.2%

Ryan Sweeney in center, Adrian Gonzalez in right, and Scott Podsednick on a major-league roster are three stretches that the Red Sox won't be able to get away with for long.
22

34

27

33.4

31.5

31.6

.535

.515

49.6%

23.6%

73.2%

-4.3%

13.0%

Andrelton Simmons is supposedly from Mundo-Novo, Netherlands Antilles. When you put "Mundo-Novo" into Google Maps, you only get three places in Brazil. Someone call Donald Trump: Simmons is lying about his birth.
23

33

29

33.5

33.5

33.1

.537

.556

12.2%

52.0%

64.2%

10.2%

9.1%

You know the scene at the end of Halloween where Michael Myers sits up in the background even though we think he's dead? The Rangers probably should have burned the Angels' bodies.
24

35

25

33.0

31.5

32.6

.550

.570

24.0%

38.2%

62.2%

-4.7%

3.5%

Heard this: Luke Scott lives in a pineapple under the sea. Also heard this: he has not been a good player in 2012.
25

33

27

33.6

34.5

34.6

.566

.585

46.1%

12.6%

58.7%

0.4%

-8.7%

Eh, if Paul Konerko really wanted to impress me, he'd steal a base.
26

31

30

36.1

37.0

35.5

.572

.553

45.7%

17.3%

63.0%

-0.4%

3.1%

The worst hitter in the Cardinals' every-day lineup is Daniel Descalso, whose .257 TAv is just the whiskeriest of whiskers below the magic .260 TAv that is defined as league average.
27

35

25

34.6

34.7

34.3

.577

.597

61.8%

25.6%

87.4%

1.6%

12.2%

Being the only hitter not to get a base-knock is not something worth caring about. Being the only hitter to fail to reach base (hi, Russell Martin) makes you a total loser.
28

36

23

33.9

36.5

35.5

.601

.582

35.0%

22.0%

57.1%

-0.4%

16.9%

Bryce Harper had three hits, but they were all singles, which is bologna.
29

39

23

36.7

37.1

36.4

.602

.582

55.5%

24.0%

79.5%

-3.9%

13.4%

Sure, Kenley Jansen gave up the go-ahead run in the top of the ninth to the Angels. But he was beat by a Mike Trout walk, steal, and run (on an Albert Pujols single). Who among us has not been beaten by a Trout?
30

35

26

37.6

40.9

40.4

.631

.649

87.8%

9.8%

97.6%

-0.4%

-1.2%

Thing I honestly forgot: Michael Young has never played a major-league game for a team other than the Rangers.

Jason Wojciechowski is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Jason's other articles. You can contact Jason by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
jrbdmb

Pirates in 1st place in mid-June and they can't rate any better than a 1.2% of winning the division? The Hit List is rigged worse than the Miss USA Pageant. :)

Jun 12, 2012 10:09 AM
up_image

+2

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
What You Need to Know:... (06/12)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (06/11)
Next Column >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (06/13)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Collateral Damage Dail... (06/12)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Playoff Prospectus: Second-Inning Struggles
Baseball Therapy: The Problem With Lists
Hot Stove Scouting Report: Max Scherzer
Hot Stove Scouting Report: Nelson Cruz
Premium Article Pitching Backward: Sing, Sing, Sing, for the...
Premium Article Painting the Black: That Time We All Hated t...
Playoff Prospectus: The Giants Win The World...

MORE FROM JUNE 12, 2012 09:06 AM
Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Midseason R...
Premium Article Overthinking It: Ten Reasons the Astros Aren...
Baseball ProGUESTus: Scouting with PITCHf/x
Premium Article Western Front: A Brief History of the Vedder...
Fantasy Article Value Picks: First, Third, and DH for 6/12/1...
Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Tuesday, June 12
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, June 12

MORE BY JASON WOJCIECHOWSKI
2012-06-18 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, June 18
2012-06-14 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, June 14
2012-06-13 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, June 13
2012-06-12 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, June 12
2012-06-11 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, June 11
2012-06-06 - The Platoon Advantage: Oakland is Just Terri...
2012-05-09 - Premium Article The Platoon Advantage: Seeking the Secrets o...
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2012-06-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, June 15
2012-06-14 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, June 14
2012-06-13 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, June 13
2012-06-12 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, June 12
2012-06-11 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, June 11
2012-06-08 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, June 8
2012-06-07 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, June 7
More...